PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cento vs Mestre Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game76.3
ItalySerie A2Round 15· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cento v Mestre
16 Dec 2026
CENT v MEST
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
CENT61
MEST82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 66
H03/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
87-64
87
64
+23
94avg 66
H05/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
83-63
83
63
+20
80avg 66
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#5
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 66
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
44avg 66
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 66
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 66
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#11
L
52-96
52
96
-44
22avg 66
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
61avg 66
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
L
64-74
64
74
-10
55avg 66
H30/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
14-18
27-24
18-12
26-12
24-12
26-20
11-20
21-26
23-10
22-12
17-15
14-31
25-25
19-20
23-20
18-31
19-16
19-18
17-15
24-27
21-21
29-21
24-19
20-24
12-23
22-13
16-20
10-24
13-25
20-23
9-24
14-25
12-17
26-13
25-16
18-16
13-21
21-23
12-14
154.9Avg total
76.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.683.6157.1-10.029%
Season at home (4)73.888.5162.2-14.825%
Season away (3)73.377.0150.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)76.678.3154.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)72.281.8154.0-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.382.9156.2-9.68%
vs Similar (12)80.083.5163.5-3.533%
vs Weaker (5)80.674.0154.6+6.660%
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
48avg 66
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
64avg 66
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 66
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 66
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 66
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 66
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 66
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 66
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 66
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H31/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
21-29
16-20
20-17
26-17
13-28
19-21
24-24
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
24-12
21-26
26-8
22-25
17-26
18-15
22-16
13-20
18-24
18-15
13-16
21-8
153.7Avg total
74.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.076.3149.3-3.343%
Season at home (4)71.577.2148.8-5.850%
Season away (3)75.075.0150.0+0.033%
Last 10 (10)74.379.4153.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)76.677.8154.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.980.9155.8-6.138%
vs Similar (13)79.479.8159.2-0.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
CentoMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H05/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#11
L
23-49
23
49
-26
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/10
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
36.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.079.6-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.540.878.3-3.331%-
Last 30 away (14)37.743.481.1-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.342.178.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.444.676.0-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.542.878.4-7.315%-
vs Similar (12)38.343.481.8-5.125%-
vs Weaker (5)41.236.477.6+4.880%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H31/10
Serie A2
82.7Avg total
38.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.981.2-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.641.482.1-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)37.842.480.2-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.182.7-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.883.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.642.980.5-5.231%-
vs Similar (13)40.640.681.2+0.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.2
52.3%
51.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.2
28.2%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
70.9%14.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.8
44.8%
51.5%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.2
31.1%
34.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
70.9%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LWLLWLLWWW
Mestre
WLWLLLWLLL
#17
League position
#12
-2.3
Net rating
-7.9
92.8
Offensive rating
90.1
95.1
Defensive rating
98.0
47.6%
Effective FG%
45.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
12.3%
Turnover %
9.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.2%
3-point %
31.1%
55.9%
Assist %
43.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 90.1Defence95.1 · 98.0Shooting47.6% · 45.6%3-point %28.2% · 31.1%Ball care12.3% · 9.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Cento   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cento wins
2
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Cento v Mestre61-82
03/10/25Mestre v Cento78-70
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCividale64-74
25/10/26AMontecatini77-71
21/10/26HPistoia52-96
17/10/26ASassari70-80
11/10/26HVigevano98-88
03/10/26AForli73-80
27/09/26HPesaro81-96
08/05/26ARoseto83-63
05/05/26HRoseto87-64
03/05/26HRoseto81-71
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HBrindisi70-63
25/10/26ACaserta70-77
21/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia93-71
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
18/04/26HLibertas Livorno82-90
12/04/26AVerona68-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game73.673.873.3
Allowed / game83.688.577.0
Point differential-10.0-14.8-3.7
Avg total157.1162.2150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game73.071.575.0
Allowed / game76.377.275.0
Point differential-3.3-5.8+0.0
Avg total149.3148.8150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno770100%82.469.0+13.4
2 Avellino Basket76186%80.773.0+7.7
3 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
4 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
5 Pesaro75271%81.376.9+4.4
6 Fortitudo Bologna75271%79.175.4+3.7
7 Sebastiani Rieti75271%75.074.9+0.1
8 Forli74357%83.778.3+5.4
9 Brindisi74357%76.673.3+3.3
10 Sassari74357%76.075.9+0.1
11 Pistoia73443%76.169.3+6.9
12 Mestre73443%73.076.3-3.3
13 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
14 Caserta62433%79.883.5-3.7
15 Ruvo Di Puglia72529%78.084.6-6.6
16 Vigevano72529%77.785.6-7.9
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona7070%73.480.3-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.