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Central Arkansas vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 66-74 (OT)
27-30 37-34 2-10
Position#341
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#75
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Central Arkansas v Northwestern St.
26 Nov 2022
CENT66
NORT74
30 Jan 2021
CENT77
NORT81
07 Mar 2020
CENT85
NORT100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#71
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Stetson
#284
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Hendrix College
#624
W
107-56
107
56
+51
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Niagara
#191
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A18/11
NCAA
Rider
#168
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
34-51
47-37
34-35
33-31
33-50
30-40
44-33
33-44
36-35
21-41
34-38
50-23
57-33
37-30
45-41
26-33
38-40
41-39
49-46
150.8Avg total
75.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.672.8152.4+6.860%
Season at home (2)94.563.5158.0+31.0100%
Season away (3)69.779.0148.7-9.333%
Last 10 (10)75.475.4150.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)79.672.8152.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.782.1155.8-8.437%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)119.047.0166.0+72.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H26/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H05/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A10/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
49-73
49
73
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#379
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H13/11
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A15/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
40-48
29-41
33-39
38-31
49-46
37-49
43-36
23-43
44-37
23-42
26-31
30-38
49-30
32-32
35-37
29-31
35-32
38-30
32-37
144.6Avg total
70.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.868.0133.8-2.260%
Season at home (2)73.068.5141.5+4.550%
Season away (3)61.067.7128.7-6.767%
Last 10 (10)70.174.5144.6-4.440%
Last 5 (5)65.868.0133.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)71.982.3154.1-10.418%
vs Similar (4)74.871.8146.5+3.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)75.367.7143.0+7.767%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +1.3+1.3
Central ArkansasNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#71
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Stetson
#284
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H02/03
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A08/11
NCAA
Hendrix College
#624
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Niagara
#191
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Rider
#168
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A19/11
NCAA
70.2Avg total
35.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.335.972.3+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.033.472.4+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)34.038.272.2-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.035.270.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.268.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)34.637.371.9-2.741%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)59.025.084.0+34.0100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#103
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H26/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H05/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A10/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#379
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H13/11
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A18/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
31.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.938.672.5-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.935.372.2+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)31.641.172.6-9.524%-
Last 10 (10)31.537.268.7-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.434.665.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)33.040.273.2-7.227%-
vs Similar (4)35.236.872.0-1.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)40.029.069.0+11.067%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Central Arkansas wins
3
Northwestern St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22ARider90-85
18/11/22ANiagara64-73
15/11/22HUALR82-71
11/11/22HHendrix College107-56
08/11/22AWichita State55-79
04/03/22AJacksonville69-79
02/03/22HStetson74-73
26/02/22ALipscomb66-81
24/02/22ANorth Alabama81-72
22/02/22HLiberty66-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22AIllinois State70-67
15/11/22ATCU64-63
13/11/22HIllinois State67-69
10/11/22HOuachita Baptist79-68
08/11/22ATexas Tech49-73
10/03/22AMcNeese State67-80
05/03/22HSE Louisiana80-85
26/02/22HNew Orleans87-77
25/02/22HNicholls State62-80
19/02/22ATexas A&M-CC76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game79.694.569.7
Allowed / game72.863.579.0
Point differential+6.8+31.0-9.3
Avg total152.4158.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game65.873.061.0
Allowed / game68.068.567.7
Point differential-2.2+4.5-6.7
Avg total133.8141.5128.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville43175%71.052.2+18.8
2 Stetson43175%72.868.8+4.0
3 Queens Royals75271%81.370.3+11.0
4 Florida Gulf Coast75271%74.965.9+9.0
5 Lipscomb64267%80.767.8+12.8
6 Central Arkansas53260%79.672.8+6.8
7 Eastern Kentucky74357%84.071.4+12.6
8 North Alabama74357%81.072.3+8.7
9 Austin Peay73443%64.070.0-6.0
10 Bellarmine62433%65.067.3-2.3
11 North Florida51420%68.084.8-16.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin64267%75.563.5+12.0
2 Northwestern St.53260%65.868.0-2.2
3 Texas A&M-CC74357%76.468.3+8.1
4 SE Louisiana74357%77.672.9+4.7
5 UTRGV74357%78.474.4+4.0
6 Incarnate Word63350%70.368.0+2.3
7 Lamar63350%74.773.7+1.0
8 TX A&M Commerce62433%67.069.3-2.3
9 McNeese State62433%70.573.5-3.0
10 New Orleans62433%68.079.3-11.3
11 Nicholls State51420%73.883.6-9.8
12 Houston Christian71614%73.387.3-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Central Arkansas2737266
Northwestern St.30341074
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