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Rogaska vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 95-89
28-32 21-15 23-22 23-20
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game89.0
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game83.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 3· Spendl M.
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rogaska v Polzela
12 Dec 2026
ROGA v POLZ
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
ROGA95
POLZ89
29 Apr 2024
ROGA84
POLZ68
27 Jan 2024
ROGA77
POLZ69
07 Jan 2023
ROGA89
POLZ67
23 Apr 2022
ROGA116
POLZ99
05 Nov 2021
ROGA87
POLZ90
11 May 2021
ROGA90
POLZ72
27 Jan 2021
ROGA101
POLZ71
21 Apr 2020
ROGA v POLZ
upcoming
12 Oct 2019
ROGA82
POLZ75
10 Apr 2019
ROGA69
POLZ85
15 Dec 2018
ROGA69
POLZ85
13 Jan 2018
ROGA71
POLZ68
22 Apr 2017
ROGA76
POLZ70
04 Feb 2017
ROGA79
POLZ84
08 Mar 2016
ROGA82
POLZ81
28 Feb 2015
ROGA93
POLZ97
25 Apr 2014
ROGA84
POLZ76
23 Nov 2013
ROGA85
POLZ67
10 Apr 2013
ROGA67
POLZ83
19 Jan 2013
ROGA65
POLZ70
28 Mar 2012
ROGA72
POLZ79
14 Jan 2012
ROGA90
POLZ78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 70
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
63avg 70
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
60avg 70
A10/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 70
H18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 70
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
88avg 70
H29/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 70
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 70
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 70
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#26
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
24-27
27-23
12-27
17-23
23-15
15-14
15-16
21-22
20-19
11-36
16-15
27-18
21-27
18-16
9-22
24-15
20-21
23-20
13-21
22-26
24-22
20-18
23-17
13-28
18-21
14-17
18-13
28-20
15-26
18-25
27-13
26-21
19-22
13-15
28-36
20-17
22-12
22-16
18-18
160.1Avg total
78.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.681.5160.1-2.950%
Last 5 (5)81.680.6162.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.187.6161.7-13.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.871.4147.2+4.470%
vs Weaker (7)82.179.7161.9+2.457%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Miklavz
#35
W
111-47
111
47
+64
no box
A08/10
Slovenian Cup
Branik Maribor
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Branik Maribor
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
H19/11
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A10/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
74avg 72
H15/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
71avg 72
A28/01
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#4
L
65-97
65
97
-32
51avg 72
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
92avg 72
H04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
20-27
10-23
23-21
33-11
24-10
34-15
20-11
21-18
19-17
22-19
10-9
24-23
26-23
28-22
30-15
15-21
12-17
28-23
19-22
19-17
18-19
22-23
30-17
13-19
19-21
20-13
23-19
18-21
15-18
21-18
16-20
12-32
24-21
13-25
16-19
21-20
14-16
29-14
25-20
157.3Avg total
82.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.083.5160.5-6.550%
Season at home (1)89.070.0159.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)65.097.0162.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)82.175.2157.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)77.678.4156.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.793.1170.9-15.414%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.980.0159.9-0.153%
vs Weaker (5)85.477.2162.6+8.280%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
RogaskaPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H29/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#26
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A07/10
Slovenian Cup
84.3Avg total
42.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.380.6+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.539.982.5+2.669%-
Last 30 away (17)38.640.579.2-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.784.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.744.283.9-4.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.736.075.7+3.780%-
vs Weaker (7)42.141.183.3+1.057%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Miklavz
#35
W
57-21
57
21
+36
A08/10
Slovenian Cup
Branik Maribor
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Branik Maribor
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/11
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A10/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/01
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H04/10
Liga Nova KBM
76.6Avg total
38.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.881.5-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.641.080.6-1.438%-
Last 30 away (17)39.842.582.2-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.476.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.875.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.447.188.6-5.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.840.678.4-2.829%-
vs Weaker (5)40.442.883.2-2.440%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.0
56.3%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.0
26.8%
33.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.2
74.1%
72.9%15.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.7
51.9%
54.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.5
37.3%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.917.6
76.9%
72.9%17.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
WLWLWWLLWL
Polzela
WLLWWLWWWL
#7
League position
#8
-6.2
Net rating
+0.5
103.9
Offensive rating
106.0
110.1
Defensive rating
105.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
21.4%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
26.8%
3-point %
37.3%
63.9%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 106.0Defence110.1 · 105.5Shooting50.4% · 53.5%3-point %26.8% · 37.3%Ball care19.5% · 21.4%Off. rebounds31.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Rogaska   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rogaska wins
3
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
29/04/24Rogaska v Polzela84-68
27/01/24Rogaska v Polzela77-69
18/11/23Polzela v Rogaska75-73
11/03/23Polzela v Rogaska102-99 OT
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
23/04/22Rogaska v Polzela116-99
16/03/22Polzela v Rogaska83-97
26/02/22Polzela v Rogaska74-81
05/11/21Rogaska v Polzela87-90 OT
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/25AVojnik82-63
04/10/25AZlatorog Lasko86-94
27/09/25ATajfun Sentjur88-84
08/02/25AHelios Domzale63-79
29/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto89-83
25/01/25AKK Triglav Kranj80-77
18/01/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek75-83
10/01/25ASencur68-92
06/01/25HTajfun Sentjur70-68
21/12/24HLTH Castings85-92
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HTajfun Sentjur89-70
27/09/25ASencur65-97
28/01/25ATajfun Sentjur70-77
15/01/25HTajfun Sentjur75-72
17/12/24HZlatorog Lasko89-76
10/12/24AZlatorog Lasko74-83
19/11/24HBranik Maribor108-83
12/11/24ABranik Maribor72-63
08/10/24AMiklavz111-47
29/04/24ARogaska68-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total176.0-176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.089.065.0
Allowed / game83.570.097.0
Point differential-6.5+19.0-32.0
Avg total160.5159.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sencur220100%90.061.5+28.5
2 KK Krka Novo mesto330100%100.780.0+20.7
3 Perspektiva Ilirija32167%88.781.3+7.3
4 Zlatorog Lasko32167%91.094.0-3.0
5 Rogaska21150%87.089.0-2.0
6 Polzela21150%77.083.5-6.5
7 Helios Domzale31233%79.090.3-11.3
8 Tajfun Sentjur2020%77.088.5-11.5
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2020%75.589.0-13.5
10 KK Triglav Kranj2020%69.084.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2821232395
Polzela3215222089
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