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Celje vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-101
18-24 23-15 16-33 14-29
Position#15
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
Position#10
Record1-0
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game63.0
SloveniaSlovenian Cup
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Celje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CeljeSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCelje
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#6
L
60-82
60
82
-22
no box
H13/11
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#6
L
83-100
83
100
-17
no box
A20/11
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#20
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A20/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#12
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H19/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
A27/10
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
H19/10
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
65-72
65
72
-7
no box
A25/10
Slovenian Cup
Vojnik
#8
L
62-74
62
74
-12
no box
A17/10
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
H09/10
Slovenian Cup
Ljubljana
#23
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
16-25
17-13
14-24
21-27
26-22
15-21
21-30
–
–
–
–
17-12
18-18
21-26
15-34
17-23
17-13
24-27
22-12
12-25
18-19
16-20
22-17
19-26
14-10
15-15
17-21
8-26
16-12
19-19
19-17
15-27
22-21
25-18
13-21
23-21
27-10
14-17
11-16
138.4Avg total
63.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.064.0139.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)75.064.0139.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.974.5138.4-10.620%
Last 5 (5)69.075.6144.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.486.4157.9-15.011%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)87.572.9160.4+14.688%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 72
H18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 72
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
88avg 72
H29/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 72
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 72
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 72
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#26
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 72
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
91-98
91
98
-7
83avg 72
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 72
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
21-27
18-16
9-22
24-15
20-21
23-20
13-21
22-26
24-22
20-18
23-17
13-28
18-21
14-17
18-13
28-20
15-26
18-25
27-13
26-21
19-22
13-15
28-36
20-17
22-12
22-16
18-18
28-32
21-15
23-22
23-20
22-30
24-23
26-19
19-26
11-20
25-15
15-27
20-16
164.8Avg total
82.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.082.8164.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)85.084.4169.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.585.0160.5-9.527%
vs Similar (11)78.573.8152.3+4.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.783.0165.7-0.343%
This opponent (Celje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.9-6.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.9-6.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
CeljeRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CeljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#6
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H13/11
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/11
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#12
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H19/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#12
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/10
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H19/10
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A25/10
Slovenian Cup
Vojnik
#8
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A17/10
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H09/10
Slovenian Cup
Ljubljana
#23
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
75.1Avg total
35.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.441.379.8-2.928%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.879.3-0.333%-
Last 30 away (14)37.342.980.2-5.621%-
Last 10 (9)35.439.775.1-4.222%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.474.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.443.478.8-8.011%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)45.937.583.4+8.462%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H29/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#26
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
86.1Avg total
43.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.539.982.4+2.679%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.580.3-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.186.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.543.283.6-2.736%-
vs Similar (11)40.636.777.4+3.991%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.642.685.1+0.057%-
This opponent (Celje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Celjetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.6
57.1%
55.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
36.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.9
70.9%
78.7%13.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Celje wins
0
Rogaska wins
No previous meetings.
Celjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/25HLjubljana75-64
09/10/24HZlatorog Lasko75-87
17/10/23AVojnik62-74
25/10/22ATajfun Sentjur65-72
19/10/22HTajfun Sentjur68-81
27/10/21APolzela80-75
19/10/21HPolzela71-90
20/10/20ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek0-20
20/11/18ATajfun Sentjur83-100
13/11/18HTajfun Sentjur60-82
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HKK Triglav Kranj71-78
20/10/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek91-98
11/10/25HPolzela95-89
07/10/25AVojnik82-63
04/10/25AZlatorog Lasko86-94
27/09/25ATajfun Sentjur88-84
08/02/25AHelios Domzale63-79
29/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto89-83
25/01/25AKK Triglav Kranj80-77
18/01/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Celje
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total139.0139.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Rogaska
Slovenian Cup 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game63.0-63.0
Point differential+19.0-+19.0
Avg total145.0-145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Polzela220100%106.568.0+38.5
2 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek220100%99.065.5+33.5
3 Sencur220100%96.063.5+32.5
4 Zlatorog Lasko220100%94.562.0+32.5
5 Ajdovscina220100%88.063.0+25.0
6 KK Triglav Kranj220100%89.568.0+21.5
7 Rogaska110100%82.063.0+19.0
8 Plama P.220100%79.061.0+18.0
9 Celje110100%75.064.0+11.0
10 Gorica21150%87.074.0+13.0
11 Cedevita Olimpija mladi21150%74.067.0+7.0
12 Cerknica21150%75.581.0-5.5
13 LTH Castings21150%75.583.5-8.0
14 Ipros Vrhnika21150%78.087.0-9.0
15 Elektra Sostanj21150%76.586.0-9.5
16 Vrani Vransko21150%80.0102.5-22.5
17 Crnomelj1010%84.088.0-4.0
18 Nagode Postojna1010%81.088.0-7.0
19 Bistrica Kety Emmi1010%78.087.0-9.0
20 Ljubljana1010%64.075.0-11.0
21 Branik Maribor1010%74.088.0-14.0
22 Jezica1010%63.081.0-18.0
23 Vojnik1010%63.082.0-19.0
24 Jance1010%73.093.0-20.0
25 Tolmin1010%67.088.0-21.0
26 Zoltasti Troti1010%63.086.0-23.0
27 Misel1010%50.076.0-26.0
28 Hrastnik1010%66.0100.0-34.0
29 Hidria1010%66.0102.0-36.0
30 Litija1010%61.0100.0-39.0
31 Prebold1010%45.085.0-40.0
32 Gorenja vas1010%59.0102.0-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Celje1823161471
Rogaska24153329101
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