PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Charleston Southern faces Wofford on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Charleston Southern as the clear favourite because of its 82% win probability and a projected score of 85-75; the team's 1-2 record, 73.7 points scored and 76.3 allowed per game, and a 278th league position contrast with Wofford's 2-2 record, 80.0 points scored and 78.2 allowed per game, 219th in the league. Charleston Southern has gone 1-0 at home, scoring 86.0 points and allowing 49.0, while Wofford has gone 0-2 on the road, scoring 64.5 and allowing 99.5; both teams have finished their last five games 2-3, with Charleston Southern's recent results including a 86-49 win over Columbia International at home, and Wofford's recent results featuring a 91-47 victory over Voorhees at home and a 100-67 win over Allen at home. The model gives Charleston Southern an 82% chance to win, Wofford 18%, and projects a total of 160.5 points with an overtime probability of 3%. The home team's line is 85-75, and the model estimates an 82% chance that Charleston Southern will cover the spread. The game will likely end with Charleston Southern winning by ten points.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 73.7 | 76.3 | 150.0 | -2.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 86.0 | 49.0 | 135.0 | +37.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 67.5 | 90.0 | 157.5 | -22.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.5 | 80.4 | 161.9 | +1.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 78.0 | 156.8 | +0.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 73.7 | 85.0 | 158.7 | -11.3 | 14% |
| vs Similar (11) | 81.1 | 85.0 | 166.1 | -3.9 | 27% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 85.6 | 73.7 | 159.2 | +11.9 | 78% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 80.0 | 78.2 | 158.2 | +1.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 95.5 | 57.0 | 152.5 | +38.5 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 64.5 | 99.5 | 164.0 | -35.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.2 | 80.1 | 159.3 | -0.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.4 | 77.6 | 156.0 | +0.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 75.8 | 89.6 | 165.4 | -13.9 | 25% |
| vs Similar (14) | 76.4 | 75.5 | 151.9 | +0.9 | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 86.5 | 72.2 | 158.7 | +14.3 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.5 | 36.1 | 73.6 | +1.4 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.7 | 33.1 | 76.9 | +10.6 | 86% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 32.1 | 38.7 | 70.8 | -6.6 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.2 | 36.0 | 71.2 | -0.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.0 | 36.2 | 68.2 | -4.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 34.0 | 39.9 | 73.9 | -5.9 | 29% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 34.6 | 37.2 | 71.8 | -2.5 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 39.7 | 34.6 | 74.2 | +5.1 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.4 | 35.9 | 73.4 | +1.5 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.3 | 33.9 | 72.3 | +4.4 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 36.5 | 37.9 | 74.5 | -1.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.4 | 35.7 | 73.1 | +1.7 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 31.8 | 70.2 | +6.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 36.4 | 43.8 | 80.1 | -7.4 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 35.1 | 36.3 | 71.4 | -1.2 | 43% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 41.0 | 30.3 | 71.3 | +10.7 | 83% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Wake Forest | 64-82 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Columbia International | 86-49 |
| 03/11/26 | A | South Florida | 71-98 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Winthrop | 81-86 |
| 28/02/26 | A | UNC Asheville | 92-75 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Winthrop | 86-84 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Longwood | 96-107 OT |
| 17/02/26 | H | Gardner Webb | 75-66 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Radford | 80-90 |
| 13/02/26 | H | Presbyterian | 84-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Voorhees | 91-47 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Allen | 100-67 |
| 07/11/26 | A | North Carolina | 70-109 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Tennessee | 59-90 |
| 07/03/26 | H | NC Greensboro | 72-75 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Citadel | 90-93 OT |
| 26/02/26 | A | East Tennessee St | 72-69 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Furman | 67-76 |
| 18/02/26 | H | VMI | 82-76 |
| 14/02/26 | A | NC Greensboro | 89-99 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 73.7 | 86.0 | 67.5 |
| Allowed / game | 76.3 | 49.0 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | -2.7 | +37.0 | -22.5 |
| Avg total | 150.0 | 135.0 | 157.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWW | 50% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 95.5 | 64.5 |
| Allowed / game | 78.2 | 57.0 | 99.5 |
| Point differential | +1.8 | +38.5 | -35.0 |
| Avg total | 158.2 | 152.5 | 164.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  High Point | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 76.5 | 59.0 | +17.5 |
| 2 |  Longwood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 94.2 | 67.2 | +27.0 |
| 3 |  UNC Asheville | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.5 | 81.8 | -0.2 |
| 4 | Charleston Southern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 76.3 | -2.7 |
| 5 |  Gardner Webb | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.3 | 83.3 | -22.0 |
| 6 |  USC Upstate | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 75.0 | 68.8 | +6.2 |
| 7 |  Winthrop | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 89.0 | 94.7 | -5.7 |
| 8 |  Radford | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 59.7 | 76.7 | -17.0 |
| 9 |  Presbyterian | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 71.7 | 90.7 | -19.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Furman | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 94.5 | 68.0 | +26.5 |
| 2 |  Citadel | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.3 | 61.3 | +33.0 |
| 3 |  Western Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 74.3 | +22.7 |
| 4 |  VMI | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.8 | 70.4 | +7.4 |
| 5 |  NC Greensboro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 70.8 | +10.2 |
| 6 |  Chattanooga Mocs | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 84.2 | 79.5 | +4.8 |
| 7 | Wofford | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 80.0 | 78.2 | +1.8 |
| 8 |  Mercer | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 80.6 | -2.4 |
| 9 |  Samford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.3 | 78.7 | -1.3 |
| 10 |  East Tennessee St | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.3 | 68.3 | -3.0 |
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