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Mogi vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-74
16-18 16-16 22-19 27-21
Position#14
Record3-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game81.1
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#18
Record8-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game79.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Caxias do Sul
29 Dec 2025
MOGI71
CAXI56
29 Nov 2024
MOGI74
CAXI71
14 Feb 2024
MOGI81
CAXI74
06 Apr 2022
MOGI86
CAXI65
08 Feb 2021
MOGI86
CAXI75
20 Apr 2018
MOGI54
CAXI65
18 Apr 2018
MOGI69
CAXI57
16 Feb 2018
MOGI76
CAXI75
02 Feb 2017
MOGI73
CAXI64
10 Nov 2015
MOGI83
CAXI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
73-84
73
84
-11
72avg 65
A12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
51avg 65
H21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
78-92
78
92
-14
74avg 65
A27/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
63-61
63
61
+2
57avg 65
A29/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 65
H09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
63avg 65
H18/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 65
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 65
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
65-102
65
102
-37
56avg 65
A08/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
20-17
25-20
11-22
20-22
16-18
21-20
20-17
14-23
22-16
16-17
12-19
15-27
7-24
27-22
29-19
9-16
19-16
16-15
19-14
16-19
18-25
14-23
27-9
23-19
21-18
5-16
21-24
12-17
14-14
18-21
24-27
19-23
20-24
19-22
17-24
10-35
19-30
18-22
18-15
154.5Avg total
71.8Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.781.1153.7-8.413%
Season at home (11)74.481.8156.2-7.59%
Season away (12)71.180.4151.5-9.317%
Last 10 (10)71.882.7154.5-10.910%
Last 5 (5)70.685.4156.0-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.883.8158.7-9.016%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.175.8150.9-0.730%
vs Weaker (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 57
H21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
55-84
55
84
-29
37avg 57
A27/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
74-78
74
78
-4
66avg 57
A29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
no box
A12/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
71avg 57
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
60avg 57
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
62-105
62
105
-43
43avg 57
A23/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
72-86
72
86
-14
53avg 57
H07/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
79-67
79
67
+12
65avg 57
H09/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
14-14
28-9
17-20
22-17
14-26
4-23
15-18
16-24
17-18
20-20
21-16
16-21
15-18
22-18
25-21
16-28
11-17
23-11
17-11
12-24
27-17
22-19
21-16
11-28
19-12
25-20
18-18
19-30
12-34
11-22
20-19
18-16
16-25
20-15
18-30
23-14
23-19
14-20
19-14
153.1Avg total
72.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.579.8152.3-7.333%
Season at home (12)74.877.6152.3-2.833%
Season away (12)70.282.1152.3-11.833%
Last 10 (10)72.980.2153.1-7.330%
Last 5 (5)73.682.4156.0-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.582.0152.5-11.418%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.676.2151.8-0.660%
vs Weaker (3)74.071.0145.0+3.067%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
MogiCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A27/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A29/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H18/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A22/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
29-65
29
65
-36
A08/02
NBB
75.9Avg total
33.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.476.8-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.840.378.1-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)35.140.675.6-5.525%-
Last 10 (10)33.142.875.9-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)34.444.879.2-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.541.978.4-5.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.737.373.0-1.630%-
vs Weaker (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A12/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A18/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A20/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A23/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H07/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H09/02
NBB
75.8Avg total
33.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.041.274.2-8.313%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.539.472.9-5.914%-
Last 30 away (16)32.542.975.4-10.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.542.375.8-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.879.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.441.974.3-9.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.241.073.2-8.80%-
vs Weaker (3)38.337.075.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.3
48.0%
51.8%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.2
32.2%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.510.8
69.7%
72.6%10.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.0
47.8%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.1
27.3%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.514.7
68.4%
72.6%14.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLLLLWLLLL
Caxias do Sul
WLLLWLLLLW
#14
League position
#18
-17.4
Net rating
-10.2
97.0
Offensive rating
94.2
114.5
Defensive rating
104.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
44.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.2%
3-point %
27.3%
69.0%
Assist %
69.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 94.2Defence114.5 · 104.4Shooting48.1% · 44.9%3-point %32.2% · 27.3%Ball care17.6% · 20.0%Off. rebounds23.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Mogi   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mogi wins
2
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23Caxias do Sul v Mogi81-77
06/04/22Mogi v Caxias do Sul86-65
30/12/21Caxias do Sul v Mogi73-78
08/02/21Mogi v Caxias do Sul86-75
10/01/21Caxias do Sul v Mogi87-92 OT
23/04/18Caxias do Sul v Mogi70-80
21/04/18Mogi v Caxias do Sul54-65
18/04/18Mogi v Caxias do Sul69-57
14/04/18Caxias do Sul v Mogi60-63
16/02/18Mogi v Caxias do Sul76-75
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24AMinas65-102
24/01/24ACearense75-93
22/01/24AUnifacisa68-79
18/01/24HCorinthians Paulista70-77
09/01/24HPinheiros75-76
29/12/23ASao Paulo63-61
27/12/23APaulistano78-92
21/12/23HFranca64-75
18/12/23HBauru87-88 OT
12/12/23ASao Jose73-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HBrasilia79-67
07/02/24HCerrado72-86
23/01/24AFlamengo62-105
20/01/24AVasco73-78
18/01/24ABotafogo82-76
12/01/24AUniao Corinthians75-79 OT
03/01/24HFlamengo84-85 OT
29/12/23APato74-78
27/12/23AMinas55-84
21/12/23HPinheiros73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL9%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %13%9%17%
Points / game72.774.471.1
Allowed / game81.181.880.4
Point differential-8.4-7.5-9.3
Avg total153.7156.2151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game72.574.870.2
Allowed / game79.877.682.1
Point differential-7.3-2.8-11.8
Avg total152.3152.3152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2421388%87.071.7+15.3
2 Flamengo2420483%86.274.7+11.6
3 Franca2420483%87.375.7+11.6
4 Vasco2417771%75.371.6+3.7
5 Paulistano2416867%74.271.5+2.7
6 Bauru2415962%79.578.1+1.4
7 Unifacisa25151060%82.779.2+3.5
8 Sao Jose24131154%81.076.7+4.3
9 Cearense25131252%78.677.1+1.6
10 Corinthians Paulista24111346%78.878.4+0.5
11 Pinheiros24111346%76.778.3-1.6
12 Sao Paulo24111346%78.080.2-2.1
13 Pato25111444%77.178.6-1.5
14 Caxias do Sul2481633%72.579.8-7.3
15 Uniao Corinthians2581732%73.182.3-9.2
16 Cerrado2471729%74.176.1-2.0
17 Botafogo2561924%77.486.2-8.8
18 Brasilia2442017%70.685.4-14.8
19 Mogi2332013%72.781.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1616222781
Caxias do Sul1816192174
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