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Casey Cavaliers W vs Mt. Gambier W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 96-87
30-23 23-27 23-13 20-24
Position#18
Record2-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#6
Record9-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game65.7
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Mt. Gambier W
10 May 2025
CASE54
MT. 79
19 May 2024
CASE96
MT. 87
07 May 2022
CASE86
MT. 88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt. Gambier W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
84-114
84
114
-30
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
53-103
53
103
-50
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
12-22
16-24
17-13
25-16
21-26
16-19
14-19
11-25
17-13
15-34
22-25
23-34
21-26
18-29
22-25
10-26
13-28
17-27
13-22
19-14
12-17
7-15
22-14
21-19
24-15
23-11
14-29
23-21
15-20
17-22
7-17
25-20
17-20
14-15
17-24
30-11
22-26
4-25
22-28
157.6Avg total
70.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.986.7157.6-15.820%
Season at home (3)73.791.0164.7-17.30%
Season away (7)69.784.9154.6-15.129%
Last 10 (10)70.986.7157.6-15.820%
Last 5 (5)73.478.6152.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.786.2159.9-12.416%
vs Similar (5)72.477.4149.8-5.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
95-66
95
66
+29
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H19/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
99-81
99
81
+18
A05/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-19
21-16
25-9
25-23
18-17
34-21
18-5
17-10
21-17
26-14
21-12
17-19
17-10
15-18
18-17
31-13
15-20
23-11
10-19
16-13
17-18
23-13
24-11
22-22
23-16
15-25
19-18
26-26
26-18
29-19
18-18
20-14
29-20
18-16
13-13
26-10
20-14
11-22
24-17
148.7Avg total
83.0Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.065.7148.7+17.390%
Season at home (5)78.259.6137.8+18.6100%
Season away (5)87.871.8159.6+16.080%
Last 10 (10)83.065.7148.7+17.390%
Last 5 (5)83.868.6152.4+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.272.5153.8+8.850%
vs Similar (8)87.174.6161.8+12.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.772.2154.9+10.578%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +5.1+5.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +5.1+5.1
Casey Cavaliers WMt. Gambier W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A10/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A27/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
80.0Avg total
38.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.280.2-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.142.080.1-3.936%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.480.2-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.080.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.678.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.041.780.8-2.736%-
vs Similar (5)38.838.477.2+0.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H19/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A18/05
NBL1 South Women
76.8Avg total
42.5Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.182.7+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.137.779.8+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)45.440.686.1+4.871%-
Last 10 (10)42.534.376.8+8.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.034.279.2+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (8)44.543.688.1+0.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.337.381.6+7.078%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
2
Mt. Gambier W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24ABendigo Braves W78-90
11/05/24HKilsyth W73-79
04/05/24AKnox W62-80
27/04/24ALaunceston W82-74
26/04/24AHobart Chargers W72-70 OT
20/04/24AKeilor Thunder W53-103
14/04/24HBendigo Braves W84-114
10/04/24ASandringham W65-97
08/04/24ARingwood W76-80
06/04/24HDandenong Rangers W64-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24AKnox W81-63
10/05/24HNunawading W80-63
05/05/24ABendigo Braves W99-81
04/05/24AGeelong W79-81
26/04/24HKeilor Thunder W80-55
19/04/24HLaunceston W79-63
14/04/24HBallarat W67-64
13/04/24HFrankston W85-53
07/04/24AWaverley W95-66
06/04/24ASandringham W85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%0%29%
Points / game70.973.769.7
Allowed / game86.791.084.9
Point differential-15.8-17.3-15.1
Avg total157.6164.7154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%14%
Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game83.078.287.8
Allowed / game65.759.671.8
Point differential+17.3+18.6+16.0
Avg total148.7137.8159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%80%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keilor Thunder W1211192%76.061.1+14.9
2 Mt. Gambier W109190%83.065.7+17.3
3 Knox W119282%80.471.5+8.8
4 Sandringham W108280%78.070.2+7.8
5 Dandenong Rangers W1310377%79.072.8+6.2
6 Bendigo Braves W128467%92.078.2+13.8
7 Ringwood W137654%79.679.9-0.3
8 Frankston W105550%72.172.6-0.5
9 Ballarat W105550%68.872.7-3.9
10 Melbourne Tigers W115645%79.180.7-1.6
11 Eltham W104640%79.175.5+3.6
12 Geelong W114736%78.181.1-3.0
13 Launceston W114736%71.277.7-6.5
14 Diamond Valley W93633%77.982.3-4.4
15 Hobart Chargers W113827%67.474.2-6.8
16 Waverley W113827%72.880.5-7.7
17 Casey Cavaliers W102820%70.986.7-15.8
18 Nunawading W112918%69.082.2-13.2
19 Kilsyth W1221017%71.182.3-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W3023232096
Mt. Gambier W2327132487
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