Cearense vs Palmeiras Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 85-83 (OT)

17-10 21-19 19-22 14-20 14-12

Position#8

Record11-15

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game81.8

Cearense 🏆

Palmeiras

Position#13

Record8-19

FormLWWWL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game83.9

NBBRound 30

Other2012-13

Meetings · Cearense v Palmeiras

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palmeiras winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

#15

71-74

-3

H26/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

60-72

-12

H31/01

NBB

Franca

87-88

-1

H02/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

86-76

+10

A14/02

NBB

Bauru

84-95

-11

A16/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

92-86

H21/02

NBB

Flamengo

82-101

101

-19

H23/02

NBB

Brasilia

100-104 OT

100

104

-4

H26/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

71-94

-23

A07/03

NBB

Limeira

#11

72-90

-18

A09/03

NBB

16-21

18-12

23-24

14-17

16-19

20-10

15-23

9-20

22-20

18-20

23-17

24-31

19-18

22-17

25-20

20-21

19-23

31-18

15-24

19-30

24-13

20-20

17-30

31-23

8-20

22-33

22-27

30-21

28-21

23-27

22-26

20-19

26-19

19-22

12-26

14-27

24-21

14-28

14-19

20-22

168.5Avg total

80.5Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.0	81.8	160.8	-2.9	42%
Season at home (13)	80.1	79.9	160.0	+0.2	46%
Season away (13)	77.8	83.8	161.6	-5.9	38%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	88.0	168.5	-7.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	95.0	178.4	-11.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.8	89.6	165.4	-13.9	0%
vs Similar (10)	78.7	78.9	157.6	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	82.5	77.8	160.2	+4.8	75%

This opponent (Palmeiras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palmeiras

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Suzano

#18

87-79

A31/01

NBB

Paulistano

69-83

-14

A05/02

NBB

Pinheiros

82-87

-5

A07/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#16

87-65

+22

H14/02

NBB

Minas

#10

96-87

H16/02

NBB

Sao Jose

65-77

-12

A19/02

NBB

Mogi

#15

86-77 OT

H23/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

112-104 OT

112

104

H07/03

NBB

Franca

87-77

+10

H09/03

NBB

Brasilia

81-99

-18

A15/03

NBB

23-12

19-19

23-19

22-29

12-29

24-13

16-21

17-20

21-24

32-12

15-22

14-29

18-17

23-16

25-16

21-16

15-18

30-22

17-21

34-26

14-16

11-24

28-19

12-18

17-15

19-15

20-13

13-26

24-16

11-18

16-24

22-15

17-18

27-12

24-28

19-19

24-26

15-25

19-24

23-24

168.7Avg total

85.2Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	77.5	83.9	161.4	-6.4	30%
Season at home (13)	84.5	84.7	169.2	-0.2	54%
Season away (14)	71.0	83.2	154.2	-12.2	7%
Last 10 (10)	85.2	83.5	168.7	+1.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	86.8	173.0	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	76.3	86.9	163.2	-10.6	19%
vs Similar (9)	76.7	79.0	155.7	-2.3	33%
vs Weaker (2)	91.0	82.5	173.5	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CearensePalmeiras

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.9	19.6	37.4	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.8	18.8	37.7	-0.0	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	18.2	36.3	+0.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	19.5	39.0	-0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	26.0	45.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.7	19.5	37.3	-1.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.7	20.2	34.9	-5.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.6	38.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	50%	-

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

#15

34-33

H26/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

36-29

H31/01

NBB

Franca

40-40

H02/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

41-35

A14/02

NBB

Bauru

50-41

A16/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

44-33

+11

H21/02

NBB

Flamengo

30-53

-23

H23/02

NBB

Brasilia

51-48

H26/02

NBB

Joinville

#14

45-41

A07/03

NBB

Limeira

#11

38-49

-11

A09/03

NBB

81.1Avg total

40.9Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.3	65%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	36.8	75.0	+1.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.2	81.1	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	44.8	86.4	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.9	42.9	79.8	-6.0	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.3	37.8	76.1	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.6	34.1	74.8	+6.5	100%	-

This opponent (Palmeiras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalmeirasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Suzano

#18

42-31

+11

A31/01

NBB

Paulistano

36-42

-6

A05/02

NBB

Pinheiros

53-36

+17

A07/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#16

41-33

H14/02

NBB

Minas

#10

45-40

H16/02

NBB

Sao Jose

25-40

-15

A19/02

NBB

Mogi

#15

36-30

H23/02

NBB

Unitri Universo

35-34

H07/03

NBB

Franca

44-30

+14

H09/03

NBB

Brasilia

39-51

-12

A15/03

NBB

76.3Avg total

39.6Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	35.6	39.1	74.7	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.6	38.5	78.2	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	31.9	39.6	71.5	-7.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	36.7	76.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.0	41.1	76.1	-6.1	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.0	36.6	71.6	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	34.5	78.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.8	15%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.6	42.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	25.6	43.0	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	22.8	42.9	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	12%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-0.9	42%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	23.2	42.8	-3.7	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.2	21.6	44.9	+1.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.9	41.1	-4.8	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.6	22.9	42.4	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	26.5	53.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	39.8	42.9	82.7	-3.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.7	41.6	82.3	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	44.2	83.0	-5.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	46.7	85.6	-7.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	48.0	88.4	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.0	45.4	83.4	-7.4	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.5	40.3	79.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	41.9	43.6	85.5	-1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.6	42.9	82.4	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.1	42.1	82.2	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	43.6	82.7	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	42.9	82.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.0	81.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.4	43.0	81.4	-4.6	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.8	41.6	81.3	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	48.0	95.5	-0.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cearense wins

Palmeiras wins

Date	Game	Score
07/01/13	Palmeiras v Cearense	81-86

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/13	A	Limeira	72-90
07/03/13	A	Joinville	71-94
26/02/13	H	Brasilia	100-104 OT
23/02/13	H	Flamengo	82-101
21/02/13	H	Tijuca	92-86
16/02/13	A	Bauru	84-95
14/02/13	A	Sorocabana	86-76
02/02/13	H	Franca	87-88
31/01/13	H	Unitri Universo	60-72
26/01/13	H	Mogi	71-74

Palmeiraslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/13	A	Brasilia	81-99
09/03/13	H	Franca	87-77
07/03/13	H	Unitri Universo	112-104 OT
23/02/13	H	Mogi	86-77 OT
19/02/13	A	Sao Jose	65-77
16/02/13	H	Minas	96-87
14/02/13	H	Vila Velha	87-65
07/02/13	A	Pinheiros	82-87
05/02/13	A	Paulistano	69-83
31/01/13	A	Suzano	87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	42%
Home	LLWLL	46%
Away	LWLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	42%	46%	38%
Points / game	79.0	80.1	77.8
Allowed / game	81.8	79.9	83.8
Point differential	-2.9	+0.2	-5.9
Avg total	160.8	160.0	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	23%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	20% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	15%	0%

Palmeiras

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	30%
Home	WWWWW	54%
Away	WLLLL	7%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	30%	54%	7%
Points / game	77.5	84.5	71.0
Allowed / game	83.9	84.7	83.2
Point differential	-6.4	-0.2	-12.2
Avg total	161.4	169.2	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	15%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	11%	23%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	27	24	3	89%	90.6	75.3	+15.4
2	Brasilia	28	24	4	86%	89.6	78.8	+10.8
3	Bauru	28	19	9	68%	83.9	77.4	+6.5
4	Unitri Universo	27	18	9	67%	83.9	79.0	+5.0
5	Pinheiros	26	17	9	65%	87.8	84.0	+3.8
6	Franca	28	18	10	64%	79.5	72.6	+6.9
7	Sao Jose	28	17	11	61%	80.2	77.7	+2.5
8	Paulistano	27	15	12	56%	81.1	81.2	-0.1
9	Minas	27	14	13	52%	84.4	82.7	+1.7
10	Sorocabana	27	13	14	48%	76.6	80.2	-3.6
11	Cearense	26	11	15	42%	79.0	81.8	-2.9
12	Limeira	29	12	17	41%	80.6	79.2	+1.3
13	Mogi	28	10	18	36%	75.0	82.2	-7.1
14	Vila Velha	27	9	18	33%	79.8	84.2	-4.4
15	Joinville	28	9	19	32%	75.0	79.3	-4.3
16	Palmeiras	27	8	19	30%	77.5	83.9	-6.4
17	Tijuca	27	4	23	15%	69.1	78.6	-9.5
18	Suzano	27	4	23	15%	74.4	90.5	-16.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Cearense	17	21	19	14	14	85
Palmeiras	10	19	22	20	12	83

← all games of the day

Cearense vs Palmeiras Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature