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Zlatibor vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 90-68
20-29 29-19 23-8 18-12
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#5
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeABA League 2Round 9· Cajetina Sports Hall
Other2023
Meetings · Zlatibor v Podgorica
20 Mar 2025
ZLA90
PODG82
16 Apr 2024
ZLA93
PODG100
31 Jan 2024
ZLA90
PODG68
20 Oct 2022
ZLA91
PODG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlatibor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlatiborLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
Joker
#7
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 83
H13/12
First League
Sloboda
#5
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
A16/12
First League
Helios Domzale
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 83
A18/12
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
85avg 83
H21/12
ABA League 2
Radnicki
#8
W
92-84
92
84
+8
94avg 83
H25/12
First League
Cacak 94
#6
W
82-78
82
78
+4
80avg 83
H04/01
First League
OKK Beograd
#11
W
93-91
93
91
+2
80avg 83
A14/01
First League
Leskovac Zdravlje
#16
W
100-83
100
83
+17
100avg 83
H19/01
First League
Mladost Zemun
#13
W
82-81
82
81
+1
88avg 83
A26/01
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
78avg 83
A29/01
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
27-28
17-21
24-22
18-27
29-13
25-27
13-18
26-23
23-15
22-18
18-16
27-20
24-13
15-20
18-19
24-17
29-18
18-24
21-25
15-15
22-24
27-24
18-15
31-19
18-23
21-25
23-24
30-13
27-30
25-20
18-20
20-19
18-12
18-29
26-21
21-19
21-21
24-19
15-20
170.0Avg total
88.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.476.6166.0+12.888%
Season at home (3)88.773.3162.0+15.3100%
Season away (5)89.878.6168.4+11.280%
Last 10 (10)88.281.8170.0+6.490%
Last 5 (5)87.682.4170.0+5.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.491.2170.6-11.820%
vs Similar (5)85.485.0170.4+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.881.8172.7+9.090%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
62avg 67
H20/12
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 67
A22/12
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H25/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
91-56
91
56
+35
no box
A13/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
109-68
109
68
+41
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Milenijum
#10
W
96-90
96
90
+6
no box
A21/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
no box
A23/01
Prva A Liga
Pljevlja
#14
W
109-68
109
68
+41
no box
H25/01
Prva A Liga
TFT Skopje
#15
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 67
H29/01
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
8-21
22-18
23-21
21-23
16-17
20-21
20-10
25-19
16-18
17-14
23-22
19-21
13-24
20-15
21-18
24-11
27-18
17-15
23-12
26-12
32-14
23-27
28-15
28-26
20-21
21-24
27-19
16-31
13-17
18-19
18-15
21-17
35-14
25-14
28-23
20-29
21-16
19-14
28-24
161.0Avg total
86.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.276.0155.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)84.480.0164.4+4.460%
Season away (3)70.769.3140.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)86.374.7161.0+11.670%
Last 5 (5)93.478.2171.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.069.3147.3+8.7100%
vs Similar (8)80.081.0161.0-1.025%
vs Weaker (19)86.774.3161.1+12.484%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +6.0+6.0
ZlatiborPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joker
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H13/12
First League
Sloboda
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/12
First League
Helios Domzale
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A18/12
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H21/12
ABA League 2
Radnicki
#8
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/12
First League
Cacak 94
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/01
First League
OKK Beograd
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A14/01
First League
Leskovac Zdravlje
#16
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H19/01
First League
Mladost Zemun
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/01
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/01
ABA League 2
85.7Avg total
47.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.287.6+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.644.389.9+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.142.185.3+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)47.438.385.7+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.083.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.048.686.6-10.620%-
vs Similar (5)46.840.086.8+6.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.442.788.1+2.665%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H20/12
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A22/12
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A13/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Milenijum
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A21/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A23/01
Prva A Liga
Pljevlja
#14
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H25/01
Prva A Liga
TFT Skopje
#15
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H29/01
ABA League 2
80.9Avg total
42.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.981.9+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.837.882.5+7.062%-
Last 30 away (14)41.040.381.3+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.780.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.485.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.739.078.7+0.733%-
vs Similar (8)40.942.883.6-1.950%-
vs Weaker (19)44.437.381.7+7.163%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.518.1
63.5%
53.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.8
37.7%
31.5%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.715.7
79.7%
73.7%15.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.4
54.5%
53.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.8
28.1%
31.5%20.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.5
72.9%
73.7%15.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlatibor
WWWWWWWWLW
Podgorica
WWLWWWLWWL
#3
League position
#5
+11.2
Net rating
+5.1
117.3
Offensive rating
106.7
106.2
Defensive rating
101.6
59.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.7%
3-point %
28.1%
68.2%
Assist %
47.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 106.7Defence106.2 · 101.6Shooting59.9% · 49.8%3-point %37.7% · 28.1%Ball care16.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Zlatibor   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zlatibor wins
1
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
12/04/23Podgorica v Zlatibor89-64
20/10/22Zlatibor v Podgorica91-72
10/11/21Podgorica v Zlatibor66-73
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/24ABorac Banja Luka81-79
26/01/24AMladost Zemun82-81
19/01/24HLeskovac Zdravlje100-83
14/01/24AOKK Beograd93-91
04/01/24HCacak 9482-78
25/12/23HRadnicki92-84
21/12/23HSutjeska84-72
18/12/23AHelios Domzale89-72
16/12/23ASloboda87-93 OT
13/12/23HJoker92-85
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/24HTFT Skopje88-83
25/01/24HPljevlja109-68
23/01/24AStudentski Centar65-82
21/01/24AMilenijum96-90
17/01/24HDecic109-68
13/01/24AIbar Rozaje91-56
28/12/23ATivat73-78
25/12/23HSutjeska81-73
22/12/23AVojvodina Novi Sad77-71
20/12/23HMZT Skopje74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlatibor
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game89.488.789.8
Allowed / game76.673.378.6
Point differential+12.8+15.3+11.2
Avg total166.0162.0168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podgorica
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game79.284.470.7
Allowed / game76.080.069.3
Point differential+3.2+4.4+1.3
Avg total155.2164.4140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatibor87188%89.476.6+12.8
2 Siroki Brijeg87188%79.972.2+7.6
3 Vojvodina Novi Sad1210283%81.173.4+7.7
4 Spartak Subotica97278%83.474.6+8.9
5 MZT Skopje85362%80.976.9+4.0
6 Podgorica85362%79.276.0+3.2
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Borac Banja Luka83538%69.570.8-1.2
9 Helios Domzale83538%75.978.8-2.9
10 Pelister83538%76.079.6-3.6
11 Sencur83538%72.877.0-4.2
12 Sutjeska83538%77.081.4-4.4
13 Cedevita Junior83538%74.981.6-6.8
14 GKK Sibenka81712%74.183.6-9.5
15 TFT Skopje91811%70.280.0-9.8
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlatibor2029231890
Podgorica291981268
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