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Cedevita Olimpija vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-65
16-15 20-24 18-7 19-19
Position#5
Record12-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#12
Record9-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeEurocup· Arena Sto
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
75avg 83
H20/01
Eurocup
Zadar
#9
W
112-101 OT
112
101
+11
102avg 83
A23/01
ABA League
Venezia
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 83
A28/01
Eurocup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
93-96
93
96
-3
91avg 83
A01/02
ABA League
Hamburg
#20
W
88-74
88
74
+14
89avg 83
A05/02
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
114-81
114
81
+33
120avg 83
A10/02
Eurocup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#28
W
115-81
115
81
+34
120avg 83
H16/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#12
W
98-75
98
75
+23
101avg 83
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
99-78
99
78
+21
96avg 83
H20/02
Slovenian Cup
Dubai
#1
W
93-80
93
80
+13
87avg 83
H08/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
13-22
23-25
26-21
16-18
26-29
23-26
29-21
29-19
17-22
21-21
17-24
21-24
20-22
23-21
29-29
25-16
25-16
18-19
20-23
30-20
35-11
23-26
26-24
24-28
31-14
34-24
26-15
23-14
28-24
25-17
22-20
23-18
29-17
27-20
20-23
27-27
23-19
18-18
25-16
181.4Avg total
98.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.778.5167.2+10.267%
Season at home (9)85.273.9159.1+11.367%
Season away (9)92.183.1175.2+9.067%
Last 10 (10)98.283.2181.4+15.080%
Last 5 (5)103.879.0182.8+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)93.080.0173.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (6)81.783.2164.8-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.778.5171.2+14.178%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#1
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 78
H20/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 78
A24/01
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
81-97
81
97
-16
71avg 78
A27/01
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
L
69-86
69
86
-17
54avg 78
A31/01
BBL
Trento
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 78
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
81avg 78
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 78
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 78
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
87avg 78
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
52avg 78
A06/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
24-20
26-19
21-25
23-23
24-16
16-20
9-30
30-29
14-31
21-18
16-19
18-14
19-26
13-26
19-20
18-17
21-19
21-21
21-10
18-8
22-36
24-15
15-16
17-20
19-14
16-22
10-23
28-22
22-20
26-32
29-26
16-18
18-16
19-21
21-19
15-19
19-20
19-24
16-18
165.7Avg total
80.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.081.7162.7-0.750%
Season at home (9)79.477.3156.8+2.167%
Season away (9)82.686.0168.6-3.433%
Last 10 (10)80.585.2165.7-4.750%
Last 5 (5)82.886.2169.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.588.5168.0-8.927%
vs Similar (12)83.885.6169.3-1.850%
vs Weaker (7)82.380.1162.4+2.171%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
Cedevita OlimpijaChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/01
Eurocup
Zadar
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A23/01
ABA League
Venezia
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A28/01
Eurocup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/02
ABA League
Hamburg
#20
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A05/02
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
65-31
65
31
+34
A10/02
Eurocup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#28
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H16/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H20/02
Slovenian Cup
Dubai
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H08/03
ABA League
88.1Avg total
48.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.683.2+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.936.381.2+8.694%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.285.4+3.057%-
Last 10 (10)48.939.288.1+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)54.638.493.0+16.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.046.096.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (6)42.043.285.2-1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.037.182.1+8.078%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/01
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A27/01
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A31/01
BBL
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A06/03
BBL
80.8Avg total
40.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.583.5+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.482.5-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.584.6+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.680.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.677.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.042.784.7-0.773%-
vs Similar (12)42.641.484.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)41.339.680.9+1.743%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.8
59.7%
54.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.9
43.0%
34.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws21.716.9
77.9%
75.2%16.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.6
56.6%
54.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.7
31.8%
34.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
75.2%15.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
WWWWWWLLWW
Chemnitz
LWWLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#12
+17.6
Net rating
-6.2
115.3
Offensive rating
93.4
97.7
Defensive rating
99.6
61.7%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
12.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
43.0%
3-point %
31.8%
66.0%
Assist %
60.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 93.4Defence97.7 · 99.6Shooting61.7% · 52.2%3-point %43.0% · 31.8%Ball care12.1% · 17.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cedevita Olimpija wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HDubai93-80
20/02/26HKK Krka Novo mesto99-78
19/02/26HHelios Domzale98-75
16/02/26HPerspektiva Ilirija115-81
10/02/26ASlask Wroclaw114-81
05/02/26AHamburg88-74
01/02/26APerspektiva Ilirija93-96
28/01/26AVenezia84-86
23/01/26AZadar112-101 OT
20/01/26HCluj-Napoca86-80
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AWurzburg69-81
18/02/26HHeidelberg99-96 OT
15/02/26ATrier105-100
11/02/26ATurk Telekom62-79
07/02/26HSyntainics MBC79-75
04/02/26HTrento81-67
31/01/26AHamburg69-86
27/01/26ABuducnost81-97
24/01/26AOldenburg72-89
20/01/26HJL Bourg88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game88.785.292.1
Allowed / game78.573.983.1
Point differential+10.2+11.3+9.0
Avg total167.2159.1175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%44%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game81.079.482.6
Allowed / game81.777.386.0
Point differential-0.7+2.1-3.4
Avg total162.7156.8168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1813572%95.684.1+11.4
2 Besiktas1813572%94.083.8+10.2
3 JL Bourg1813572%83.176.8+6.2
4 Turk Telekom1913668%87.475.4+11.9
5 Cedevita Olimpija1812667%88.778.5+10.2
6 Buducnost1812667%89.381.8+7.6
7 Bahcesehir Kol.1812667%88.581.9+6.6
8 Venezia1811761%89.286.2+3.0
9 Trento1811761%83.284.6-1.4
10 Manresa1911858%89.790.4-0.6
11 Cluj-Napoca189950%96.493.8+2.7
12 Chemnitz189950%81.081.7-0.7
13 Aris1881044%84.789.5-4.8
14 Neptunas1871139%92.196.1-4.0
15 Ulm1871139%81.790.1-8.4
16 Lietkabelis1851328%78.984.2-5.3
17 London Lions1851328%74.980.5-5.6
18 Slask Wroclaw1851328%85.495.8-10.3
19 Panionios1831517%75.689.8-14.2
20 Hamburg1821611%81.896.7-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Olimpija1620181973
Chemnitz152471965
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