PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Eltham vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 87-85
22-17 19-25 21-18 25-25
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game84.8
Eltham 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game74.8
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Eltham v Melbourne Tigers
04 May 2025
ELTH87
MELB85
13 May 2023
ELTH100
MELB91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eltham winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#4
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A03/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A10/08
NBL1 South
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A16/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A17/08
NBL 1
Ringwood
#9
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A12/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
A25/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
105-71
105
71
+34
H26/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
A03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
23-19
23-16
16-24
12-24
20-15
32-21
15-10
13-13
17-13
10-21
29-16
20-24
15-22
16-22
15-22
21-22
15-16
20-22
16-22
25-30
18-7
31-21
20-14
20-25
19-26
21-21
20-17
18-22
19-13
18-20
29-29
22-12
32-21
24-20
27-18
30-25
25-18
16-21
16-23
164.2Avg total
83.6Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.084.8175.8+6.250%
Season at home (2)88.576.5165.0+12.050%
Season away (4)92.289.0181.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)83.680.6164.2+3.060%
Last 5 (5)94.885.4180.2+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.089.5162.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.482.9167.3+1.667%
vs Weaker (19)89.579.5169.1+10.068%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
73-91
73
91
-18
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A06/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H30/03
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H04/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A08/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H13/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H24/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-34
27-14
11-24
17-19
29-21
14-22
26-21
12-23
34-29
16-16
18-17
23-24
20-25
26-12
27-18
15-16
21-16
24-27
15-12
13-16
35-8
31-22
20-18
14-21
24-19
17-27
11-17
25-22
18-26
19-15
18-11
23-10
16-15
20-24
19-21
34-21
11-23
29-27
14-7
22-20
160.6Avg total
82.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.074.8158.8+9.260%
Season at home (4)85.578.0163.5+7.550%
Season away (1)78.062.0140.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.678.0160.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)84.074.8158.8+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.883.9162.6-5.143%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.379.7156.0-3.527%
vs Weaker (5)82.874.4157.2+8.4100%
This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
ElthamMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/08
NBL1 South
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A16/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/08
NBL 1
Ringwood
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A25/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H26/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A03/05
NBL1 South
78.0Avg total
39.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.281.7+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.139.184.2+6.067%-
Last 30 away (18)40.839.380.1+1.661%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.048.585.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.738.678.2+1.167%-
vs Weaker (19)44.538.583.0+5.968%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A06/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H30/03
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H24/04
NBL1 South
87.1Avg total
44.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.682.4-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.442.983.3-2.422%-
Last 30 away (12)41.239.880.9+1.458%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.287.1+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.285.2+2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.042.682.6-2.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.640.883.5+1.845%-
vs Weaker (5)38.640.679.2-2.020%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Eltham wins
3
Melbourne Tigers wins
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ADiamond Valley104-100 OT
26/04/25HBallarat105-71
25/04/25ANunawading91-95 OT
12/04/25AMt Gambier80-89
05/04/25ADandenong94-72
29/03/25HRingwood72-82
17/08/24AKnox66-90
16/08/24AForestville Eagles69-63
10/08/24ABallarat79-70
03/08/24AFrankston76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25HNunawading76-77
13/04/25HDandenong89-81
08/04/25ADiamond Valley78-62
04/04/25HKilsyth77-85
30/03/25HSandringham Sabres100-69
13/07/24ACasey Cavaliers73-71
11/07/24HWaverley88-71
06/07/24AMt Gambier91-86
29/06/24ABallarat81-87
28/06/24HBendigo Braves73-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eltham
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game91.088.592.2
Allowed / game84.876.589.0
Point differential+6.2+12.0+3.2
Avg total175.8165.0181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%50%100%
Points / game84.085.578.0
Allowed / game74.878.062.0
Point differential+9.2+7.5+16.0
Avg total158.8163.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox76186%93.078.3+14.7
2 Mt Gambier75271%94.178.6+15.6
3 Casey Cavaliers75271%85.478.9+6.6
4 Ballarat75271%86.987.4-0.6
5 Frankston64267%90.585.5+5.0
6 Bendigo Braves85362%88.991.2-2.4
7 Melbourne Tigers53260%84.074.8+9.2
8 Eltham63350%91.084.8+6.2
9 Hobart Chargers84450%83.284.0-0.8
10 Kilsyth84450%80.883.0-2.2
11 Ringwood73443%92.085.9+6.1
12 Nunawading73443%86.190.0-3.9
13 Geelong73443%81.486.7-5.3
14 Waverley73443%89.694.9-5.3
15 NW Tasmania83538%87.484.2+3.1
16 Diamond Valley83538%84.193.2-9.1
17 Keilor Thunder83538%84.694.6-10.0
18 Sandringham Sabres82625%80.590.8-10.2
19 Dandenong71614%88.496.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eltham2219212587
Melbourne Tigers1725182585
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.