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Caxias do Sul vs Mogi Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game73.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Mogi
21 Dec 2026
CAXI v MOGI
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
CAXI67
MOGI72
09 Apr 2025
CAXI82
MOGI75
15 Nov 2023
CAXI81
MOGI77
30 Dec 2021
CAXI73
MOGI78
10 Jan 2021
CAXI87
MOGI92
23 Apr 2018
CAXI70
MOGI80
14 Apr 2018
CAXI60
MOGI63
07 Dec 2017
CAXI66
MOGI65
17 Nov 2016
CAXI80
MOGI87
27 Jan 2016
CAXI81
MOGI89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
60avg 66
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-92
79
92
-13
76avg 66
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
57avg 66
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 66
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
52avg 66
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
62avg 66
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
45avg 66
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
52avg 66
H20/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
82-84
82
84
-2
76avg 66
A28/10
NBB
Flamengo
#7
L
59-77
59
77
-18
no box
A30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
12-20
26-16
11-17
14-18
23-26
24-30
18-18
15-23
20-11
15-19
14-20
23-20
14-26
20-17
13-15
20-20
8-11
20-17
18-15
24-15
9-22
18-19
19-15
20-21
19-12
9-19
13-20
20-25
13-18
10-18
23-17
24-22
16-14
21-25
21-23
15-17
12-18
9-28
23-14
143.8Avg total
68.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.077.8144.8-10.80%
Season at home (2)63.575.0138.5-11.50%
Season away (2)70.580.5151.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)68.275.6143.8-7.410%
Last 5 (5)67.676.4144.0-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.077.7145.7-9.717%
vs Similar (5)76.675.6152.2+1.040%
vs Weaker (7)80.071.7151.7+8.371%
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
W
81-70
81
70
+11
75avg 69
H27/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
95-93
95
93
+2
94avg 69
A05/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
65-97
65
97
-32
42avg 69
H08/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
65avg 69
H10/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
102-90
102
90
+12
103avg 69
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 69
A15/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 69
H17/10
NBB
Franca
#8
L
74-90
74
90
-16
67avg 69
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
79-61
79
61
+18
58avg 69
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
65avg 69
H26/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
17-17
19-22
20-13
26-32
15-16
33-28
21-17
16-21
15-26
17-22
17-28
16-34
24-24
14-16
16-14
28-26
31-21
26-23
17-20
25-20
11-20
23-17
18-21
18-17
26-21
18-24
22-11
18-24
31-24
9-19
16-23
20-15
19-19
23-9
17-18
19-20
17-22
25-15
17-13
161.5Avg total
80.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.873.5152.2+5.275%
Season at home (2)81.071.5152.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)76.575.5152.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.581.0161.5-0.560%
Last 5 (5)78.474.4152.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.984.0162.9-5.133%
vs Similar (11)77.573.6151.2+3.973%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.771.1147.8+5.670%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
Caxias do SulMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A28/10
NBB
Flamengo
#7
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A30/10
NBB
71.1Avg total
33.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.672.5-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.237.871.9-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)35.937.473.3-1.554%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.471.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.737.971.6-4.344%-
vs Similar (5)34.038.872.8-4.820%-
vs Weaker (7)38.935.974.7+3.057%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H08/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H10/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
NBB
Franca
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H26/10
NBB
85.4Avg total
41.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.778.6+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.977.3+1.673%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.679.9+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.785.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.481.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.745.486.1-4.822%-
vs Similar (11)38.435.573.9+2.882%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.836.277.0+4.670%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.814.0
47.0%
49.9%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
31.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.1
72.1%
71.2%11.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
49.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.5
33.0%
31.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.010.6
75.7%
71.2%10.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLLLLWLLLL
Mogi
WWLWLWLLWW
#16
League position
#4
-4.0
Net rating
+0.7
88.6
Offensive rating
96.5
92.7
Defensive rating
95.8
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.2%
3-point %
33.0%
63.9%
Assist %
62.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.6 · 96.5Defence92.7 · 95.8Shooting49.2% · 50.3%3-point %34.2% · 33.0%Ball care15.1% · 12.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Caxias do Sul wins
8
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
09/03/26Caxias do Sul v Mogi67-72
29/12/25Mogi v Caxias do Sul71-56
09/04/25Caxias do Sul v Mogi82-75 OT
29/11/24Mogi v Caxias do Sul74-71
14/02/24Mogi v Caxias do Sul81-74
15/11/23Caxias do Sul v Mogi81-77
06/04/22Mogi v Caxias do Sul86-65
30/12/21Caxias do Sul v Mogi73-78
08/02/21Mogi v Caxias do Sul86-75
10/01/21Caxias do Sul v Mogi87-92 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AFlamengo59-77
28/10/26ABotafogo82-84
20/10/26HMinas66-78
17/10/26HCruzeiro61-72
30/04/26ABrasilia70-71
27/04/26HBrasilia66-63
25/04/26HBrasilia70-78
22/04/26ABrasilia64-73
17/04/26HCorinthians Paulista79-92
15/04/26HSao Jose65-68
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/26HUnifacisa78-70
23/10/26ABauru79-61
21/10/26AFranca74-90
17/10/26HCorinthians Paulista84-73
15/05/26AFranca77-78
13/05/26AFranca102-90
10/05/26HFranca70-88
08/05/26HFranca65-97
05/05/26AFranca95-93
27/04/26HSao Jose81-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.063.570.5
Allowed / game77.875.080.5
Point differential-10.8-11.5-10.0
Avg total144.8138.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.881.076.5
Allowed / game73.571.575.5
Point differential+5.2+9.5+1.0
Avg total152.2152.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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