PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Casey Cavaliers W vs Kilsyth W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 92-86 (OT)
22-28 18-14 24-20 17-19 11-5
Position#11
Record8-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#15
Record5-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game81.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Kilsyth W
11 Jul 2025
CASE92
KILS86
11 May 2024
CASE73
KILS79
30 Jul 2022
CASE105
KILS93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kilsyth W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#3
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
13-19
11-21
17-18
13-12
11-21
16-18
24-19
18-32
27-17
16-22
16-14
15-26
12-14
20-25
19-23
28-27
20-15
26-21
22-23
18-28
26-23
11-22
29-24
25-19
16-22
17-25
20-21
24-21
16-25
21-15
29-15
22-22
23-7
19-23
14-17
16-23
24-22
12-19
28-11
158.9Avg total
77.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.579.6154.1-5.144%
Season at home (9)75.485.2160.7-9.833%
Season away (9)73.673.9147.4-0.356%
Last 10 (10)77.381.6158.9-4.340%
Last 5 (5)82.080.8162.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.586.0161.4-10.519%
vs Similar (2)67.059.5126.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.375.6154.9+3.771%
This opponent (Kilsyth W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kilsyth WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
51-90
51
90
-39
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
19-21
19-25
18-22
24-23
21-24
15-16
22-19
19-15
23-22
10-28
15-25
3-18
22-20
19-18
17-12
26-14
12-23
23-15
18-25
19-22
11-13
15-24
18-19
19-29
20-20
31-17
24-19
8-29
17-18
14-27
12-16
19-20
19-22
22-27
13-14
19-22
20-22
17-17
17-12
156.5Avg total
72.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.981.5151.4-11.626%
Season at home (10)67.482.8150.2-15.420%
Season away (9)72.780.0152.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)72.983.6156.5-10.720%
Last 5 (5)71.683.0154.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)67.783.7151.4-16.014%
vs Similar (9)72.372.7145.0-0.356%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Casey Cavaliers WKilsyth W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
80.6Avg total
38.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.779.5-4.023%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.644.083.6-4.418%-
Last 30 away (13)35.338.874.1-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.080.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.484.4-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.744.081.8-6.319%-
vs Similar (2)31.533.565.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.737.176.9+2.643%-
This opponent (Kilsyth W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kilsyth WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
78.5Avg total
36.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.577.7-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.540.975.3-6.433%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.180.0-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.242.378.5-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.477.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.544.078.5-9.614%-
vs Similar (9)40.135.675.7+4.667%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Casey Cavaliers W wins
2
Kilsyth W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25ADandenong Rangers W80-75
29/06/25HEltham W78-69
28/06/25ABendigo Braves W90-76
21/06/25HRingwood W78-87
14/06/25HLaunceston W84-97
06/06/25HSandringham W96-86
31/05/25AKeilor Thunder W66-88
24/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W77-85
17/05/25AFrankston W64-70
11/05/25AWaverley W60-83
Kilsyth Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25ABallarat W77-79 OT
28/06/25HDandenong Rangers W73-83
22/06/25HGeelong W51-90
21/06/25AWaverley W94-85
14/06/25HMt. Gambier W63-78
06/06/25HBendigo Braves W79-77
31/05/25HKnox W61-68
25/05/25HFrankston W67-90
24/05/25AKeilor Thunder W86-92 OT
17/05/25ADiamond Valley W78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%33%56%
Points / game74.575.473.6
Allowed / game79.685.273.9
Point differential-5.1-9.8-0.3
Avg total154.1160.7147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kilsyth W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL26%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%20%33%
Points / game69.967.472.7
Allowed / game81.582.880.0
Point differential-11.6-15.4-7.3
Avg total151.4150.2152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W18180100%89.164.8+24.3
2 Keilor Thunder W1816289%81.971.5+10.4
3 Knox W1916384%82.165.2+16.8
4 Dandenong Rangers W1813572%85.473.2+12.2
5 Waverley W1913668%77.971.7+6.2
6 Diamond Valley W1812667%84.277.3+6.9
7 Melbourne Tigers W1911858%79.475.3+4.1
8 Frankston W1810856%76.271.8+4.4
9 Ringwood W2011955%78.575.0+3.4
10 Sandringham W189950%78.679.2-0.7
11 Casey Cavaliers W1881044%74.579.6-5.1
12 Nunawading W1981142%67.476.6-9.2
13 Ballarat W1861233%70.782.3-11.6
14 Mt. Gambier W1961332%67.776.1-8.4
15 Hobart Chargers W1951426%71.480.6-9.3
16 Kilsyth W1951426%69.981.5-11.6
17 Launceston W1941521%73.281.3-8.1
18 Eltham W1831517%72.884.8-12.1
19 Bendigo Braves W2031715%72.283.0-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Casey Cavaliers W221824171192
Kilsyth W28142019586
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.