PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tajfun Sentjur vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 84-88
20-28 26-15 25-18 13-27
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
Position#7
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 1· Pukl S.
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tajfun Sentjur v Rogaska
13 Feb 2027
TSE v ROGA
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
TSE82
ROGA87
27 Sep 2025
TSE84
ROGA88
20 Oct 2024
TSE75
ROGA79
23 Dec 2023
TSE95
ROGA93
06 May 2023
TSE87
ROGA92
19 Dec 2022
TSE68
ROGA79
15 Nov 2022
TSE83
ROGA88
09 Apr 2022
TSE89
ROGA77
04 Dec 2021
TSE90
ROGA88
22 May 2021
TSE101
ROGA94
23 Dec 2020
TSE88
ROGA95
02 Nov 2019
TSE71
ROGA86
13 Oct 2018
TSE77
ROGA80
23 Apr 2018
TSE0
ROGA20
13 Feb 2018
TSE76
ROGA86
28 Oct 2016
TSE57
ROGA60
13 Apr 2016
TSE77
ROGA84
28 May 2015
TSE67
ROGA65
24 May 2015
TSE88
ROGA81
18 Apr 2015
TSE89
ROGA71
10 Jan 2015
TSE76
ROGA65
14 Dec 2013
TSE59
ROGA78
15 Dec 2012
TSE88
ROGA69
10 Dec 2011
TSE73
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tajfun Sentjur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tajfun SentjurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSentjur
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
69-83
69
83
-14
59avg 66
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
62avg 66
A06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 66
H11/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
60avg 66
A15/01
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
56avg 66
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
74-95
74
95
-21
58avg 66
H25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#4
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 66
H28/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
66-107
66
107
-41
56avg 66
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
86-66
86
66
+20
96avg 66
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 66
A13/02
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-23
16-22
27-19
17-19
23-17
15-23
14-15
16-15
14-23
15-21
26-27
27-17
19-13
21-19
13-20
19-23
11-19
22-21
11-18
18-9
12-20
27-30
19-22
16-23
21-18
18-15
18-21
20-16
22-23
14-33
19-25
11-26
25-20
21-17
16-21
24-8
19-13
20-31
22-18
12-25
153.7Avg total
72.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.980.8153.7-7.920%
Last 5 (5)75.285.0160.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.985.1157.0-13.124%
vs Similar (7)78.473.4151.9+5.043%
vs Weaker (5)75.672.6148.2+3.060%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
73avg 70
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 70
H07/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
72avg 70
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 70
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
63avg 70
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
60avg 70
A10/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 70
H18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 70
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
88avg 70
H29/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 70
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-15
14-22
24-26
22-23
23-22
11-20
25-21
22-18
22-24
13-14
18-12
22-15
24-27
27-23
12-27
17-23
23-15
15-14
15-16
21-22
20-19
11-36
16-15
27-18
21-27
18-16
9-22
24-15
20-21
23-20
13-21
22-26
24-22
20-18
23-17
13-28
18-21
14-17
18-13
158.5Avg total
76.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.781.8158.5-5.140%
Last 5 (5)75.082.8157.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.187.6161.7-13.525%
vs Similar (12)76.974.0150.9+2.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.877.5156.3+1.350%
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
Tajfun SentjurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tajfun SentjurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H11/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/01
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A13/02
Slovenian Cup
78.5Avg total
36.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.876.5-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.978.4-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)35.139.874.9-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.178.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.083.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.042.077.0-7.029%-
vs Similar (7)42.039.181.1+2.943%-
vs Weaker (5)34.836.070.8-1.240%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H07/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H29/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
85.6Avg total
42.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.580.6-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.640.282.9+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.878.6-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.885.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.885.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.744.283.9-4.633%-
vs Similar (12)39.636.876.4+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.840.582.3+1.350%-
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tajfun Sentjurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tajfun Sentjur: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.2
48.9%
54.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.311.4
69.9%
72.9%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.7
56.1%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.1
26.6%
33.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
72.9%14.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tajfun Sentjur
LWLWLLLLLL
Rogaska
LWWLLWLWLL
#10
League position
#7
-9.8
Net rating
-6.6
97.5
Offensive rating
105.0
107.3
Defensive rating
111.6
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.2%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.4%
3-point %
26.6%
72.4%
Assist %
62.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 105.0Defence107.3 · 111.6Shooting48.7% · 50.1%3-point %32.4% · 26.6%Ball care20.3% · 19.2%Off. rebounds28.0% · 32.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Tajfun Sentjur   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tajfun Sentjur wins
6
Rogaska wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25AKK Krka Novo mesto73-87
08/02/25HZlatorog Lasko86-66
03/02/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek66-107
28/01/25HPolzela77-70
25/01/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-95
20/01/25ASencur62-67
15/01/25APolzela72-75
11/01/25HHelios Domzale82-88
06/01/25ARogaska68-70
18/12/24HKK Krka Novo mesto69-83
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AHelios Domzale63-79
29/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto89-83
25/01/25AKK Triglav Kranj80-77
18/01/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek75-83
10/01/25ASencur68-92
06/01/25HTajfun Sentjur70-68
21/12/24HLTH Castings85-92
14/12/24AZlatorog Lasko75-68
07/12/24HPerspektiva Ilirija81-86
30/11/24HHelios Domzale81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tajfun Sentjur
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto110100%116.081.0+35.0
2 Sencur110100%97.065.0+32.0
3 Perspektiva Ilirija110100%95.093.0+2.0
4 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1010%93.095.0-2.0
5 Polzela1010%65.097.0-32.0
6 Zlatorog Lasko1010%81.0116.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tajfun Sentjur2026251384
Rogaska2815182788
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.