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Cerrado vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-83 (OT)
19-19 17-10 14-15 15-21 12-18
Position#17
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#18
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game72.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB (Brasília)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cerrado v Caxias do Sul
09 Nov 2023
CERR77
CAXI83
30 Jan 2023
CERR91
CAXI98
09 Feb 2022
CERR79
CAXI61
25 Nov 2020
CERR67
CAXI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
no box
H21/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
109-84
109
84
+25
no box
H28/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
no box
H06/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
62-69
62
69
-7
40avg 56
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 56
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 56
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 56
H07/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
15-27
22-21
21-28
37-20
20-17
30-21
22-26
20-25
19-20
15-31
14-30
26-28
21-19
23-23
21-28
15-14
11-23
17-19
23-22
12-27
9-28
26-25
17-15
12-18
13-21
15-19
22-11
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
16-24
15-18
22-16
12-25
27-14
29-17
13-21
25-15
159.6Avg total
74.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.871.5141.2-1.825%
Season at home (3)71.367.7139.0+3.733%
Season away (1)65.083.0148.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.784.9159.6-10.220%
Last 5 (5)68.676.2144.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)79.394.4173.7-15.19%
vs Similar (7)81.082.7163.7-1.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)94.067.0161.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#8
L
55-58
55
58
-3
no box
H30/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
A03/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
no box
A05/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
69-89
69
89
-20
no box
A08/04
NBB
Cearense
#14
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
H12/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
59-73
59
73
-14
no box
H18/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
60-78
60
78
-18
no box
A22/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
66-82
66
82
-16
52avg 50
H24/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
48avg 50
H30/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
63-68
63
68
-5
49avg 50
H01/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-22
15-16
12-9
21-11
18-13
19-26
15-20
24-16
18-20
20-12
16-19
19-22
22-24
20-29
13-17
14-19
16-23
16-21
13-14
21-19
11-22
17-13
16-23
15-15
18-20
11-22
12-12
19-24
20-23
15-23
19-20
12-16
13-21
16-18
20-11
25-17
9-15
19-21
19-27
16-5
142.6Avg total
67.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.772.3140.0-4.733%
Season at home (3)67.772.3140.0-4.733%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.075.6142.6-8.620%
Last 5 (5)64.473.6138.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.776.8145.5-8.119%
vs Similar (8)69.673.8143.4-4.138%
vs Weaker (6)80.776.3157.0+4.367%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
CerradoCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
H21/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H28/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/04
NBB
Pato
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H07/11
NBB
77.8Avg total
35.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.984.8-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.743.185.8-0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)36.347.383.6-11.015%-
Last 10 (10)35.842.077.8-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.440.272.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)39.246.085.2-6.736%-
vs Similar (7)39.943.683.4-3.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)56.031.087.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#8
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H30/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A03/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A08/04
NBB
Cearense
#14
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H18/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H24/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H30/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H01/11
NBB
72.4Avg total
32.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.639.975.5-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.437.472.8-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)35.942.778.6-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)32.040.472.4-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)29.839.669.4-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.839.073.8-4.225%-
vs Similar (8)34.839.974.6-5.138%-
vs Weaker (6)39.042.381.3-3.333%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.0
46.8%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.55.5
21.6%
33.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws20.512.8
62.2%
72.6%12.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.016.0
41.0%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.3
27.6%
33.9%16.0
🏀 Free throws29.320.0
68.2%
72.6%20.0
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
WLLLLLLLWL
Caxias do Sul
LWLLLLLLWL
#17
League position
#18
-1.7
Net rating
-3.2
93.2
Offensive rating
93.1
94.9
Defensive rating
96.3
41.4%
Effective FG%
41.1%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.50
21.6%
3-point %
27.6%
52.9%
Assist %
65.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 93.1Defence94.9 · 96.3Shooting41.4% · 41.1%3-point %21.6% · 27.6%Ball care18.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds35.7% · 22.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.50Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Cerrado   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cerrado wins
4
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
30/01/23Cerrado v Caxias do Sul91-98
05/11/22Caxias do Sul v Cerrado82-67
09/02/22Cerrado v Caxias do Sul79-61
10/11/21Caxias do Sul v Cerrado72-64
28/02/21Caxias do Sul v Cerrado91-88 OT
25/11/20Cerrado v Caxias do Sul67-63
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HUniao Corinthians94-67
31/10/23APato65-83
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67
21/10/23HPinheiros62-69
15/04/23ASao Paulo64-95
13/04/23ACorinthians Paulista66-78
10/04/23APato91-98
06/04/23HFranca68-106
28/03/23HRio Claro109-84
21/03/23HFlamengo70-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HVasco63-68
30/10/23HBotafogo74-67
24/10/23HUniao Corinthians66-82
22/04/23APinheiros60-78
18/04/23HPinheiros59-73
12/04/23HCearense66-77
08/04/23ABauru69-89
05/04/23APinheiros82-89 OT
03/04/23ACorinthians Paulista76-75
30/03/23HUnifacisa55-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game69.871.365.0
Allowed / game71.567.783.0
Point differential-1.8+3.7-18.0
Avg total141.2139.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLWL33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game67.767.7-
Allowed / game72.372.3-
Point differential-4.7-4.7-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca330100%94.076.7+17.3
2 Minas440100%83.068.2+14.8
3 Vasco54180%70.464.8+5.6
4 Cearense54180%77.273.6+3.6
5 Flamengo32167%82.075.7+6.3
6 Corinthians Paulista32167%79.774.3+5.3
7 Brasilia32167%82.079.3+2.7
8 Unifacisa53260%76.069.8+6.2
9 Paulistano53260%67.868.8-1.0
10 Bauru42250%74.276.5-2.2
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%74.078.0-4.0
12 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
13 Pato73443%75.677.3-1.7
14 Caxias do Sul31233%67.772.3-4.7
15 Sao Jose41325%76.874.0+2.8
16 Cerrado41325%69.871.5-1.8
17 Sao Paulo51420%74.886.0-11.2
18 Mogi3030%67.078.0-11.0
19 Botafogo6060%70.583.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cerrado191714151277
Caxias do Sul191015211883
← all games of the day
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