PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Wurzburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-69
19-15 20-19 24-19 18-16
Position#5
Record13-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#11
Record10-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.8
GermanyBBLRound 22· Tectake Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Wurzburg v Chemnitz
26 Oct 2026
WUR98
CHE88
06 Mar 2026
WUR81
CHE69
16 Mar 2025
WUR83
CHE90
04 Nov 2023
WUR68
CHE70
03 Feb 2023
WUR77
CHE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
A17/01
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 74
A21/01
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
79-98
79
98
-19
66avg 74
A25/01
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
68avg 74
A27/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
68avg 74
H01/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
69avg 74
H03/02
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
74-77
74
77
-3
60avg 74
A08/02
BBL
Unicaja
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 74
H11/02
Champions League
Heidelberg
#18
W
70-54
70
54
+16
70avg 74
H13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
79avg 74
A18/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
20-26
23-12
19-30
19-24
15-25
23-17
28-24
14-20
22-17
15-28
28-33
27-27
19-15
18-24
11-20
22-19
20-24
18-29
20-26
15-27
27-23
20-16
21-19
25-19
13-24
21-19
15-15
21-21
24-22
24-12
11-16
14-17
11-6
22-23
23-8
23-27
21-21
20-19
23-15
163.2Avg total
79.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.280.6162.8+1.662%
Season at home (10)86.280.4166.6+5.880%
Season away (11)78.580.8159.4-2.345%
Last 10 (10)79.983.3163.2-3.430%
Last 5 (5)78.873.8152.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.289.0171.2-6.817%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.879.1158.8+0.742%
vs Weaker (11)82.976.2159.1+6.782%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
H18/01
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 78
H20/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 78
A24/01
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
81-97
81
97
-16
71avg 78
A27/01
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
L
69-86
69
86
-17
54avg 78
A31/01
BBL
Trento
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 78
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
81avg 78
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 78
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 78
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
87avg 78
H18/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
17-24
18-23
14-22
17-18
24-20
26-19
21-25
23-23
24-16
16-20
9-30
30-29
14-31
21-18
16-19
18-14
19-26
13-26
19-20
18-17
21-19
21-21
21-10
18-8
22-36
24-15
15-16
17-20
19-14
16-22
10-23
28-22
22-20
26-32
29-26
16-18
18-16
19-21
21-19
165.3Avg total
79.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.287.8174.0-1.648%
Season at home (11)88.986.0174.9+2.964%
Season away (10)83.389.8173.1-6.530%
Last 10 (10)79.585.8165.3-6.350%
Last 5 (5)85.283.4168.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.588.5168.0-8.927%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.186.0171.1-0.955%
vs Weaker (8)83.179.9163.0+3.275%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.5-3.5
WurzburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/01
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/01
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/01
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H03/02
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/02
BBL
Unicaja
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/02
Champions League
Heidelberg
#18
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A18/02
BBL
82.4Avg total
39.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.239.479.6+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.680.2-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.882.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.480.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.545.385.8-4.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.840.378.1-2.633%-
vs Weaker (11)42.537.179.5+5.473%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H18/01
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/01
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A27/01
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A31/01
BBL
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/02
BBL
80.4Avg total
39.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.383.9+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.541.082.5+0.562%-
Last 30 away (14)43.741.785.4+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.980.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.077.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.042.784.7-0.773%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.441.685.0+1.755%-
vs Weaker (8)42.139.081.1+3.150%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.0
50.8%
53.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.615.8
73.1%
73.5%15.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.6
57.2%
53.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.2
33.8%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
73.5%14.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWWLLLLLLL
Chemnitz
WWLWWLLLWL
#5
League position
#11
-3.4
Net rating
-4.4
97.8
Offensive rating
95.7
101.1
Defensive rating
100.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.3%
3-point %
33.8%
56.8%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 95.7Defence101.1 · 100.1Shooting53.6% · 54.1%3-point %38.3% · 33.8%Ball care14.1% · 16.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wurzburg wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25Chemnitz v Wurzburg67-86
16/03/25Wurzburg v Chemnitz83-90
30/11/24Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-77
12/05/24Chemnitz v Wurzburg79-66
04/11/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz68-70
03/02/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz77-74
22/10/22Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-86
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26ABasketball Braunschweig87-82
13/02/26HHeidelberg70-54
11/02/26HUnicaja80-71
08/02/26ARostock74-77
03/02/26HJoventut Badalona83-85
01/02/26HBamberg80-98
27/01/26AChalon/Saone75-86
25/01/26ABayern79-98
21/01/26AUnicaja85-90
17/01/26ABamberg86-92
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HHeidelberg99-96 OT
15/02/26ATrier105-100
11/02/26ATurk Telekom62-79
07/02/26HSyntainics MBC79-75
04/02/26HTrento81-67
31/01/26AHamburg69-86
27/01/26ABuducnost81-97
24/01/26AOldenburg72-89
20/01/26HJL Bourg88-82
18/01/26HBayern59-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%80%45%
Points / game82.286.278.5
Allowed / game80.680.480.8
Point differential+1.6+5.8-2.3
Avg total162.8166.6159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%64%30%
Points / game86.288.983.3
Allowed / game87.886.089.8
Point differential-1.6+2.9-6.5
Avg total174.0174.9173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2119290%87.071.1+15.9
2 Alba Berlin2216673%86.678.1+8.5
3 Wurzburg2113862%82.280.6+1.6
4 Bonn2314961%82.379.5+2.7
5 Trier2012860%91.091.6-0.6
6 Bamberg2213959%88.984.4+4.5
7 Ulm2112957%82.276.8+5.5
8 Ludwigsburg2011955%84.083.2+0.8
9 Rostock2011955%83.082.2+0.8
10 Oldenburg21101148%85.083.7+1.3
11 Chemnitz21101148%86.287.8-1.6
12 Frankfurt22101245%85.085.7-0.7
13 Hamburg1871139%84.789.7-4.9
14 Jena1971237%81.489.3-7.9
15 Vechta2171433%85.089.5-4.4
16 Syntainics MBC2271532%82.988.1-5.2
17 Heidelberg2251723%77.586.1-8.7
18 Basketball Braunschweig2251723%79.288.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1920241881
Chemnitz1519191669
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.