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Cedevita Junior vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-85
26-21 17-22 16-20 20-22
Position#13
Record4-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game81.0
Cedevita Junior
vs
Podgorica 🏆
Position#5
Record6-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeABA League 2Round 11· Dom Sportova
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Junior winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita JuniorLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJunior
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
66avg 79
A03/02
ABA League 2
Alkar
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
101avg 79
H04/02
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
91avg 79
A10/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
105avg 79
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 79
H16/02
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 79
A24/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
102-68
102
68
+34
110avg 79
H02/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
78avg 79
A08/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 79
H13/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
55-66
55
66
-11
47avg 79
A17/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
21-21
11-22
21-12
25-13
27-31
21-21
22-16
23-19
29-23
27-19
16-23
35-18
21-21
26-25
20-31
25-22
20-13
9-23
18-25
24-21
29-24
14-13
16-23
30-22
26-15
22-17
24-14
22-10
20-24
15-28
25-28
25-23
25-28
20-19
26-19
12-17
13-19
16-13
14-17
167.1Avg total
85.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.081.0156.0-6.040%
Season at home (4)79.280.2159.5-1.075%
Season away (6)72.281.5153.7-9.317%
Last 10 (10)85.381.8167.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)83.678.8162.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.187.4162.6-12.314%
vs Similar (8)78.982.9161.8-4.050%
vs Weaker (14)86.877.8164.6+9.079%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#3
L
68-90
68
90
-22
55avg 67
A31/01
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
74avg 67
H03/02
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
no box
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
95-52
95
52
+43
no box
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
no box
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Primorje
#4
W
100-91
100
91
+9
no box
H01/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
19-29
8-23
12-18
16-28
19-10
15-14
28-25
21-30
29-15
25-24
27-15
20-16
27-9
22-10
26-17
19-18
30-15
15-21
30-38
20-23
19-28
16-29
20-14
26-23
23-20
33-33
18-15
12-24
20-18
22-15
17-15
22-15
21-25
27-15
22-12
22-24
25-17
16-32
19-14
166.3Avg total
85.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.077.5155.5+0.560%
Season at home (6)83.379.5162.8+3.867%
Season away (4)70.074.5144.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)85.780.6166.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)84.082.2166.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.580.5155.0-6.050%
vs Similar (6)77.580.2157.7-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.174.4162.5+13.774%
This opponent (Cedevita Junior) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
Cedevita JuniorPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita JuniorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/02
ABA League 2
Alkar
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H04/02
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A10/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H16/02
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A24/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H02/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A08/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H13/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A17/03
Premijer liga
88.0Avg total
47.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.685.6+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.740.588.2+7.269%-
Last 30 away (17)43.040.683.6+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.088.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.685.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.443.385.7-0.929%-
vs Similar (8)44.640.284.9+4.462%-
vs Weaker (14)46.939.986.8+6.971%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A31/01
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/02
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Primorje
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H01/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/03
Prva A Liga
84.6Avg total
43.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.3+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.738.684.3+7.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.182.2+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.784.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.485.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.543.585.0-2.025%-
vs Similar (6)38.742.381.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.338.583.8+6.768%-
This opponent (Cedevita Junior) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Juniortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Junior: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.9
59.9%
53.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.4
34.7%
31.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
73.7%14.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.0
54.7%
53.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.4
27.9%
31.5%19.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
73.7%14.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Junior
LWLWWLWWWL
Podgorica
LWLWLWWWWL
#13
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
+1.2
110.1
Offensive rating
104.6
105.3
Defensive rating
103.4
56.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
27.9%
71.3%
Assist %
49.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 104.6Defence105.3 · 103.4Shooting56.5% · 50.1%3-point %34.7% · 27.9%Ball care17.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds23.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Cedevita Junior   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cedevita Junior wins
0
Podgorica wins
No previous meetings.
Cedevita Juniorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ADubrovnik55-66
13/03/24HGKK Sibenka96-89
08/03/24AZabok82-90
02/03/24HZabok102-68
24/02/24AGKK Sibenka83-81
16/02/24HZadar72-83
13/02/24HDinamo Zagreb102-95
10/02/24ASkrljevo95-84
04/02/24HAlkar95-81
03/02/24ABorac Banja Luka71-81
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24ASutjeska82-87
09/03/24HJedinstvo92-67
06/03/24ALovcen Cetinje71-72
01/03/24HPrimorje100-91
14/02/24ABuducnost75-94
13/02/24HMornar Bar94-92
11/02/24HKotor95-52
08/02/24HDanilovgrad102-84
03/02/24HSiroki Brijeg78-77
31/01/24AZlatibor68-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Junior
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%75%17%
Points / game75.079.272.2
Allowed / game81.080.281.5
Point differential-6.0-1.0-9.3
Avg total156.0159.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podgorica
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game78.083.370.0
Allowed / game77.579.574.5
Point differential+0.5+3.8-4.5
Avg total155.5162.8144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatibor108280%90.078.3+11.7
2 Spartak Subotica108280%85.376.6+8.7
3 Vojvodina Novi Sad1512380%82.074.1+7.9
4 Siroki Brijeg107370%78.473.0+5.4
5 MZT Skopje107370%82.977.6+5.3
6 Podgorica106460%78.077.5+0.5
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Borac Banja Luka115645%71.270.7+0.5
9 Sutjeska115645%76.878.4-1.5
10 Pelister115645%76.579.0-2.5
11 Cedevita Junior104640%75.081.0-6.0
12 Helios Domzale114736%75.478.0-2.6
13 Sencur103730%73.279.3-6.1
14 TFT Skopje102820%71.779.7-8.0
15 GKK Sibenka111109%73.584.6-11.1
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Junior2617162079
Podgorica2122202285
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