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Cedevita vs Lokomotiv Kuban Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-85
20-29 17-22 26-9 18-25
Position#18
Record2-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game69.7
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2018
Meetings · Cedevita v Lokomotiv Kuban
24 Oct 2018
CED81
LKU85
24 Jan 2018
CED60
LKU85
30 Dec 2015
CED75
LKU89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lokomotiv Kuban winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H29/09
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A03/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A06/10
ABA League
Osijek
#5
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H07/10
Premijer liga
Alba Berlin
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H10/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#4
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A14/10
Premijer liga
Gdynia
#23
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A21/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H22/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
15-25
26-18
26-16
19-21
14-23
19-19
16-19
23-19
21-18
26-21
25-27
21-22
22-12
22-10
17-15
22-21
16-15
18-14
19-23
23-27
24-20
21-26
18-22
25-18
17-14
19-11
16-18
14-19
21-14
20-16
23-12
21-14
21-22
15-19
18-23
25-21
18-13
26-24
34-17
157.9Avg total
82.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.772.0145.7+1.767%
Season at home (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)73.071.5144.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)82.375.6157.9+6.760%
Last 5 (5)83.874.0157.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)71.576.0147.5-4.550%
vs Similar (5)73.675.4149.0-1.840%
vs Weaker (22)87.569.0156.5+18.482%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
A12/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H23/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A26/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A28/05
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A02/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H05/10
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H10/10
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A14/10
VTB United League
Tofas
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H17/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#10
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H20/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
19-18
19-20
15-21
10-18
17-15
23-25
16-21
23-15
16-19
16-21
17-22
23-25
21-14
14-24
15-23
17-12
14-20
26-16
23-25
29-17
23-19
26-14
18-14
28-18
18-13
18-18
18-15
18-15
18-19
20-24
19-21
22-18
20-20
26-14
27-20
30-17
22-10
17-16
23-20
156.6Avg total
81.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.769.7155.3+16.0100%
Season at home (2)88.568.0156.5+20.5100%
Season away (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.774.9156.6+6.850%
Last 5 (5)88.068.4156.4+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.078.5153.5-3.50%
vs Similar (2)80.578.5159.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)81.873.0154.8+8.965%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
CedevitaLokomotiv Kuban
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H29/09
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A03/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/10
ABA League
Osijek
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/10
Premijer liga
Alba Berlin
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/10
Premijer liga
Gdynia
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A21/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H22/10
Premijer liga
78.5Avg total
39.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.936.679.5+6.380%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.682.9+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.534.676.1+6.987%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.678.5+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.478.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.540.573.0-8.050%-
vs Similar (5)36.638.074.6-1.460%-
vs Weaker (22)45.235.981.1+9.386%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H23/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/05
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/05
VTB United League
Gdynia
#23
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H05/10
VTB United League
Limoges
#17
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/10
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/10
VTB United League
Tofas
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H17/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#10
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H20/10
VTB United League
75.0Avg total
41.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.176.7+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.934.478.3+9.488%-
Last 30 away (14)39.135.974.9+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)41.133.975.0+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.633.278.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.535.073.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar (2)44.042.086.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.734.676.3+7.177%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.5
48.9%
51.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.2
34.3%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.012.7
60.5%
74.9%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.023.8
57.9%
51.9%47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.58.5
48.6%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.5
75.4%
74.9%11.5
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
WLWWLWWWLL
Lokomotiv Kuban
WWLWWWLLLL
#18
League position
#3
-1.5
Net rating
+24.0
105.5
Offensive rating
114.2
107.0
Defensive rating
90.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
62.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
21.2%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
48.6%
58.1%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 114.2Defence107.0 · 90.2Shooting50.0% · 62.4%3-point %34.3% · 48.6%Ball care16.1% · 21.2%Off. rebounds32.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Cedevita   ■ Lokomotiv Kuban
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cedevita wins
4
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/18HAlkar103-75
21/10/18ACibona75-78
17/10/18AGdynia78-61
14/10/18ASplit77-61
13/10/18HMega Bemax86-95
10/10/18HAlba Berlin75-73
07/10/18HOsijek82-59
06/10/18AZadar95-85
03/10/18ALimoges68-82
29/09/18HPartizan84-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/18HVEF Riga92-63
17/10/18HTofas95-72
14/10/18AUnics Kazan75-79
10/10/18HLimoges82-64
05/10/18HZenit Petersburg96-64
02/10/18AGdynia80-73
28/05/18AKhimki M.73-86
26/05/18AKhimki M.72-77
23/05/18HKhimki M.66-79
12/05/18ANizhny Novgorod86-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game73.775.073.0
Allowed / game72.073.071.5
Point differential+1.7+2.0+1.5
Avg total145.7148.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lokomotiv Kuban
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.788.580.0
Allowed / game69.768.073.0
Point differential+16.0+20.5+7.0
Avg total155.3156.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban330100%85.769.7+16.0
2 Crvena zvezda330100%79.771.7+8.0
3 Unics Kazan43175%88.876.8+12.0
4 Zenit Petersburg43175%92.580.5+12.0
5 Alba Berlin43175%91.081.8+9.2
6 Unicaja43175%85.277.2+8.0
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne43175%77.571.5+6.0
8 Valencia43175%82.076.0+6.0
9 Monaco43175%76.071.0+5.0
10 Cedevita32167%73.772.0+1.7
11 Frankfurt32167%74.079.0-5.0
12 Galatasaray42250%86.284.5+1.8
13 Limoges42250%82.083.2-1.2
14 Rytas42250%75.076.8-1.8
15 MoraBanc Andorra31233%87.386.7+0.7
16 Ulm31233%80.385.0-4.7
17 Mornar Bar31233%81.091.0-10.0
18 Partizan41325%77.883.0-5.2
19 Tofas41325%85.092.5-7.5
20 Turk Telekom41325%72.881.0-8.2
21 Trento41325%70.080.5-10.5
22 Torino4040%80.587.5-7.0
23 Brescia3030%78.391.3-13.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita2017261881
Lokomotiv Kuban292292585
← all games of the day
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