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Caserta vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-70
26-17 15-18 16-22 20-13
Position#15
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game84.0
Caserta 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game78.8
ItalySerie A2Round 6· PalaMaggiò
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
69avg 75
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 75
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 75
H18/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
18-27
19-17
21-19
15-18
24-26
14-16
21-26
22-15
24-23
15-23
21-16
17-21
21-27
16-25
35-20
24-17
156.7Avg total
77.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.884.0165.8-2.225%
Season at home (2)88.586.0174.5+2.550%
Season away (2)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)77.779.0156.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)80.881.2162.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.982.6159.5-5.720%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.380.8160.1-1.547%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 67
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 67
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
48avg 67
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
64avg 67
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 67
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 67
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 67
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 67
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 67
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 67
H21/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
22-28
21-24
22-21
22-26
24-19
20-24
17-16
11-21
21-29
16-20
20-17
26-17
13-28
19-21
24-24
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
24-12
21-26
26-8
22-25
160.1Avg total
76.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.278.8153.0-4.640%
Season at home (3)72.082.0154.0-10.033%
Season away (2)77.574.0151.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)76.783.4160.1-6.720%
Last 5 (5)74.278.8153.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.783.9158.6-9.127%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.778.2156.8+0.546%
vs Weaker (2)83.574.5158.0+9.050%
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
CasertaMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/10
Serie A2
78.9Avg total
37.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.579.1-4.020%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.579.4-1.727%-
Last 30 away (15)36.242.578.7-6.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.878.9-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.282.8-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.241.778.9-4.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.941.479.3-3.520%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
85.5Avg total
39.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.680.9-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.741.181.8-0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)37.742.380.0-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.685.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.282.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.243.080.2-5.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.540.280.8+0.354%-
vs Weaker (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.5
54.0%
51.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.5
69.9%
70.8%13.5
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.8
46.0%
51.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
70.8%14.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
WLLLWLWLWL
Mestre
WLLLWLLLLL
#15
League position
#13
-3.1
Net rating
-8.7
101.6
Offensive rating
90.2
104.7
Defensive rating
98.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
46.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
11.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.0%
3-point %
31.9%
42.3%
Assist %
44.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 90.2Defence104.7 · 98.9Shooting52.6% · 46.8%3-point %34.0% · 31.9%Ball care18.7% · 11.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Caserta   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Caserta wins
0
Mestre wins
No previous meetings.
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HJuVi Cremona96-89
11/10/26APesaro77-83
04/10/26HFortitudo Bologna81-83
27/09/26ASebastiani Rieti73-81
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia93-71
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
18/04/26HLibertas Livorno82-90
12/04/26AVerona68-87
08/04/26HAvellino Basket83-85
05/04/26ARimini81-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game81.888.575.0
Allowed / game84.086.082.0
Point differential-2.2+2.5-7.0
Avg total165.8174.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game74.272.077.5
Allowed / game78.882.074.0
Point differential-4.6-10.0+3.5
Avg total153.0154.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno550100%79.663.0+16.6
2 Avellino Basket550100%83.271.6+11.6
3 Pesaro550100%85.677.2+8.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna54180%80.674.2+6.4
5 Sebastiani Rieti54180%75.872.6+3.2
6 Basket Torino43175%75.574.0+1.5
7 Rimini53260%79.470.6+8.8
8 Forli53260%82.677.0+5.6
9 Brindisi53260%78.074.6+3.4
10 Sassari53260%75.275.4-0.2
11 Pistoia52340%78.869.4+9.4
12 Mestre52340%74.278.8-4.6
13 Cividale62433%70.276.2-6.0
14 Caserta41325%81.884.0-2.2
15 Ruvo Di Puglia51420%79.289.0-9.8
16 Vigevano51420%74.085.4-11.4
17 Cento51420%74.888.0-13.2
18 Montecatini51420%72.285.6-13.4
19 Urania Milano61517%76.581.2-4.7
20 JuVi Cremona5050%75.482.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2615162077
Mestre1718221370
← all games of the day
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