Sampaense host CB Queluz on 8 November 2026 in the Proliga, with the model favouring the home side at 56% to 44% and projecting a 78-76 win for Sampaense; the spread is -6.5 with a 35% chance of the home team covering, and the over-158.5 line has a 40% probability, while a 5% overtime chance is noted. Sampaense finish the season 3-2, 87.6 points per game and 81.6 allowed, positioned 5th, and are unbeaten at home 3-0, averaging 96.3 points and 83.0 allowed; their last five games include two recent home victories over Academica 105-99 and Illiabum 99-70, and a narrow away loss to Benfica Lisboa B 67-69. CB Queluz also sit 3-2, 71.0 points and 71.0 allowed, 7th in the league, and are undefeated on the road 2-0, scoring 69.5 and allowing 64.0; their recent five games feature a win over Academica 74-69 away, but losses to Galitos Barreiro 68-74 and Santo Andre 87-96 at home. The teams have split their two meetings, with the last encounter on 14 March 2026 ending 76-59 in favour of CB Queluz. The projected total of 154.5 points sits below the over line, suggesting a tighter contest than the spread implies.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 87.6 | 81.6 | 169.2 | +6.0 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 96.3 | 83.0 | 179.3 | +13.3 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 74.5 | 79.5 | 154.0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.5 | 81.6 | 164.1 | +0.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.6 | 81.6 | 169.2 | +6.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 67.8 | 80.5 | 148.3 | -12.6 | 24% |
| vs Similar (2) | 68.5 | 76.5 | 145.0 | -8.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 79.9 | 73.5 | 153.4 | +6.5 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 71.0 | 71.0 | 142.0 | +0.0 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 72.0 | 75.7 | 147.7 | -3.7 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 69.5 | 64.0 | 133.5 | +5.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.6 | 71.2 | 144.8 | +2.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 71.0 | 71.0 | 142.0 | +0.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 69.9 | 84.0 | 153.9 | -14.1 | 24% |
| vs Similar (7) | 74.4 | 75.0 | 149.4 | -0.6 | 29% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 71.2 | 59.7 | 130.8 | +11.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.0 | 37.6 | 73.6 | -1.6 | 47% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.7 | 38.3 | 79.1 | +2.4 | 60% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 31.2 | 36.9 | 68.1 | -5.7 | 33% | 7% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.9 | 38.9 | 77.8 | +0.0 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.4 | 39.6 | 82.0 | +2.8 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 32.8 | 39.6 | 72.4 | -6.8 | 24% | 18% |
| vs Similar (2) | 36.5 | 37.0 | 73.5 | -0.5 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 40.7 | 34.6 | 75.4 | +6.1 | 82% | 36% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.3 | 38.9 | 74.3 | -3.6 | 33% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 34.0 | 37.1 | 71.1 | -3.1 | 27% | 20% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 36.7 | 40.7 | 77.4 | -4.1 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.9 | 37.5 | 73.4 | -1.6 | 50% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.0 | 38.0 | 72.0 | -4.0 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 34.8 | 41.4 | 76.1 | -6.6 | 29% | 35% |
| vs Similar (7) | 36.6 | 39.6 | 76.1 | -3.0 | 29% | 43% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 35.5 | 31.3 | 66.8 | +4.2 | 50% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaense under 84.5 | 73.2% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +16.9pp | Won |
| Sampaense under 85.5 | 76.3% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Won |
| Sampaense under 86.5 | 79.2% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Won |
| Sampaense under 87.5 | 81.8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +15.7pp | Won |
| Sampaense under 88.5 | 84.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +15.0pp | Won |
| CB Queluz +8.5 | 72.0% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Lost |
| CB Queluz +9.5 | 74.9% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| CB Queluz +10.5 | 77.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Won |
| CB Queluz +11.5 | 80.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| CB Queluz under 82.5 | 72.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | - |
| CB Queluz over 70.5 | 71.3% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.8 | 21.2 | 52.8% | 42.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.4 | 7.8 | 30.4% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.6 | 14.6 | 67.0% | 14.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.8 | 16.9 | 52.8% | 33.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.5 | 8.3 | 30.4% | 24.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 14.1 | 67.0% | 14.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 | CB Queluz v Sampaense | 76-59 |
| 24/01/26 | Sampaense v CB Queluz | 78-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | H | Academica | 105-99 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Illiabum | 99-70 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Benfica Lisboa B | 67-69 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Sangalhos | 85-80 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Vasco Da Gama | 82-90 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Academica | 85-81 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Galomar | 78-88 |
| 19/04/26 | H | Santo Andre | 87-80 |
| 04/04/26 | A | Sangalhos | 77-72 |
| 29/03/26 | A | Lusitania | 60-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Galitos Barreiro | 68-74 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Santo Andre | 87-96 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Academica | 74-69 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Illiabum | 61-57 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Benfica Lisboa B | 65-59 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Lusitania | 68-89 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Benfica Lisboa B | 94-80 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Sangalhos | 88-60 |
| 04/04/26 | A | Academica | 76-58 |
| 29/03/26 | H | Galomar | 55-70 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 60% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 87.6 | 96.3 | 74.5 |
| Allowed / game | 81.6 | 83.0 | 79.5 |
| Point differential | +6.0 | +13.3 | -5.0 |
| Avg total | 169.2 | 179.3 | 154.0 |
| Over 158.5 | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 60% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 71.0 | 72.0 | 69.5 |
| Allowed / game | 71.0 | 75.7 | 64.0 |
| Point differential | +0.0 | -3.7 | +5.5 |
| Avg total | 142.0 | 147.7 | 133.5 |
| Over 158.5 | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 75.0 | 60.5 | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 79.2 | 72.0 | +7.2 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.3 | 72.3 | +9.0 | |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 78.7 | 76.2 | +2.5 |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 74.3 | 73.0 | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.2 | 69.0 | +8.2 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 87.6 | 81.6 | +6.0 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 71.0 | 71.0 | +0.0 | |
| 9 | Maia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 86.8 | 88.2 | -1.4 |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 72.0 | 72.7 | -0.7 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 85.8 | 88.8 | -3.0 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 84.7 | 88.7 | -4.0 | |
| 13 | Barcelos | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 68.5 | 75.8 | -7.3 |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 76.8 | 85.3 | -8.5 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 67.7 | 80.7 | -13.0 | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 79.3 | 88.0 | -8.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 21 | 14 | 19 | 76 | |
| 21 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 67 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.