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Sutjeska vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-82
24-22 17-25 32-16 14-19
Position#1
Record14-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game74.7
Sutjeska 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Podgorica
Montenegro
Position#3
Record12-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game73.3
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 17
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sutjeska v Podgorica
27 Oct 2025
SUT102
PODG81
28 Feb 2025
SUT83
PODG78
09 May 2024
SUT85
PODG81
14 Mar 2024
SUT87
PODG82
26 Apr 2023
SUT79
PODG73
14 Dec 2022
SUT87
PODG81
29 Apr 2022
SUT69
PODG67
28 Dec 2021
SUT77
PODG60
19 Dec 2021
SUT73
PODG65
15 Nov 2020
SUT75
PODG80
17 Oct 2020
SUT87
PODG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SutjeskaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSutjeska
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 69
H30/01
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 69
A01/02
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
79avg 69
H04/02
ABA League 2
Tivat
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#12
W
113-82
113
82
+31
no box
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
no box
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#6
W
91-66
91
66
+25
no box
H20/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
A02/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
H06/03
Prva A Liga
Milenijum
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
A10/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-20
21-16
18-22
21-25
19-24
23-14
13-17
24-16
21-25
20-16
14-21
23-25
15-22
26-19
25-18
26-25
25-26
36-16
26-15
12-18
11-18
19-18
15-16
21-13
21-26
25-11
24-16
21-17
23-17
21-11
11-22
23-13
21-17
26-19
22-22
24-20
20-23
23-20
26-18
160.2Avg total
84.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.374.7167.1+17.693%
Season at home (8)94.470.2164.6+24.1100%
Season away (7)90.079.9169.9+10.186%
Last 10 (10)84.276.0160.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)81.871.0152.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.385.9154.1-17.60%
vs Similar (9)84.678.6163.1+6.078%
vs Weaker (13)92.773.2165.9+19.5100%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#15
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 67
H29/01
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
68-90
68
90
-22
55avg 67
A31/01
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
74avg 67
H03/02
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
no box
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
95-52
95
52
+43
no box
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
no box
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Primorje
#4
W
100-91
100
91
+9
no box
H01/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-16
19-14
28-24
29-20
19-29
8-23
12-18
16-28
19-10
15-14
28-25
21-30
29-15
25-24
27-15
20-16
27-9
22-10
26-17
19-18
30-15
15-21
30-38
20-23
19-28
16-29
20-14
26-23
23-20
33-33
18-15
12-24
20-18
22-15
17-15
22-15
21-25
27-15
22-12
166.5Avg total
86.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.773.3162.9+16.480%
Season at home (8)96.672.6169.2+24.0100%
Season away (7)81.774.0155.7+7.757%
Last 10 (10)86.380.2166.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)86.483.2169.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.580.5155.0-6.050%
vs Similar (6)77.580.2157.7-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.673.6161.2+14.079%
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
SutjeskaPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/01
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/02
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/02
ABA League 2
Tivat
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#12
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Studentski Centar
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H06/03
Prva A Liga
Milenijum
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/03
Prva A Liga
82.1Avg total
40.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.182.8+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.577.4+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.388.9-1.757%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.382.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.475.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.047.782.7-12.70%-
vs Similar (9)44.843.288.0+1.667%-
vs Weaker (13)44.536.581.0+7.985%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#15
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H29/01
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A31/01
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/02
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Primorje
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H01/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/03
Prva A Liga
84.4Avg total
43.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.582.6+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.738.684.3+7.162%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.580.6-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.184.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.543.585.0-2.025%-
vs Similar (6)38.742.381.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.538.182.6+6.463%-
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sutjeska: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
58.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.3
31.3%
31.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
69.7%15.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.0
54.7%
58.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.4
27.9%
31.5%19.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
69.7%14.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sutjeska
WWWWLWWWLL
Podgorica
WLWLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
-5.0
Net rating
+1.2
100.9
Offensive rating
104.6
105.9
Defensive rating
103.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.3%
3-point %
27.9%
64.9%
Assist %
49.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 104.6Defence105.9 · 103.4Shooting50.1% · 50.1%3-point %31.3% · 27.9%Ball care16.5% · 16.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Sutjeska   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sutjeska wins
2
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
25/12/23Podgorica v Sutjeska81-73
10/10/23Podgorica v Sutjeska91-98
28/04/23Podgorica v Sutjeska82-83
26/04/23Sutjeska v Podgorica79-73
30/03/23Podgorica v Sutjeska90-94
14/12/22Sutjeska v Podgorica87-81
17/10/22Podgorica v Sutjeska61-64
29/04/22Sutjeska v Podgorica69-67
26/04/22Podgorica v Sutjeska77-43
09/04/22Podgorica v Sutjeska57-75
Sutjeskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AMilenijum93-81
06/03/24HDecic92-71
02/03/24AIbar Rozaje76-67
20/02/24HStudentski Centar91-66
13/02/24HBuducnost57-70
11/02/24ADanilovgrad113-82
08/02/24HTivat89-84
04/02/24HPelister79-78
01/02/24ACedevita Junior76-80
30/01/24HSiroki Brijeg76-81
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HJedinstvo92-67
06/03/24ALovcen Cetinje71-72
01/03/24HPrimorje100-91
14/02/24ABuducnost75-94
13/02/24HMornar Bar94-92
11/02/24HKotor95-52
08/02/24HDanilovgrad102-84
03/02/24HSiroki Brijeg78-77
31/01/24AZlatibor68-90
29/01/24HTFT Skopje88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska
Prva A Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game92.394.490.0
Allowed / game74.770.279.9
Point differential+17.6+24.1+10.1
Avg total167.1164.6169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%88%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%100%57%
Points / game89.796.681.7
Allowed / game73.372.674.0
Point differential+16.4+24.0+7.7
Avg total162.9169.2155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska1514193%92.374.7+17.6
2 Podgorica1512380%89.773.3+16.4
3 Tivat1512380%86.776.5+10.2
4 Primorje1411379%88.878.6+10.1
5 Studentski Centar149564%84.075.5+8.5
6 Milenijum158753%85.784.8+0.9
7 Lovcen Cetinje158753%75.374.4+0.9
8 Kotor145936%71.178.7-7.6
9 Decic1551033%83.787.1-3.4
10 Jedinstvo1541127%80.288.3-8.1
11 Danilovgrad1541127%83.996.9-13.0
12 Ibar Rozaje1521313%69.384.3-15.0
13 Pljevlja1521313%73.290.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutjeska2417321487
Podgorica2225161982
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