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Cento vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 61-82
17-23 16-19 16-28 12-12
Position#18
Record10-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game80.9
Cento
Italy
vs
Mestre 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record12-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.1
ItalySerie A2Round 30· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cento v Mestre
16 Dec 2026
CENT v MEST
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
CENT61
MEST82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-97
85
97
-12
70avg 69
A28/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 69
H04/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
66-88
66
88
-22
50avg 69
A11/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H17/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 69
A21/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 69
H25/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
88-90
88
90
-2
88avg 69
A01/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 69
H07/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
83avg 69
H16/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
68-90
68
90
-22
62avg 69
A22/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-27
22-23
21-27
26-20
13-17
29-28
21-17
15-22
17-18
21-27
13-21
17-31
21-15
19-23
25-16
22-24
20-16
19-26
20-17
10-17
17-20
22-14
18-20
25-29
21-17
19-17
23-27
11-15
16-27
21-14
26-24
27-11
20-19
14-14
20-30
14-20
14-28
19-17
21-25
162.1Avg total
78.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.180.9159.0-2.836%
Season at home (14)80.677.6158.2+3.157%
Season away (14)75.684.2159.8-8.614%
Last 10 (10)78.184.0162.1-5.920%
Last 5 (5)75.681.0156.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.278.0153.2-2.836%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.383.8164.1-3.531%
vs Weaker (3)83.778.0161.7+5.767%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
55-83
55
83
-28
42avg 66
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 66
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 66
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
70avg 66
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
66avg 66
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
73-75
73
75
-2
58avg 66
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 66
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 66
H27/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
9-21
13-30
11-14
15-18
23-19
26-18
21-35
19-31
15-17
16-30
22-12
15-18
21-14
34-20
15-25
27-19
22-24
19-15
6-20
27-18
22-20
15-23
17-19
22-24
15-20
18-14
19-16
26-22
12-17
16-20
19-16
28-18
17-26
23-15
22-26
25-24
17-26
21-19
21-24
161.2Avg total
77.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.881.1158.8-3.341%
Season at home (15)78.382.3160.6-4.147%
Season away (14)77.279.7156.9-2.536%
Last 10 (10)77.983.3161.2-5.430%
Last 5 (5)81.683.0164.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.982.4157.3-7.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.180.6161.7+0.554%
vs Weaker (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
CentoMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H25/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A01/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H07/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H16/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/02
Serie A2
78.1Avg total
36.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.579.3-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.240.079.2-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)38.440.979.3-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.378.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.675.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.538.476.9+0.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.142.681.7-3.531%-
vs Weaker (3)39.040.779.7-1.733%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/02
Serie A2
81.3Avg total
39.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.441.781.1-2.245%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.342.382.7-2.053%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.979.4-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.481.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.142.680.8-4.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.541.581.9-1.046%-
vs Weaker (2)41.536.077.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.3
51.7%
50.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.2%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.512.6
68.1%
74.4%12.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.616.8
43.5%
50.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.3
32.6%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
74.4%13.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LWLLLLLLWL
Mestre
LWLLWLWLLL
#18
League position
#15
-7.6
Net rating
-5.3
95.7
Offensive rating
92.2
103.4
Defensive rating
97.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
45.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
11.6%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
32.6%
58.0%
Assist %
53.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 92.2Defence103.4 · 97.5Shooting50.4% · 45.8%3-point %32.2% · 32.6%Ball care14.9% · 11.6%Off. rebounds35.1% · 35.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Cento   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cento wins
1
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
03/10/25Mestre v Cento78-70
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AJuVi Cremona68-90
16/02/26HLibertas Livorno81-74
07/02/26HPesaro74-80
01/02/26AForli88-90
25/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo67-71
21/01/26ARuvo Di Puglia81-83
17/01/26HCividale82-85
11/01/26ARimini66-88
04/01/26HSebastiani Rieti89-82
28/12/25AUrania Milano85-97
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HUrania Milano84-93
21/02/26HPistoia90-85
15/02/26ABasket Torino73-75
08/02/26ASebastiani Rieti80-82 OT
31/01/26HScafati81-80
24/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia74-78
21/01/26ARoseto85-77
17/01/26AFortitudo Bologna72-90
15/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo85-90
10/01/26HForli55-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game78.180.675.6
Allowed / game80.977.684.2
Point differential-2.8+3.1-8.6
Avg total159.0158.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeLLWWL47%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%47%36%
Points / game77.878.377.2
Allowed / game81.182.379.7
Point differential-3.3-4.1-2.5
Avg total158.8160.6156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)62% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2921872%82.078.2+3.9
2 Brindisi2819968%78.672.2+6.4
3 Libertas Livorno30191163%79.972.8+7.1
4 Scafati29181162%82.177.7+4.3
5 Fortitudo Bologna29181162%77.073.2+3.7
6 Rimini28171161%81.678.0+3.6
7 Avellino Basket28171161%81.979.2+2.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%78.776.8+2.0
9 Cividale30181260%77.676.2+1.5
10 Verona29171259%77.573.7+3.8
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona29141548%74.977.0-2.1
13 Basket Torino29131645%72.874.1-1.3
14 Urania Milano30131743%79.181.8-2.7
15 Mestre29121741%77.881.1-3.3
16 Cento28101836%78.180.9-2.8
17 Forli29101934%76.680.8-4.2
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2992031%76.886.2-9.5
19 Pistoia2972224%77.182.9-5.8
20 Roseto2952417%78.184.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento1716161261
Mestre2319281282
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