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Melbourne Tigers W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 90-88
18-25 17-20 30-21 25-22
Position#15
Record6-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#18
Record3-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game87.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers W v Casey Cavaliers W
18 Jul 2025
MELB79
CASE86
06 Jun 2024
MELB90
CASE88
09 Jul 2023
MELB71
CASE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
70-95
70
95
-25
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
14-27
20-33
22-14
18-19
18-13
21-14
11-10
24-20
20-20
21-17
18-15
15-24
12-23
15-21
28-27
23-25
7-15
24-20
15-19
12-22
15-10
16-18
29-18
13-20
19-13
10-19
25-26
30-31
25-23
16-28
21-19
16-17
29-21
24-26
12-17
19-17
15-14
12-11
19-23
156.6Avg total
76.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.580.9160.5-1.446%
Season at home (7)83.087.4170.4-4.429%
Season away (6)75.573.3148.8+2.267%
Last 10 (10)76.080.6156.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)79.082.2161.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)68.782.1150.8-13.521%
vs Similar (3)70.369.0139.3+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.381.3163.7+1.067%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
84-114
84
114
-30
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
53-103
53
103
-50
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H19/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
17-13
15-34
22-25
23-34
21-26
18-29
22-25
10-26
13-28
17-27
13-22
19-14
12-17
7-15
22-14
21-19
24-15
23-11
14-29
23-21
15-20
17-22
7-17
25-20
17-20
14-15
17-24
30-11
22-26
4-25
22-28
30-23
23-27
23-13
20-24
11-18
23-18
15-29
25-25
162.3Avg total
73.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.287.0160.2-13.825%
Season at home (5)78.290.0168.2-11.820%
Season away (7)69.784.9154.6-15.129%
Last 10 (10)73.988.4162.3-14.530%
Last 5 (5)76.685.2161.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.285.4159.6-11.320%
vs Similar (5)72.477.4149.8-5.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.9-4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.9-4.9
Melbourne Tigers WCasey Cavaliers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H18/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
75.6Avg total
36.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.878.0-5.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.642.280.8-3.750%-
Last 30 away (14)33.541.374.8-7.829%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.375.6-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)35.343.178.5-7.833%-
vs Similar (3)37.035.072.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.338.080.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H19/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
81.1Avg total
39.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.280.2-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.841.580.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.880.1-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.181.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.884.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.141.780.8-2.636%-
vs Similar (5)38.838.477.2+0.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Melbourne Tigers W wins
1
Casey Cavaliers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/24HKeilor Thunder W70-77 OT
25/05/24ANunawading W94-87 OT
18/05/24HBallarat W92-101
11/05/24ALaunceston W67-78
10/05/24AHobart Chargers W72-68
04/05/24ASandringham W69-79
27/04/24HEltham W70-95
21/04/24ADiamond Valley W83-72
20/04/24AWaverley W68-56
14/04/24HKnox W75-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24HHobart Chargers W74-90
19/05/24HMt. Gambier W96-87
18/05/24ABendigo Braves W78-90
11/05/24HKilsyth W73-79
04/05/24AKnox W62-80
27/04/24ALaunceston W82-74
26/04/24AHobart Chargers W72-70 OT
20/04/24AKeilor Thunder W53-103
14/04/24HBendigo Braves W84-114
10/04/24ASandringham W65-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%29%67%
Points / game79.583.075.5
Allowed / game80.987.473.3
Point differential-1.4-4.4+2.2
Avg total160.5170.4148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %15%14%17%
Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%20%29%
Points / game73.278.269.7
Allowed / game87.090.084.9
Point differential-13.8-11.8-15.1
Avg total160.2168.2154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keilor Thunder W1413193%77.461.6+15.8
2 Knox W1311285%82.371.0+11.3
3 Sandringham W1210283%78.270.3+7.9
4 Dandenong Rangers W1410471%78.573.3+5.2
5 Mt. Gambier W139469%79.868.8+11.1
6 Bendigo Braves W1510567%92.478.8+13.6
7 Ringwood W159660%78.978.4+0.5
8 Eltham W147750%79.275.6+3.6
9 Geelong W147750%79.078.6+0.4
10 Melbourne Tigers W136746%79.580.9-1.4
11 Frankston W125742%70.572.5-2.0
12 Waverley W135838%74.077.4-3.4
13 Ballarat W135838%67.279.2-12.0
14 Hobart Chargers W145936%72.376.1-3.8
15 Diamond Valley W124833%80.582.2-1.8
16 Launceston W1441029%71.579.9-8.4
17 Casey Cavaliers W123925%73.287.0-13.8
18 Nunawading W1321115%69.583.0-13.5
19 Kilsyth W1421214%70.482.7-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers W1817302590
Casey Cavaliers W2520212288
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