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Casey Cavaliers W vs Frankston W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 83-85
16-24 28-21 14-18 25-22
Position#18
Record4-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#11
Record8-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game73.4
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Frankston W
29 Jun 2024
CASE83
FRAN85
14 May 2023
CASE84
FRAN80
09 Jul 2022
CASE65
FRAN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H19/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
57-86
57
86
-29
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
17-20
14-15
17-24
30-11
22-26
4-25
22-28
30-23
23-27
23-13
20-24
11-18
23-18
15-29
25-25
25-18
20-17
21-30
22-25
19-18
15-20
20-5
18-20
20-25
20-19
18-22
20-17
12-31
16-20
16-15
13-20
21-17
16-20
14-20
21-24
19-24
19-34
23-17
19-17
160.9Avg total
76.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.785.5159.2-11.822%
Season at home (8)74.885.2160.0-10.525%
Season away (10)72.885.7158.5-12.920%
Last 10 (10)76.884.1160.9-7.320%
Last 5 (5)71.881.0152.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.787.7162.4-13.012%
vs Similar (6)72.375.0147.3-2.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Frankston W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frankston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
84-57
84
57
+27
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H19/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A07/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A16/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
12-16
17-16
17-15
13-17
27-24
16-14
18-11
23-8
26-16
9-19
26-14
19-11
13-15
18-19
22-15
15-15
14-18
10-22
21-20
12-16
19-15
13-18
21-20
20-16
15-25
28-17
26-21
26-19
15-13
22-11
22-16
21-19
24-10
8-17
27-24
19-29
17-22
15-20
22-25
144.1Avg total
75.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.373.4146.7-0.150%
Season at home (8)72.871.5144.2+1.238%
Season away (8)73.975.2149.1-1.462%
Last 10 (10)75.468.7144.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)78.474.6153.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.477.6150.0-5.129%
vs Similar (11)69.776.6146.4-6.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.868.6150.3+13.292%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +4.1+4.1
Casey Cavaliers WFrankston W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth W
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H19/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H16/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
82.9Avg total
40.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.281.0-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.742.980.6-5.136%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.781.3-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.682.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.681.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.943.282.1-4.333%-
vs Similar (6)38.038.376.3-0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Frankston W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frankston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H19/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A16/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
70.9Avg total
37.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.072.1+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.734.769.5+0.053%-
Last 30 away (15)37.637.274.8+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.370.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.874.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.336.071.3-0.729%-
vs Similar (11)31.837.168.9-5.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.734.975.6+5.875%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Casey Cavaliers W wins
2
Frankston W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/24AGeelong W80-92
22/06/24AWaverley W72-81
16/06/24HKnox W57-86
15/06/24HEltham W78-83
07/06/24HNunawading W72-63
06/06/24AMelbourne Tigers W88-90
25/05/24HHobart Chargers W74-90
19/05/24HMt. Gambier W96-87
18/05/24ABendigo Braves W78-90
11/05/24HKilsyth W73-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/24AKnox W73-96
16/06/24AMelbourne Tigers W80-70
15/06/24HNunawading W85-59
07/06/24ADandenong Rangers W89-79
01/06/24HRingwood W65-69
25/05/24HSandringham W60-75
19/05/24HGeelong W72-60
11/05/24ABendigo Braves W84-57
04/05/24ALaunceston W74-66
03/05/24AHobart Chargers W72-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeWLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game73.774.872.8
Allowed / game85.585.285.7
Point differential-11.8-10.5-12.9
Avg total159.2160.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Frankston W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%38%62%
Points / game73.372.873.9
Allowed / game73.471.575.2
Point differential-0.1+1.2-1.4
Avg total146.7144.2149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)20% (5)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keilor Thunder W1716194%77.963.4+14.5
2 Knox W1816289%84.870.8+13.9
3 Sandringham W1813572%76.670.3+6.2
4 Mt. Gambier W1712571%78.468.0+10.4
5 Dandenong Rangers W1711665%78.174.6+3.5
6 Bendigo Braves W1811761%89.178.4+10.7
7 Geelong W1811761%81.777.1+4.6
8 Eltham W1710759%80.675.4+5.2
9 Ballarat W179853%70.677.5-6.9
10 Frankston W168850%73.373.4-0.1
11 Ringwood W1991047%77.978.7-0.8
12 Waverley W178947%73.975.4-1.5
13 Melbourne Tigers W1871139%77.680.1-2.6
14 Diamond Valley W1761135%77.181.2-4.1
15 Hobart Chargers W1861233%71.375.2-3.9
16 Launceston W1841422%70.381.3-10.9
17 Casey Cavaliers W1841422%73.785.5-11.8
18 Kilsyth W1731418%68.680.5-11.9
19 Nunawading W1721512%68.883.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W1628142583
Frankston W2421182285
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