Cearense vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Feb 2013

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 100-104 (OT)

28-21 23-27 22-26 20-19 7-11

Position#8

Record11-12

FormLWLWL

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game80.0

Cearense

Brasilia 🏆

Position#2

Record19-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game77.4

NBBRound 21

Other2012-13

Meetings · Cearense v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vila Velha

#16

94-85

A17/01

NBB

Minas

#10

74-76

-2

A19/01

NBB

Sao Jose

73-63

+10

H24/01

NBB

Mogi

#15

71-74

-3

H26/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

60-72

-12

H31/01

NBB

Franca

87-88

-1

H02/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

86-76

+10

A14/02

NBB

Bauru

84-95

-11

A16/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

92-86

H21/02

NBB

Flamengo

82-101

101

-19

H23/02

NBB

25-12

19-23

22-27

28-23

16-24

17-15

23-14

18-23

22-11

11-15

14-20

26-17

16-21

18-12

23-24

14-17

16-19

20-10

15-23

9-20

22-20

18-20

23-17

24-31

19-18

22-17

25-20

20-21

19-23

31-18

15-24

19-30

24-13

20-20

17-30

31-23

8-20

22-33

22-27

30-21

161.9Avg total

80.3Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.7	80.0	158.7	-1.3	48%
Season at home (12)	78.4	77.9	156.3	+0.5	50%
Season away (11)	79.0	82.3	161.3	-3.3	45%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	81.6	161.9	-1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	89.2	175.4	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	72.3	87.6	159.9	-15.3	0%
vs Similar (9)	79.4	77.7	157.1	+1.8	56%
vs Weaker (7)	84.1	75.4	159.6	+8.7	86%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#12

86-75

+11

H21/01

NBB

Mogi

#15

94-67

+27

H24/01

NBB

Sao Jose

90-57

+33

H26/01

NBB

Bauru

80-60

+20

H28/01

NBB

Franca

93-77

+16

H31/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

102-80

102

+22

H02/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

100-70

100

+30

A16/02

NBB

Bauru

90-79

+11

A18/02

NBB

Flamengo

82-70

+12

H22/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

90-79

+11

H23/02

NBB

23-16

24-30

18-16

21-13

27-17

27-13

21-21

19-16

30-21

16-10

25-11

19-15

12-12

23-7

17-22

28-19

23-15

24-24

26-13

20-25

21-18

31-17

28-23

22-22

13-24

22-11

35-16

30-19

20-19

20-17

25-24

25-19

13-15

24-16

18-20

27-19

19-21

22-19

21-17

28-22

162.1Avg total

90.7Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	88.5	77.4	165.9	+11.1	83%
Season at home (13)	89.5	75.4	164.9	+14.2	92%
Season away (10)	87.1	80.0	167.1	+7.1	70%
Last 10 (10)	90.7	71.4	162.1	+19.3	100%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	75.6	168.4	+17.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	85.0	86.0	171.0	-1.0	50%
vs Similar (10)	84.9	78.6	163.5	+6.3	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	89.7	77.6	167.3	+12.1	89%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CearenseBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.0	19.3	38.2	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.4	21.1	37.6	-4.7	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.6	19.7	39.2	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.7	16.9	37.6	+3.9	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	18.7	42.1	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.4	20.5	44.9	+3.9	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	16.9	35.7	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.3	16.3	35.6	+3.0	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	16.4	39.7	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.0	39.8	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	56%	-

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vila Velha

#16

44-35

A17/01

NBB

Minas

#10

33-39

-6

A19/01

NBB

Sao Jose

33-26

H24/01

NBB

Mogi

#15

34-33

H26/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

36-29

H31/01

NBB

Franca

40-40

H02/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

41-35

A14/02

NBB

Bauru

50-41

A16/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

44-33

+11

H21/02

NBB

Flamengo

30-53

-23

H23/02

NBB

74.9Avg total

38.5Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	65%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.1	35.9	73.0	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.5	38.6	77.2	-0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	36.4	74.9	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.4	81.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.9	42.1	77.0	-7.3	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.3	36.6	74.9	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.0	33.1	73.1	+6.9	100%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#12

47-46

H21/01

NBB

Mogi

#15

54-30

+24

H24/01

NBB

Sao Jose

46-31

+15

H26/01

NBB

Bauru

35-19

+16

H28/01

NBB

Franca

47-39

H31/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

52-35

+17

H02/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#12

35-35

A16/02

NBB

Bauru

40-36

A18/02

NBB

Flamengo

37-31

H22/02

NBB

Tijuca

#17

41-40

H23/02

NBB

77.6Avg total

43.4Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	38.5	82.1	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	37.6	84.2	+9.0	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	39.6	79.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	34.2	77.6	+9.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	35.4	76.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	38.5	75.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.1	36.6	77.7	+4.5	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.6	39.6	85.2	+6.0	78%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.5	26%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	17%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.9	22.3	42.1	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.9	14%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	21.4	44.9	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.3	41.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.0	45.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	20.7	21.1	41.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	19.3	40.6	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	25.2	50.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.6	23.1	40.7	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.6	20.9	45.4	+3.7	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.9	42.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.2	46.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	24.5	51.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.2	21.5	44.7	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.4	17.6	39.1	+3.8	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	40.5	42.4	83.0	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.6	41.3	81.9	-0.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.5	43.6	84.1	-3.2	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	45.2	87.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	48.8	94.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.4	45.4	82.9	-8.0	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.1	40.2	80.3	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.1	42.3	86.4	+1.9	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	40.0	84.2	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	38.9	81.4	+3.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.1	41.2	87.4	+4.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	37.2	84.5	+10.1	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	40.2	92.0	+11.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	48.0	47.5	95.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.8	42.0	85.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.1	38.0	82.1	+6.1	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cearense wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
15/01/13	Brasilia v Cearense	92-77

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/13	H	Flamengo	82-101
21/02/13	H	Tijuca	92-86
16/02/13	A	Bauru	84-95
14/02/13	A	Sorocabana	86-76
02/02/13	H	Franca	87-88
31/01/13	H	Unitri Universo	60-72
26/01/13	H	Mogi	71-74
24/01/13	H	Sao Jose	73-63
19/01/13	A	Minas	74-76
17/01/13	A	Vila Velha	94-85

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/13	H	Tijuca	90-79
22/02/13	H	Flamengo	82-70
18/02/13	A	Bauru	90-79
16/02/13	A	Sorocabana	100-70
02/02/13	H	Unitri Universo	102-80
31/01/13	H	Franca	93-77
28/01/13	H	Bauru	80-60
26/01/13	H	Sao Jose	90-57
24/01/13	H	Mogi	94-67
21/01/13	H	Sorocabana	86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	48%
Home	LLLWL	50%
Away	LWLWL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	48%	50%	45%
Points / game	78.7	78.4	79.0
Allowed / game	80.0	77.9	82.3
Point differential	-1.3	+0.5	-3.3
Avg total	158.7	156.3	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	25%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	25% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Brasilia

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WWLWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	13	10
Win %	83%	92%	70%
Points / game	88.5	89.5	87.1
Allowed / game	77.4	75.4	80.0
Point differential	+11.1	+14.2	+7.1
Avg total	165.9	164.9	167.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	77%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	24	22	2	92%	91.0	75.6	+15.4
2	Brasilia	23	19	4	83%	88.5	77.4	+11.1
3	Pinheiros	22	15	7	68%	87.0	84.8	+2.2
4	Franca	25	17	8	68%	80.0	72.4	+7.7
5	Unitri Universo	25	17	8	68%	82.9	78.1	+4.8
6	Bauru	24	15	9	62%	82.7	77.1	+5.6
7	Sao Jose	24	14	10	58%	79.7	77.2	+2.5
8	Paulistano	24	14	10	58%	82.5	82.1	+0.4
9	Minas	25	13	12	52%	83.6	82.6	+1.0
10	Cearense	23	11	12	48%	78.7	80.0	-1.3
11	Sorocabana	24	11	13	46%	76.4	79.8	-3.4
12	Limeira	24	10	14	42%	80.3	79.2	+1.1
13	Mogi	24	9	15	38%	75.1	81.0	-6.0
14	Joinville	24	8	16	33%	73.2	77.0	-3.8
15	Vila Velha	25	8	17	32%	79.9	84.1	-4.2
16	Palmeiras	24	6	18	25%	75.5	82.8	-7.2
17	Tijuca	25	4	21	16%	69.0	78.1	-9.1
18	Suzano	23	3	20	13%	74.3	91.3	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Cearense	28	23	22	20	7	100
Brasilia	21	27	26	19	11	104

← all games of the day

Cearense vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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