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Cerrado vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 67-75
16-21 10-20 21-16 20-18
Position#14
Record7-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#4
Record20-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.2
BrazilNBB
Other2020-21
Meetings · Cerrado v Paulistano
18 Dec 2023
CERR64
PAUL68
13 Dec 2022
CERR80
PAUL93
02 Apr 2022
CERR76
PAUL80
11 Apr 2021
CERR67
PAUL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#10
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
A07/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A09/02
NBB
Brasilia
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A11/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H24/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A26/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
A28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H01/04
NBB
Franca
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
57-88
57
88
-31
A07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H09/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
18-13
14-26
16-19
14-23
22-19
25-11
20-14
26-15
18-11
20-28
22-19
24-20
17-18
18-16
19-30
16-11
21-20
13-21
11-31
21-21
27-23
16-16
13-17
20-25
18-17
19-19
23-25
12-22
24-25
25-15
20-31
15-18
13-21
21-36
8-13
13-18
11-19
20-20
19-14
157.4Avg total
75.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.080.1155.1-5.125%
Season at home (14)75.378.2153.5-2.929%
Season away (14)74.781.9156.6-7.221%
Last 10 (10)75.282.2157.4-7.020%
Last 5 (5)73.885.8159.6-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.583.5157.0-10.06%
vs Similar (6)75.579.0154.5-3.533%
vs Weaker (6)78.572.0150.5+6.567%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H13/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H25/02
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A27/02
NBB
Minas
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H12/03
NBB
Pato
#11
W
87-49
87
49
+38
A02/04
NBB
Brasilia
#16
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H05/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A07/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
29-31
26-16
14-20
13-14
10-17
21-18
19-22
23-23
12-15
17-23
18-23
21-18
20-14
19-22
26-24
24-16
18-15
20-23
14-20
10-6
18-23
20-9
21-24
20-8
20-19
21-23
20-15
22-11
13-15
26-14
26-9
18-23
11-18
16-12
25-13
19-6
19-16
17-22
14-3
143.9Avg total
75.3Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.872.2148.0+3.571%
Season at home (15)75.170.5145.7+4.687%
Season away (13)76.574.2150.7+2.254%
Last 10 (10)75.368.6143.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)75.257.8133.0+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.780.2148.8-11.517%
vs Similar (10)80.182.0162.1-1.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.863.3140.1+13.5100%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
CerradoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A07/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/02
NBB
Brasilia
#16
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A11/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/04
NBB
Franca
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H09/04
NBB
74.9Avg total
37.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.637.974.5-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.938.674.5-2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)37.337.274.5+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.474.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.876.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.540.076.5-3.531%-
vs Similar (6)39.237.877.0+1.383%-
vs Weaker (6)34.332.366.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#7
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H13/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H25/02
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/02
NBB
Minas
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H01/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/03
NBB
Pato
#11
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/04
NBB
Brasilia
#16
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H05/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A07/04
NBB
68.4Avg total
35.3Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.968.7+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.332.166.5+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)35.135.770.9-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.168.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.063.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.336.568.8-4.217%-
vs Similar (10)37.735.973.6+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)34.230.764.8+3.562%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cerrado wins
1
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
20/11/20Paulistano v Cerrado72-61
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/21HPinheiros63-71
07/04/21AFlamengo57-88
04/04/21AFranca81-93
01/04/21HSao Paulo80-86
28/02/21ACaxias do Sul88-91 OT
26/02/21ACorinthians Paulista61-83
24/02/21HMogi78-84
11/02/21ABrasilia86-73
09/02/21AUnifacisa81-67
07/02/21ACearense77-86 OT
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/21APinheiros69-47
05/04/21HBrasilia70-66
02/04/21APato87-49
12/03/21HUnifacisa81-65
09/03/21AMogi69-62
01/03/21HMinas76-74
27/02/21ACampo Mourao86-78
25/02/21HFlamengo70-84
13/02/21HSao Paulo63-71
08/02/21AFranca82-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%29%21%
Points / game75.075.374.7
Allowed / game80.178.281.9
Point differential-5.1-2.9-7.2
Avg total155.1153.5156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Paulistano
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLLWWW87%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %71%87%54%
Points / game75.875.176.5
Allowed / game72.270.574.2
Point differential+3.5+4.6+2.2
Avg total148.0145.7150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (8)100% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %14%13%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3028293%89.771.9+17.8
2 Minas3026487%84.774.3+10.4
3 Sao Paulo3023777%90.277.5+12.7
4 Paulistano2820871%75.872.2+3.5
5 Bauru29181162%82.176.7+5.4
6 Corinthians Paulista30171357%77.274.9+2.3
7 Franca30151550%87.083.6+3.4
8 Mogi30151550%80.382.5-2.2
9 Cearense29141548%76.175.2+0.8
10 Unifacisa30141647%82.481.6+0.8
11 Pato30121840%74.883.6-8.8
12 Caxias do Sul3092130%76.180.9-4.8
13 Cerrado2872125%75.080.1-5.1
14 Pinheiros2972224%70.683.2-12.6
15 Campo Mourao2962321%76.087.1-11.1
16 Brasilia3052517%76.690.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cerrado1610212067
Paulistano2120161875
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