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CB Queluz vs Galitos Aveiro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 75-73
Projected total 148.0
Final 83-77
15-19 29-22 16-20 23-16
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game71.8
CB Queluz 🏆
Portugal
Vs
54%
46%
■ CB Q 54%■ GALI 46%
Pythia win probability
Galitos Aveiro
Portugal
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.0
PortugalProligaRound 7· Complexo Desportivo Municipal João Carlos Cifuentes
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

CB Queluz will host Galitos Aveiro on 14 November 2026 in the Proliga, and the matchup feels razor-thin, with the model giving a 54% chance to the home side and 46% to the visitors, the favourite being CB Queluz. Queluz has gone 3-3 in all six games this season, scoring 70.3 points per game and allowing 71.8, while Galitos Aveiro has been 5-1, averaging 79.2 points and conceding 72.0, a stark contrast that hints at the visitors' offensive edge. At home Queluz has won only one of three outings, 72.0 points for and 75.7 against, and their last five games have yielded two wins and three losses, including defeats to Sampaense, Galitos Barreiro and Santo Andre. Galitos Aveiro's road record is 2-1, with 65.0 points scored and 66.7 allowed, and their last five have produced four victories and one defeat, highlighted by wins over Academica, Illiabum and Benfica Lisboa B. The model projects a 75-73 score, 148 total points, and a 5% chance of overtime, suggesting a tight contest that could hinge on a single play.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CB Queluz winWon
54.4%fair 1.84
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galitos Aveiro winLost
45.6%fair 2.19
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CB QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
76-58
76
58
+18
61avg 63
A04/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
88-60
88
60
+28
88avg 63
H18/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
94-80
94
80
+14
97avg 63
H26/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 63
A02/05
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
65-59
65
59
+6
56avg 63
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
61-57
61
57
+4
50avg 63
H10/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
74-69
74
69
+5
71avg 63
A17/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
76avg 63
H24/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 63
H31/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A08/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
23-10
21-8
16-18
27-11
22-18
22-18
17-13
25-20
20-22
24-15
25-23
16-31
11-20
20-19
21-19
13-14
19-21
9-13
24-11
24-19
14-10
11-19
12-9
15-10
19-22
15-23
25-14
18-26
21-30
23-19
25-21
9-20
18-18
13-13
28-23
21-22
20-21
14-14
12-19
146.6Avg total
74.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.371.8142.2-1.550%
Season at home (3)72.075.7147.7-3.733%
Season away (3)68.768.0136.7+0.767%
Last 10 (10)74.871.8146.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)71.474.4145.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.084.3156.3-12.322%
vs Similar (7)72.471.4143.9+1.043%
vs Weaker (5)70.657.8128.4+12.8100%
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAveiro
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
no box
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
71-63
71
63
+8
42avg 66
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 66
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
56-74
56
74
-18
50avg 66
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
90-68
90
68
+22
88avg 66
H24/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
62avg 66
A31/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-9
22-19
20-25
21-21
13-12
16-17
18-18
24-13
20-22
9-19
17-22
19-31
17-10
18-22
16-25
22-21
22-10
12-12
15-20
29-14
27-16
22-26
14-28
14-17
13-14
11-15
18-28
16-26
24-9
30-20
20-13
12-14
18-8
14-18
24-23
22-20
26-15
23-20
27-25
153.1Avg total
77.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.272.0151.2+7.283%
Season at home (3)93.377.3170.7+16.0100%
Season away (3)65.066.7131.7-1.767%
Last 10 (10)77.975.2153.1+2.770%
Last 5 (5)80.873.8154.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)69.779.9149.6-10.317%
vs Similar (2)68.582.5151.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.871.6155.4+12.2100%
This opponent (CB Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149
Over 149
46.7%
Under 149
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154Actual: Over 154
Over 154
34.8%
Under 154
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159Actual: Over 159
Over 159
24.4%
Under 159
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

CB Queluz total 75Actual: CB Queluz over 75
Over 75
48.2%
Under 75
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CB Queluz total 79Actual: CB Queluz over 79
Over 79
32.7%
Under 79
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CB Queluz total 83Push
Over 83
19.8%
Under 83
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galitos Aveiro total 71.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro over 71.5
Over 71.5
56.9%
Under 71.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galitos Aveiro total 75.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro over 75.5
Over 75.5
41.5%
Under 75.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galitos Aveiro total 79.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro under 79.5
Over 79.5
27.4%
Under 79.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CB Queluz -3Actual: CB Queluz -3
CB Q -3
45.3%
GALI +3
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
CB Q
No market prices yet.
GALI
No market prices yet.
Spread CB Queluz 0Actual: CB Queluz 0
CB Q 0
54.4%
GALI 0
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
CB Q
No market prices yet.
GALI
No market prices yet.
Spread CB Queluz +3Actual: CB Queluz +3
CB Q +3
63.5%
GALI -3
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
CB Q
No market prices yet.
GALI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
CB QueluzGalitos Aveiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CB QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A04/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H18/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A02/05
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H10/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A17/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H24/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H31/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/11
Proliga
75.8Avg total
37.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.175.2-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.137.172.2-2.129%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.977.8-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.775.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.442.277.7-6.828%-
vs Similar (7)37.936.974.7+1.043%-
vs Weaker (5)35.831.267.0+4.640%-
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H07/11
Proliga
72.8Avg total
40.0Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.773.4+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.637.175.7+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)35.036.471.4-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.032.872.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.670.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.338.073.3-2.743%-
vs Similar (2)35.536.572.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.630.674.2+13.0100%-
This opponent (CB Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CB Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CB Queluz: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.9
47.2%
52.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.3
30.2%
30.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
67.3%14.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galitos Aveirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos Aveiro: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.8
50.7%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
30.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.212.6
62.4%
67.3%12.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CB Queluz
LLLWWWLWWW
Galitos Aveiro
WWWLWWLLWW
#9
League position
#3
+4.8
Net rating
-2.8
85.3
Offensive rating
88.3
80.5
Defensive rating
91.2
46.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
22.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.2%
3-point %
32.3%
61.9%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence85.3 · 88.3Defence80.5 · 91.2Shooting46.4% · 49.8%3-point %30.2% · 32.3%Ball care16.8% · 22.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ CB Queluz   ■ Galitos Aveiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CB Queluz wins
0
Galitos Aveiro wins
No previous meetings.
CB Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASampaense67-76
31/10/26HGalitos Barreiro68-74
24/10/26HSanto Andre87-96
17/10/26AAcademica74-69
10/10/26HIlliabum61-57
04/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B65-59
02/05/26ALusitania68-89
26/04/26HBenfica Lisboa B94-80
18/04/26HSangalhos88-60
04/04/26AAcademica76-58
Galitos Aveirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAcademica98-80
31/10/26AIlliabum68-63
24/10/26HBenfica Lisboa B90-68
17/10/26ASangalhos56-74
10/10/26HVasco Da Gama92-84
03/10/26ABarreirense71-63
04/05/25ABenfica Lisboa B70-88
27/04/25ABarreirense70-76
25/04/25HSampaense81-77 OT
05/04/25HSanto Andre83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CB Queluz
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game70.372.068.7
Allowed / game71.875.768.0
Point differential-1.5-3.7+0.7
Avg total142.2147.7136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galitos Aveiro
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game79.293.365.0
Allowed / game72.077.366.7
Point differential+7.2+16.0-1.7
Avg total151.2170.7131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos65183%75.060.5+14.5
2 Galitos Aveiro65183%79.272.0+7.2
3 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
4 Sampaense64267%85.779.2+6.5
5 Santo Andre64267%78.776.2+2.5
6 Galitos Barreiro64267%74.373.0+1.3
7 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
8 Maia53260%86.888.2-1.4
9 Illiabum63350%72.072.7-0.7
10 CB Queluz63350%70.371.8-1.5
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense62433%84.788.7-4.0
13 Barcelos62433%68.575.8-7.3
14 Barreirense62433%76.885.3-8.5
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica6060%79.388.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CB Queluz1529162383
Galitos Aveiro1922201677
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