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Central Districts Lions vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 89-101
31-22 19-21 25-26 14-32
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game79.2
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2024
Meetings · Central Districts Lions v Sturt Sabres
14 Jun 2025
CENT109
STUR86
20 Apr 2024
CENT89
STUR101
29 Apr 2023
CENT55
STUR99
23 Jul 2022
CENT83
STUR82
17 Apr 2021
CENT70
STUR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Districts Lions winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central Districts LionsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Tigers
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
H17/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A24/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
L
86-120
86
120
-34
H01/07
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A08/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
H09/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
95-107
95
107
-12
H15/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
A23/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
118-113
118
113
+5
H28/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H13/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-10
18-24
24-18
23-21
26-19
21-21
27-21
9-25
18-35
23-25
31-34
14-26
17-24
27-17
21-26
17-24
32-28
17-16
12-16
16-17
27-38
15-24
22-23
31-22
24-26
21-6
11-14
15-25
27-29
32-26
27-34
32-24
27-13
21-24
16-18
18-28
13-30
38-20
19-18
29-25
184.6Avg total
91.1Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.892.8187.5+2.050%
Season at home (2)108.5103.0211.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)81.082.5163.5-1.50%
Last 10 (10)91.193.5184.6-2.430%
Last 5 (5)94.895.6190.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)81.793.4175.2-11.711%
vs Similar (4)98.086.8184.8+11.2100%
vs Weaker (7)90.090.1180.1-0.157%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
123-73
123
73
+50
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H30/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A05/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H23/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
104-62
104
62
+42
A30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A06/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H14/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
17-27
26-21
24-17
31-27
12-28
17-20
25-21
29-23
22-18
41-12
31-20
20-27
27-21
12-22
30-20
22-19
29-25
22-19
25-8
12-25
25-29
12-21
24-21
21-25
26-20
28-20
25-19
27-16
17-14
27-10
33-22
11-19
31-32
26-16
24-10
25-21
28-31
30-20
14-22
177.7Avg total
95.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)98.279.2177.5+19.0100%
Season at home (2)98.589.0187.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)98.069.5167.5+28.5100%
Last 10 (10)95.282.5177.7+12.770%
Last 5 (5)93.282.6175.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.190.3169.4-11.129%
vs Similar (5)86.687.0173.6-0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.273.2167.4+21.183%
This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +7.5+7.5
Central Districts LionsSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Central Districts LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Tigers
#10
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/06
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A24/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H01/07
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A08/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H09/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H15/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A23/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H28/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H13/04
NBL1 Central
93.4Avg total
47.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.545.889.3-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.448.793.1-4.343%-
Last 30 away (16)42.643.385.9-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)47.945.593.4+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)49.047.296.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)42.246.888.9-4.632%-
vs Similar (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (7)45.344.189.4+1.171%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H30/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A05/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A06/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H14/04
NBL1 Central
92.0Avg total
45.6Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.786.7+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.343.088.3+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.585.2+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)45.646.492.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.491.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.347.086.3-7.743%-
vs Similar (5)45.846.492.2-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.240.185.3+5.267%-
This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Central Districts Lions wins
5
Sturt Sabres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HSouthern Tigers99-93
06/04/24AWest Adelaide Bearcats82-83
28/03/24HNorwood Flames118-113
23/03/24AEastern Mavericks80-82 OT
15/07/23HForestville Eagles95-107
09/07/23HWest Adelaide Bearcats86-87 OT
08/07/23ASturt Sabres82-91
01/07/23HEastern Mavericks86-120
24/06/23ASouth Adelaide Panthers83-86
17/06/23HSouthern Tigers100-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HSouth Adelaide Panthers97-94
06/04/24ANorwood Flames92-77
30/03/24ANorth Adelaide Rockets104-62
23/03/24HForestville Eagles100-84
05/08/23AWest Adelaide Bearcats73-96
30/07/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers98-71
22/07/23AForestville Eagles89-90
15/07/23AEastern Mavericks123-73
09/07/23AWoodville Warriors85-96
08/07/23HCentral Districts Lions91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Districts Lions
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game94.8108.581.0
Allowed / game92.8103.082.5
Point differential+2.0+5.5-1.5
Avg total187.5211.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.298.598.0
Allowed / game79.289.069.5
Point differential+19.0+9.5+28.5
Avg total177.5187.5167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sturt Sabres440100%98.279.2+19.0
2 Eastern Mavericks54180%84.284.2+0.0
3 Forestville Eagles43175%98.888.0+10.8
4 South Adelaide Panthers43175%94.287.0+7.2
5 Woodville Warriors32167%93.788.0+5.7
6 Central Districts Lions42250%94.892.8+2.0
7 West Adelaide Bearcats41325%87.292.0-4.8
8 Norwood Flames51420%89.695.4-5.8
9 Southern Tigers3030%83.796.0-12.3
10 North Adelaide Rockets4040%76.098.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Central Districts Lions3119251489
Sturt Sabres22212632101
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