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Pato vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 49-87
11-22 15-13 14-26 9-26
Position#11
Record10-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#4
Record17-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game74.4
BrazilNBB
Other2020-21
Meetings · Pato v Paulistano
21 Oct 2026
PATO74
PAUL80
06 Dec 2025
PATO67
PAUL59
17 Nov 2024
PATO66
PAUL65
09 Mar 2024
PATO83
PAUL73
18 Apr 2023
PATO82
PAUL70
17 Jan 2023
PATO75
PAUL87
30 Oct 2021
PATO55
PAUL68
02 Apr 2021
PATO49
PAUL87
17 Mar 2020
PATO v PAUL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A28/01
NBB
Cerrado
#14
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A31/01
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
H12/02
NBB
Minas
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H14/02
NBB
Franca
#7
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A25/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
55-101
55
101
-46
A27/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A01/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A14/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
18-19
25-16
14-10
18-22
18-16
18-18
22-21
24-19
23-16
19-23
20-24
20-22
17-9
9-29
15-25
16-19
17-27
12-22
22-15
12-26
20-27
16-34
20-22
18-31
13-19
12-24
12-27
17-19
22-20
24-24
22-21
26-18
24-13
12-27
27-30
12-23
22-24
21-24
27-20
160.8Avg total
74.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.283.7158.9-8.538%
Season at home (13)77.080.8157.8-3.846%
Season away (13)73.586.5160.0-13.131%
Last 10 (10)74.086.8160.8-12.840%
Last 5 (5)75.894.6170.4-18.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.883.7154.5-13.023%
vs Similar (6)81.579.7161.2+1.867%
vs Weaker (2)101.087.0188.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H30/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
A02/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H06/02
NBB
Franca
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H13/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H25/02
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A27/02
NBB
Minas
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H12/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-19
14-20
19-8
13-9
15-22
19-20
21-17
12-17
17-11
17-15
23-21
13-23
29-31
26-16
14-20
13-14
10-17
21-18
19-22
23-23
12-15
17-23
18-23
21-18
20-14
19-22
26-24
24-16
18-15
20-23
14-20
10-6
18-23
20-9
21-24
20-8
20-19
21-23
20-15
151.7Avg total
76.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.874.4150.2+1.468%
Season at home (14)75.570.9146.4+4.686%
Season away (11)76.279.0155.2-2.845%
Last 10 (10)76.775.0151.7+1.770%
Last 5 (5)76.472.6149.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.780.2148.8-11.517%
vs Similar (13)82.984.2167.2-1.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.266.1143.3+11.1100%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
PatoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A28/01
NBB
Cerrado
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/01
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H12/02
NBB
Minas
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/02
NBB
Franca
#7
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A25/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A27/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A01/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A14/03
NBB
78.3Avg total
37.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.440.575.8-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.636.773.4-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)34.243.878.0-9.512%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.278.3-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.081.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.042.175.1-9.114%-
vs Similar (6)41.037.378.3+3.750%-
vs Weaker (2)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H30/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A02/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H06/02
NBB
Franca
#7
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A08/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H13/02
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H25/02
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/02
NBB
Minas
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H01/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/03
NBB
68.3Avg total
34.6Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.870.4+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.732.668.3+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)35.636.972.5-1.327%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.768.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.468.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.336.568.8-4.217%-
vs Similar (13)39.036.475.4+2.654%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.231.065.2+3.260%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
1
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
12/12/20Paulistano v Pato75-68
27/12/19Paulistano v Pato74-96
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21ACorinthians Paulista82-91
11/03/21HPinheiros89-88
01/03/21ASao Paulo85-84
27/02/21ABauru55-101
25/02/21AFranca68-109
14/02/21HMinas67-83
12/02/21HFlamengo61-85
09/02/21HCampo Mourao86-82
31/01/21ACerrado76-77
28/01/21ACearense71-68
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/21HUnifacisa81-65
09/03/21AMogi69-62
01/03/21HMinas76-74
27/02/21ACampo Mourao86-78
25/02/21HFlamengo70-84
13/02/21HSao Paulo63-71
08/02/21AFranca82-90
06/02/21HBauru69-64
02/02/21ACorinthians Paulista100-98 OT
30/01/21HCaxias do Sul71-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWWLLW46%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%46%31%
Points / game75.277.073.5
Allowed / game83.780.886.5
Point differential-8.5-3.8-13.1
Avg total158.9157.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Paulistano
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWLLWW86%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %68%86%45%
Points / game75.875.576.2
Allowed / game74.470.979.0
Point differential+1.4+4.6-2.8
Avg total150.2146.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%21%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %16%14%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2826293%90.272.9+17.3
2 Minas2824486%84.574.6+9.9
3 Sao Paulo2821775%90.077.6+12.5
4 Paulistano2517868%75.874.4+1.4
5 Bauru2516964%81.475.3+6.1
6 Corinthians Paulista27151256%76.374.4+1.9
7 Franca27141352%88.083.9+4.1
8 Cearense26131350%74.774.3+0.4
9 Unifacisa27131448%82.381.0+1.3
10 Mogi27131448%80.083.0-3.1
11 Pato26101638%75.283.7-8.5
12 Caxias do Sul2781930%76.581.3-4.8
13 Cerrado2571828%76.079.6-3.6
14 Pinheiros2662023%71.884.2-12.3
15 Campo Mourao2552020%75.786.7-11.0
16 Brasilia2742315%76.590.9-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato111514949
Paulistano2213262687
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