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Casey Cavaliers W vs Melbourne Tigers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 77-85
18-32 27-17 16-22 16-14
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#8
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game76.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers W v Melbourne Tigers W
24 May 2025
CASE77
MELB85
13 Jul 2024
CASE109
MELB84
22 Apr 2022
CASE94
MELB44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A04/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
54-79
54
79
-25
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
4-27
17-24
17-22
13-20
17-4
28-23
18-13
16-22
23-19
20-20
21-12
20-12
9-17
15-12
18-15
21-19
13-13
14-26
23-24
21-28
21-23
22-18
12-24
25-16
25-18
14-19
29-22
18-23
12-12
11-23
13-21
19-25
13-19
11-21
17-18
13-12
11-21
16-18
24-19
146.1Avg total
69.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.276.9146.1-7.740%
Season at home (4)66.585.8152.2-19.225%
Season away (6)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)69.276.9146.1-7.740%
Last 5 (5)69.480.0149.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.888.1160.9-15.314%
vs Similar (4)72.268.0140.2+4.275%
vs Weaker (4)75.871.8147.5+4.075%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
84-109
84
109
-25
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
82-49
82
49
+33
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
29-30
8-24
25-37
20-13
21-24
16-22
17-20
25-20
20-23
29-19
16-14
27-19
18-20
18-33
18-18
22-18
20-27
22-18
18-17
23-18
16-24
19-24
21-29
25-18
23-25
9-21
29-17
29-21
13-6
21-7
19-15
16-14
12-18
18-11
22-19
28-19
23-18
18-23
14-12
160.2Avg total
80.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.676.0156.6+4.667%
Season at home (5)78.678.4157.0+0.260%
Season away (4)83.073.0156.0+10.075%
Last 10 (10)80.979.3160.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)79.671.8151.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.482.8156.1-9.425%
vs Similar (3)75.779.0154.7-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.079.7161.7+2.364%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Casey Cavaliers WMelbourne Tigers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
22-52
22
52
-30
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A04/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
70.7Avg total
33.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.578.3-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.445.483.8-7.114%-
Last 30 away (16)35.638.073.6-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)33.237.570.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.475.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.744.080.7-7.418%-
vs Similar (4)37.535.272.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (4)37.233.570.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H24/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
82.5Avg total
43.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.180.4-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.543.381.8-4.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.979.0+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.382.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.277.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.943.180.1-6.244%-
vs Similar (3)37.736.073.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.139.682.7+3.564%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Casey Cavaliers W wins
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25AFrankston W64-70
11/05/25AWaverley W60-83
10/05/25HMt. Gambier W54-79
03/05/25AKilsyth W93-75
26/04/25HDiamond Valley W76-93
25/04/25AKnox W71-82
12/04/25ANunawading W62-56
06/04/25HHobart Chargers W80-73
04/04/25AMt. Gambier W76-60
29/03/25HDandenong Rangers W56-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25ABendigo Braves W83-72
11/05/25HFrankston W68-62
10/05/25ABallarat W82-49
04/05/25AEltham W86-81
24/04/25HNunawading W79-95
13/04/25HDandenong Rangers W82-80
08/04/25ADiamond Valley W81-90
04/04/25HKilsyth W90-76
30/03/25HSandringham W74-79
13/07/24ACasey Cavaliers W84-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%25%50%
Points / game69.266.571.0
Allowed / game76.985.871.0
Point differential-7.7-19.2+0.0
Avg total146.1152.2142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game80.678.683.0
Allowed / game76.078.473.0
Point differential+4.6+0.2+10.0
Avg total156.6157.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W10100100%90.665.9+24.7
2 Keilor Thunder W108280%76.969.8+7.1
3 Knox W118373%82.770.9+11.8
4 Dandenong Rangers W107370%85.171.0+14.1
5 Waverley W107370%76.168.7+7.4
6 Diamond Valley W107370%86.280.7+5.5
7 Melbourne Tigers W96367%80.676.0+4.6
8 Sandringham W106460%80.776.9+3.8
9 Ringwood W116555%77.671.9+5.7
10 Frankston W116555%73.269.3+3.9
11 Nunawading W105550%69.273.9-4.7
12 Casey Cavaliers W104640%69.276.9-7.7
13 Hobart Chargers W124833%70.077.1-7.1
14 Ballarat W103730%72.083.4-11.4
15 Kilsyth W103730%67.780.6-12.9
16 Mt. Gambier W103730%67.380.4-13.1
17 Eltham W102820%77.083.5-6.5
18 Bendigo Braves W112918%72.483.3-10.9
19 Launceston W111109%68.881.1-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers W1827161677
Melbourne Tigers W3217221485
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