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Celovec vs Mistelbach Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 78-90
Projected total 167.7
Final 75-80
20-18 14-27 26-16 15-19
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game82.2
Celovec
Austria
Vs
15%
85%
■ CELO 15%■ MIST 85%
Pythia win probability
Mistelbach 🏆
Austria
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game70.5
AustriaZweite LigaRound 5· Sporthalle St. Peter
Other2026-27
Meetings · Celovec v Mistelbach
31 Oct 2026
CELO75
MIST80
05 Oct 2024
CELO65
MIST97
29 Oct 2022
CELO87
MIST96
05 Oct 2019
CELO54
MIST99
24 Feb 2019
CELO88
MIST85
11 Feb 2018
CELO72
MIST100
04 Mar 2017
CELO89
MIST81
20 Feb 2016
CELO101
MIST88
08 Nov 2014
CELO98
MIST104
01 Feb 2014
CELO76
MIST97
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Celovec host Mistelbach in the Zweite Liga. Pythia makes Mistelbach the favourite at 85% and projects 78-90, about 168 points in all (over 165.5: 55%). On the market's main spread (Celovec +13.5) Pythia gives Celovec 56% to cover. Overtime chance: 3%. Celovec are 3-1 this season (91.8 scored, 82.2 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Mistelbach are 4-0 this season (86.2 scored, 70.5 allowed a game), form LWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Celovec winLost
14.7%fair 6.78
Best odds8.00
Implied13.7%
Edge+1.0pp
Mistelbach winWon
85.3%fair 1.17
Best odds1.10
Implied86.3%
Edge-1.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CelovecAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCelovec
Date
Competition
Wagram
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
67avg 69
H07/02
Zweite Liga
Salzburg
#13
W
104-64
104
64
+40
93avg 69
A14/02
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#15
W
76-74
76
74
+2
76avg 69
A21/02
Zweite Liga
Steiermark
#14
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 69
H28/02
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 69
H07/03
Zweite Liga
Kufstein
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
58avg 69
A15/03
Zweite Liga
Steiermark
#15
W
105-75
105
75
+30
87avg 69
A04/10
Zweite Liga
Radenthein
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
71avg 69
A09/10
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
72avg 69
H17/10
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 69
A24/10
Zweite Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-19
20-24
20-15
22-11
31-14
20-18
31-21
16-21
28-15
13-16
19-22
16-19
26-23
18-22
19-19
18-14
23-17
18-23
12-25
15-27
24-26
20-23
12-17
25-16
30-24
29-20
21-15
28-14
17-23
20-15
25-25
20-21
25-19
18-38
22-19
15-22
29-18
16-18
27-22
164.5Avg total
84.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.882.2174.0+9.575%
Season at home (1)85.097.0182.0-12.00%
Season away (3)94.077.3171.3+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.380.2164.5+4.150%
Last 5 (5)87.684.4172.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.289.6159.8-19.46%
vs Similar (5)85.880.6166.4+5.260%
vs Weaker (8)87.272.9160.1+14.488%
This opponent (Mistelbach) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MistelbachAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMistelbach
Date
Competition
Vienna United
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 85
H11/04
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
84avg 85
A19/04
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#5
W
103-72
103
72
+31
111avg 85
H25/04
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
W
87-60
87
60
+27
82avg 85
H02/05
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
L
53-96
53
96
-43
40avg 85
A09/05
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 85
H14/05
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
75avg 85
H03/10
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#10
W
97-56
97
56
+41
102avg 85
H10/10
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#5
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 85
H17/10
Zweite Liga
Traiskirchen Young Lions
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
94avg 85
A25/10
Zweite Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
17-17
19-17
14-22
21-19
29-19
18-18
21-15
20-12
26-18
35-17
22-25
21-19
18-25
17-6
31-10
13-30
15-17
15-26
10-23
16-21
22-11
16-25
13-17
18-22
20-14
22-15
17-12
27-24
30-11
15-10
25-11
23-15
25-21
11-17
22-27
25-17
17-21
23-22
25-23
154.8Avg total
81.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.270.5156.8+15.8100%
Season at home (3)85.066.3151.3+18.7100%
Season away (1)90.083.0173.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.573.3154.8+8.270%
Last 5 (5)82.471.2153.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)78.081.0159.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)87.271.3158.6+15.982%
This opponent (Celovec) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
66.5%
Under 160.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5 · main lineActual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
54.8%
@ 1.85+5.1pp
Under 165.5
45.2%
@ 1.85-5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5
Over 170.5
42.6%
Under 170.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Celovec total 71Actual: Celovec over 71
Over 71
75.5%
Under 71
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celovec total 75 · main linePush
Over 75
60.9%
@ 1.72+10.9pp
Under 75
39.1%
@ 1.72-10.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
1.72
Celovec total 79Actual: Celovec under 79
Over 79
44.6%
Under 79
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mistelbach total 88Actual: Mistelbach under 88
Over 88
57.5%
Under 88
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mistelbach total 92 · main lineActual: Mistelbach under 92
Over 92
40.9%
@ 1.73-8.8pp
Under 92
59.1%
@ 1.71+8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Under
1xBet
1.71
Mistelbach total 95.5Actual: Mistelbach under 95.5
Over 95.5
28.3%
@ 2.81-3.3pp
Under 95.5
71.7%
@ 1.30+3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.81
Under
1xBet
1.30

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Celovec +10.5Actual: Celovec +10.5
CELO +10.5
44.9%
@ 2.52+9.7pp
MIST -10.5
55.1%
@ 1.37-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
CELO
1xBet
2.52
MIST
1xBet
1.37
Spread Celovec +13.5 · main lineActual: Celovec +13.5
CELO +13.5
55.7%
@ 1.93+7.9pp
MIST -13.5
44.3%
@ 1.83-7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
CELO
1xBet
1.93
Bet365
1.83
MIST
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.62
Spread Celovec +16.5Actual: Celovec +16.5
CELO +16.5
66.0%
@ 1.57+9.7pp
MIST -16.5
34.0%
@ 2.02-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
CELO
1xBet
1.57
MIST
1xBet
2.02

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
CelovecMistelbach
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CelovecLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wagram
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H07/02
Zweite Liga
Salzburg
#13
W
53-25
53
25
+28
A14/02
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/02
Zweite Liga
Steiermark
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H28/02
Zweite Liga
Worthersee Piraten
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/03
Zweite Liga
Kufstein
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/03
Zweite Liga
Steiermark
#15
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A04/10
Zweite Liga
Radenthein
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/10
Zweite Liga
Raiders Tirol
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A24/10
Zweite Liga
82.8Avg total
44.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)39.841.080.7-1.247%43%
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.180.0-0.347%47%
Last 30 away (15)39.741.881.5-2.147%40%
Last 10 (10)44.338.582.8+5.870%50%
Last 5 (5)45.642.087.6+3.680%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.444.480.8-8.124%47%
vs Similar (5)43.438.682.0+4.860%60%
vs Weaker (8)44.835.179.9+9.688%25%
This opponent (Mistelbach) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MistelbachLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vienna United
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/04
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A19/04
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H25/04
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H02/05
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A09/05
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H14/05
Zweite Liga
Vienna United
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/10
Zweite Liga
Gussing Blackbirds
#10
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H10/10
Zweite Liga
Wagram
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/10
Zweite Liga
Traiskirchen Young Lions
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A25/10
Zweite Liga
79.9Avg total
42.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)44.636.280.8+8.473%50%
Last 30 at home (17)44.634.679.2+10.082%41%
Last 30 away (13)44.638.483.0+6.262%62%
Last 10 (10)42.437.579.9+4.970%40%
Last 5 (5)44.635.480.0+9.2100%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)45.541.086.5+4.550%100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.535.980.4+8.675%46%
This opponent (Celovec) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Mistelbach win
CELO win
no forecast
@ 5.10
MIST win
no forecast
@ 1.25
1st half Spread Celovec +7.5 · main lineActual: Mistelbach -7.5
CELO +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
MIST -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Under 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Celovec 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Celovec under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Mistelbach 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Mistelbach under 45.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Celovec +6.5Actual: Mistelbach -6.5
CELO +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
MIST -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Celovec +8.5Actual: Mistelbach -8.5
CELO +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
MIST -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Mistelbach (regulation)
CELO
no forecast
@ 5.30
Draw
no forecast
@ 26.00
MIST
no forecast
@ 1.20

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CELO win + total 165.5
🔒 Pro
MIST win + total 165.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CELO leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Celovec +21.580.2%1.47
1xBet
1.47		----+20.0ppWon
Celovec +22.582.5%1.39
1xBet
1.39		----+18.8ppWon
Mistelbach under 96.575.0%1.38
1xBet
1.38		----+11.5ppWon
Celovec over 71.573.1%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+10.9ppWon
Celovec over 70.576.2%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+10.8ppWon
Celovec over 69.579.2%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+10.5ppWon
Celovec +18.572.2%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+8.9ppWon
Celovec +19.575.0%1.33
1xBet
1.33		----+8.3ppWon
Celovec +20.577.7%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+7.6ppWon
Mistelbach under 95.571.7%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+3.3ppWon
Mistelbach over 84.570.3%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+2.4ppLost
Mistelbach (regulation)83.4%1.04
1xBet
1.04		-----0.1ppWon
Mistelbach win85.3%1.06
Bet365
1.10
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.06
Pinnacle
1.04
1xBet
1.03		-1.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Celovectheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Celovec: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.917.7
57.3%
54.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.3
36.0%
31.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.014.1
67.1%
64.1%14.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mistelbachtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mistelbach: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.7
57.1%
54.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.9
30.5%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.318.1
74.5%
64.1%18.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Celovec
WLWWLLLWWL
Mistelbach
WWWWLLWWWL
#6
League position
#2
+5.0
Net rating
+13.1
94.7
Offensive rating
93.5
89.7
Defensive rating
80.4
55.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.0%
3-point %
30.5%
52.1%
Assist %
66.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 93.5Defence89.7 · 80.4Shooting55.6% · 52.2%3-point %36.0% · 30.5%Ball care16.6% · 19.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Celovec   ■ Mistelbach
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Celovec wins
9
Mistelbach wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Mistelbach v Celovec102-78
05/10/24Celovec v Mistelbach65-97
07/10/23Mistelbach v Celovec89-63
29/10/22Celovec v Mistelbach87-96
09/10/21Mistelbach v Celovec77-69
14/12/19Mistelbach v Celovec102-81
05/10/19Celovec v Mistelbach54-99
24/02/19Celovec v Mistelbach88-85
24/11/18Mistelbach v Celovec84-64
11/02/18Celovec v Mistelbach72-100
Celoveclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AWagram87-80
17/10/26HRaiders Tirol85-97
09/10/26ARadenthein90-77
04/10/26ASteiermark105-75
15/03/26AKufstein71-93
07/03/26HWorthersee Piraten71-79
28/02/26HSteiermark79-83
21/02/26AGussing Blackbirds76-74
14/02/26ASalzburg104-64
07/02/26HWagram75-80
Mistelbachlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ATraiskirchen Young Lions90-83
17/10/26HWagram81-80
10/10/26HGussing Blackbirds97-56
03/10/26HVienna United77-63
14/05/26HWagram67-74
09/05/26AWagram53-96
02/05/26HWagram87-60
25/04/26HVienna United103-72
19/04/26AVienna United89-71
11/04/26HVienna United71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Celovec
Zweite Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%0%100%
Points / game91.885.094.0
Allowed / game82.297.077.3
Point differential+9.5-12.0+16.7
Avg total174.0182.0171.3
Over 165.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mistelbach
Zweite Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.285.090.0
Allowed / game70.566.383.0
Point differential+15.8+18.7+7.0
Avg total156.8151.3173.0
Over 165.525%0%100%
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Raiders Tirol440100%108.576.0+32.5
2 Worthersee Piraten440100%94.870.2+24.5
3 Mistelbach440100%86.270.5+15.8
4 Celovec43175%91.882.2+9.5
5 Wagram42250%86.080.2+5.8
6 Vienna Timberwolves42250%90.586.2+4.2
7 Traiskirchen Young Lions42250%89.285.8+3.5
8 Mattersburg42250%71.572.8-1.2
9 Upper Austrian Ballers42250%84.888.2-3.5
10 Gussing Blackbirds31233%75.783.0-7.3
11 Salzburg31233%79.799.0-19.3
12 Radenthein41325%79.596.2-16.8
13 Vienna United3030%63.778.3-14.7
14 BK Rapid Wien4040%83.8102.8-19.0
15 Steiermark3030%73.3105.7-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Celovec2014261575
Mistelbach1827161980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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