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Pato vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 83-65
24-16 18-15 16-22 25-12
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game75.3
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Cerrado
Brazil
Position#17
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game68.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Cerrado
31 Oct 2023
PATO83
CERR65
10 Apr 2023
PATO98
CERR91
19 Feb 2022
PATO78
CERR94
22 Dec 2020
PATO79
CERR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
A31/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
57-90
57
90
-33
no box
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 65
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 65
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 65
A27/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
20-19
18-9
14-22
20-18
19-30
26-15
25-19
20-16
29-19
22-12
20-17
28-26
19-21
23-23
28-21
14-11
24-13
18-25
26-21
18-19
13-17
19-28
7-26
14-16
22-34
21-17
21-25
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
23-15
17-17
25-22
14-17
23-22
19-18
11-13
9-18
155.7Avg total
77.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.775.3146.0-4.733%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)70.775.3146.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)77.478.3155.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)69.481.6151.0-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.184.5159.6-9.421%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.476.6158.0+4.957%
vs Weaker (4)95.092.8187.8+2.275%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
64-96
64
96
-32
no box
H06/03
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
no box
H21/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
109-84
109
84
+25
no box
H28/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
no box
H06/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
62-69
62
69
-7
40avg 42
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 42
H23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
25-25
11-27
15-16
18-23
21-14
21-23
17-31
12-26
15-27
22-21
21-28
37-20
20-17
30-21
22-26
20-25
19-20
15-31
14-30
26-28
21-19
23-23
21-28
15-14
11-23
17-19
23-22
12-27
9-28
26-25
17-15
12-18
13-21
15-19
22-11
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
161.5Avg total
72.9Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.068.0128.0-8.00%
Season at home (2)60.068.0128.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.988.6161.5-15.710%
Last 5 (5)68.281.4149.6-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)78.993.8172.7-14.98%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.782.7166.3+1.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
PatoCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A31/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/10
NBB
78.2Avg total
39.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.481.3-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.138.180.2+4.050%-
Last 30 away (18)38.443.682.1-5.222%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.778.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.276.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.240.179.3-0.837%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.041.480.4-2.429%-
vs Weaker (4)44.847.892.5-3.025%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H06/03
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
H21/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H28/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/04
NBB
Pato
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
78.5Avg total
34.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.985.5-6.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.943.885.7-1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)37.048.285.2-11.214%-
Last 10 (10)34.843.778.5-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)29.642.472.0-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)39.246.485.5-7.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.343.885.2-2.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.714.7
53.0%
51.8%29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.310.7
32.0%
33.9%32.0
🏀 Free throws12.77.3
57.9%
72.6%7.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.018.0
40.0%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.04.5
15.5%
33.9%13.5
🏀 Free throws17.010.5
61.8%
72.6%10.5
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LWLLLWWWWL
Cerrado
LLLLLLWLLL
#12
League position
#17
-9.4
Net rating
-7.9
96.8
Offensive rating
78.7
106.2
Defensive rating
86.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
33.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
21.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.0%
3-point %
15.5%
71.1%
Assist %
48.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 78.7Defence106.2 · 86.6Shooting50.3% · 33.4%3-point %32.0% · 15.5%Ball care21.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Pato   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pato wins
2
Cerrado wins
DateGameScore
10/04/23Pato v Cerrado98-91
05/01/23Cerrado v Pato109-110
19/02/22Pato v Cerrado78-94
19/11/21Cerrado v Pato85-86 OT
31/01/21Cerrado v Pato77-76
22/12/20Pato v Cerrado79-68
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23AVasco62-71
24/10/23ABotafogo79-71
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84
23/04/23APaulistano78-92
21/04/23APaulistano57-90
18/04/23HPaulistano82-70
10/04/23HCerrado98-91
07/04/23HBrasilia91-64
31/03/23AMinas90-82
22/03/23HUniao Corinthians66-68
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67
21/10/23HPinheiros62-69
15/04/23ASao Paulo64-95
13/04/23ACorinthians Paulista66-78
10/04/23APato91-98
06/04/23HFranca68-106
28/03/23HRio Claro109-84
21/03/23HFlamengo70-102
13/03/23APaulistano77-91
06/03/23HSao Jose64-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
Home--
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game70.7-70.7
Allowed / game75.3-75.3
Point differential-4.7--4.7
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game60.060.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total128.0128.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
3 Bauru220100%81.068.5+12.5
4 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
5 Unifacisa220100%75.065.0+10.0
6 Cearense220100%73.570.5+3.0
7 Uniao Corinthians32167%76.372.7+3.7
8 Vasco32167%68.366.3+2.0
9 Brasilia21150%83.080.0+3.0
10 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
11 Caxias do Sul21150%70.074.5-4.5
12 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
13 Pato31233%70.775.3-4.7
14 Sao Jose2020%70.075.0-5.0
15 Cerrado2020%60.068.0-8.0
16 Mogi2020%65.573.5-8.0
17 Botafogo4040%73.082.8-9.8
18 Sao Paulo2020%79.093.5-14.5
19 Paulistano2020%60.582.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2418162583
Cerrado1615221265
← all games of the day
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