PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Central Districts Lions vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 55-99
20-27 11-19 17-16 7-37
Position#8
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game78.3
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2023
Meetings · Central Districts Lions v Sturt Sabres
14 Jun 2025
CENT109
STUR86
20 Apr 2024
CENT89
STUR101
29 Apr 2023
CENT55
STUR99
23 Jul 2022
CENT83
STUR82
17 Apr 2021
CENT70
STUR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Districts Lions winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central Districts LionsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#4
L
74-95
74
95
-21
H17/07
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H23/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#5
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A30/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
111-81
111
81
+30
A06/08
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
70-95
70
95
-25
H25/03
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A01/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
83-92
83
92
-9
H06/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H15/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
104-80
104
80
+24
A22/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
91-107
91
107
-16
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
19-23
15-25
23-26
16-17
21-26
29-18
17-21
15-14
13-23
23-9
29-25
32-17
30-25
24-22
25-17
20-20
17-36
15-14
18-25
8-9
11-13
23-18
12-21
23-22
19-25
30-21
11-24
33-28
20-20
20-24
21-25
24-20
21-15
29-23
30-22
27-27
20-21
28-28
16-31
170.5Avg total
84.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.788.7171.3-6.017%
Season at home (3)82.394.7177.0-12.30%
Season away (3)83.082.7165.7+0.333%
Last 10 (10)84.486.1170.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)85.287.4172.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.296.1175.4-16.90%
vs Similar (11)87.684.3171.9+3.455%
vs Weaker (5)100.674.4175.0+26.2100%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Woodville Warriors
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A16/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A23/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H30/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A06/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
102-66
102
66
+36
A26/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H01/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A15/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
H20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
28-17
8-23
9-19
17-16
26-21
18-29
21-17
21-24
28-22
13-20
10-26
12-29
12-19
28-20
36-16
23-17
35-21
27-12
17-16
23-21
14-25
13-9
14-21
23-23
20-18
22-16
9-18
24-18
14-25
25-19
18-16
11-22
16-25
22-28
10-24
11-23
19-22
30-14
28-17
159.4Avg total
78.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.078.3156.3-0.350%
Season at home (3)70.383.7154.0-13.333%
Season away (3)85.773.0158.7+12.767%
Last 10 (10)78.181.3159.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)73.280.8154.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.092.3168.3-16.333%
vs Similar (7)83.786.9170.6-3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.976.6160.5+7.257%
This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
Central Districts LionsSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Central Districts LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H17/07
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#5
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A30/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A06/08
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H25/03
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
19-22
19
22
-3
A01/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H15/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A22/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/04
NBL1 Central
82.8Avg total
40.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.245.087.3-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.445.789.1-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.385.1-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.282.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.081.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.648.989.5-8.27%-
vs Similar (11)41.944.986.8-3.036%-
vs Weaker (5)47.434.682.0+12.8100%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Woodville Warriors
#1
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A16/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H30/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A06/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A26/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H01/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H25/04
NBL1 Central
83.6Avg total
40.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.485.8-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.143.585.6-1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)42.943.386.1-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.383.6-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.044.479.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.846.487.2-5.744%-
vs Similar (7)44.044.488.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.740.983.6+1.864%-
This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Central Districts Lions wins
3
Sturt Sabres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/23AForestville Eagles91-107
22/04/23ASouthern Tigers104-80
15/04/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers94-97
06/04/23HNorwood Flames83-92
01/04/23AWoodville Warriors54-61
25/03/23HNorth Adelaide Rockets70-95
06/08/22ASouthern Tigers111-81
30/07/22ANorth Adelaide Rockets80-71
23/07/22HSturt Sabres83-82
17/07/22HNorwood Flames74-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/23HEastern Mavericks88-76
20/04/23HWest Adelaide Bearcats59-99
15/04/23AForestville Eagles81-78
06/04/23ANorth Adelaide Rockets74-75
01/04/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers64-76
26/03/23ANorwood Flames102-66
06/08/22ANorwood Flames88-84
30/07/22HSouth Adelaide Panthers72-92
23/07/22ACentral Districts Lions82-83
16/07/22AWoodville Warriors71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Districts Lions
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game82.782.383.0
Allowed / game88.794.782.7
Point differential-6.0-12.3+0.3
Avg total171.3177.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game78.070.385.7
Allowed / game78.383.773.0
Point differential-0.3-13.3+12.7
Avg total156.3154.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles76186%93.977.6+16.3
2 South Adelaide Panthers76186%88.979.3+9.6
3 Woodville Warriors75271%82.177.4+4.7
4 West Adelaide Bearcats64267%98.075.3+22.7
5 Norwood Flames74357%87.188.0-0.9
6 Sturt Sabres63350%78.078.3-0.3
7 North Adelaide Rockets62433%80.389.0-8.7
8 Central Districts Lions61517%82.788.7-6.0
9 Eastern Mavericks61517%79.399.0-19.7
10 Southern Tigers6060%73.596.2-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Central Districts Lions201117755
Sturt Sabres2719163799
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.