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Central Connecticut State vs St. Francis (PA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-64
32-29 37-35
Position#114
Record17-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#359
Record7-23
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game81.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Central Connecticut State v St. Francis (PA)
28 Feb 2026
CENT69
ST. 64
11 Mar 2025
CENT43
ST. 46
15 Feb 2025
CENT83
ST. 67
06 Mar 2024
CENT71
ST. 62
01 Feb 2024
CENT63
ST. 62
28 Jan 2023
CENT88
ST. 74
24 Feb 2022
CENT63
ST. 79
04 Jan 2020
CENT69
ST. 93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Connecticut State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Francis (PA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#283
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A30/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H31/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H06/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H07/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A13/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-23
35-38
32-26
30-29
36-37
23-43
35-28
43-39
38-28
46-39
41-33
40-43
30-25
33-32
39-34
39-43
25-28
26-42
34-30
46-48
138.3Avg total
69.5Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.571.2145.7+3.361%
Season at home (12)84.273.1157.2+11.175%
Season away (16)67.269.8137.0-2.550%
Last 10 (10)69.568.8138.3+0.770%
Last 5 (5)70.671.6142.2-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)69.074.6143.6-5.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)76.567.6144.1+8.972%
This opponent (St. Francis (PA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Francis (PA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H14/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H21/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
77-103
77
103
-26
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
32-40
37-45
42-34
45-38
39-48
33-36
42-44
25-29
34-37
36-50
43-44
38-43
51-48
31-31
25-34
41-32
32-35
33-54
44-49
158.1Avg total
75.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.781.4153.1-9.623%
Season at home (14)75.474.6149.9+0.836%
Season away (16)68.687.3155.9-18.812%
Last 10 (10)75.083.1158.1-8.110%
Last 5 (5)74.884.0158.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.784.6154.3-15.015%
vs Similar (2)78.070.0148.0+8.050%
vs Weaker (1)100.041.0141.0+59.0100%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -2.9-2.9
Central Connecticut StateSt. Francis (PA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#283
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A27/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A30/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A13/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
33.4Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.532.466.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.631.570.1+7.171%-
Last 30 away (16)30.933.264.1-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)33.429.262.6+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)33.830.063.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)31.235.266.5-4.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.630.567.1+6.172%-
This opponent (St. Francis (PA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Francis (PA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H14/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A27/02
NCAA
75.5Avg total
35.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.873.8-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.635.972.5+0.629%-
Last 30 away (16)33.541.474.9-7.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.975.5-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.077.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)33.840.674.5-6.819%-
vs Similar (2)40.034.074.0+6.050%-
vs Weaker (1)46.015.061.0+31.0100%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers80-78
21/02/26AChicago State51-70
20/02/26HLe Moyne78-77
14/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson63-57
13/02/26ANew Haven Chargers81-76
07/02/26HWagner84-67
06/02/26HChicago State78-67
31/01/26HLIU Sharks59-80
30/01/26AWagner62-55
27/01/26AStonehill59-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AStonehill77-103
24/02/26ANew Haven Chargers73-67
21/02/26HWagner56-65
20/02/26HLIU Sharks89-91
14/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers79-94
13/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson59-66
09/02/26AChicago State75-80
07/02/26ALe Moyne84-86
06/02/26AMercyhurst Lakers89-98 OT
01/02/26HNew Haven Chargers69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %61%75%50%
Points / game74.584.267.2
Allowed / game71.273.169.8
Point differential+3.3+11.1-2.5
Avg total145.7157.2137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
St. Francis (PA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %23%36%12%
Points / game71.775.468.6
Allowed / game81.474.687.3
Point differential-9.6+0.8-18.8
Avg total153.1149.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LIU Sharks30201067%74.171.9+2.2
2 Central Connecticut State28171161%74.571.2+3.3
3 Le Moyne30151550%73.573.1+0.4
4 Mercyhurst Lakers30141647%69.567.6+1.9
5 New Haven Chargers30131743%64.966.5-1.6
6 Wagner28121643%71.672.8-1.2
7 Stonehill30121840%66.668.3-1.7
8 Fairleigh Dickinson30111937%67.670.0-2.4
9 St. Francis (PA)3072323%71.781.4-9.6
10 Chicago State3072323%65.675.8-10.2
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Central Connecticut State323769
St. Francis (PA)293564
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