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Northwestern St. vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-69
32-32 35-37
Position#75
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game70.5
Northwestern St.
USA
vs
Illinois State 🏆
USA
Position#303
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#271
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H12/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A18/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H26/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H05/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A10/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
49-73
49
73
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#379
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
29-43
35-42
40-38
42-40
46-24
36-35
40-48
29-41
33-39
38-31
49-46
37-49
43-36
23-43
44-37
23-42
26-31
30-38
49-30
149.8Avg total
73.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.070.5134.5-6.550%
Season at home (1)79.068.0147.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)49.073.0122.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)73.276.6149.8-3.430%
Last 5 (5)72.476.6149.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.684.2154.8-13.612%
vs Similar (4)74.871.8146.5+3.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)89.067.0156.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
21-36
33-32
37-40
32-31
32-41
23-33
27-26
24-49
45-41
44-36
42-30
23-28
35-25
30-40
35-38
40-33
28-38
28-16
26-33
131.1Avg total
64.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)61.060.0121.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
Season away (1)54.049.0103.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)64.167.0131.1-2.930%
Last 5 (5)66.263.4129.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.479.0150.4-7.614%
vs Similar (10)68.767.4136.1+1.350%
vs Weaker (4)77.261.8139.0+15.575%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -2.0-2.0
Northwestern St.Illinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#271
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H12/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#344
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H26/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H05/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A10/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#379
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H10/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
33.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.040.273.2-7.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.236.272.4+0.154%-
Last 30 away (17)30.543.473.9-12.818%-
Last 10 (10)33.339.472.7-6.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.240.670.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)32.041.573.6-9.525%-
vs Similar (4)35.236.872.0-1.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.025.075.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#291
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-16
28
16
+12
A11/11
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.467.9-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.233.969.2+1.353%-
Last 30 away (13)31.135.166.2-4.038%-
Last 10 (10)31.332.263.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.663.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.138.270.4-6.129%-
vs Similar (10)32.433.165.5-0.740%-
vs Weaker (4)36.028.264.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Northwestern St. wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
Northwestern St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22HOuachita Baptist79-68
08/11/22ATexas Tech49-73
10/03/22AMcNeese State67-80
05/03/22HSE Louisiana80-85
26/02/22HNew Orleans87-77
25/02/22HNicholls State62-80
19/02/22ATexas A&M-CC76-83
18/02/22AIncarnate Word88-64
12/02/22HMcNeese State75-80
11/02/22HHouston Christian69-76
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22AEastern Illinois54-49
08/11/22HWestern Illinois68-71
04/03/22ANorthern Iowa65-78
04/03/22HIndiana State58-53
26/02/22HIndiana State86-66
24/02/22ASouthern Illinois69-90
22/02/22HLoyola Chicago50-59
19/02/22ABradley64-72
16/02/22HNorthern Iowa70-72
12/02/22AIndiana State57-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game64.079.049.0
Allowed / game70.568.073.0
Point differential-6.5+11.0-24.0
Avg total134.5147.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game61.068.054.0
Allowed / game60.071.049.0
Point differential+1.0-3.0+5.0
Avg total121.0139.0103.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin220100%89.555.5+34.0
2 McNeese State21150%84.064.5+19.5
3 SE Louisiana21150%79.576.0+3.5
4 Texas A&M-CC21150%59.559.0+0.5
5 Lamar21150%64.569.0-4.5
6 Northwestern St.21150%64.070.5-6.5
7 New Orleans21150%59.076.0-17.0
8 TX A&M Commerce2020%68.578.5-10.0
9 Incarnate Word2020%60.076.5-16.5
10 Nicholls State2020%71.598.0-26.5
11 Houston Christian2020%48.579.5-31.0
12 UTRGV1010%59.093.0-34.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake110100%80.048.0+32.0
2 Indiana State220100%81.562.0+19.5
3 Southern Illinois220100%77.561.5+16.0
4 Northern Iowa21150%80.058.5+21.5
5 Illinois (Chi.)21150%72.559.0+13.5
6 Bradley21150%77.571.5+6.0
7 Illinois State21150%61.060.0+1.0
8 Belmont21150%72.079.0-7.0
9 Evansville21150%71.578.5-7.0
10 Valparaiso1010%70.085.0-15.0
11 Murray State1010%68.091.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.323567
Illinois State323769
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