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North Carolina vs Wofford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 89-69
Projected total 158.7
Final 109-70
51-34 58-36
Position#78
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game72.0
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ NORT 95%■ WOFF 5%
Pythia win probability
Wofford
USA
Position#401
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game90.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · North Carolina v Wofford
06 Nov 2026
NORT109
WOFF70
15 Dec 2019
NORT64
WOFF68
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 6 November 2026 the NCAA contest pits North Carolina against Wofford, with the model rating North Carolina as the clear favourite because it is 1-0, averages 80.0 points per game, allows 72.0, and sits at league position 186, while Wofford is 0-1, averages 59.0, allows 90.0 and sits at 356. North Carolina has won its only game, 80-72 at home, and has a home record of 1-0, whereas Wofford's sole outing was a 59-90 loss away, giving it a road record of 0-1; the last five games for North Carolina show two wins and three losses, and for Wofford one win and four losses. Their single meeting in 2019 ended with Wofford 68-64, the only time North Carolina has fallen short. Pythia gives North Carolina a 95% chance of winning versus 5% for Wofford, projects a 89-69 score and a total of 158.7 points, with a home line of -23.5 and a 37% chance of covering it, while the over on the 155.5 line has a 58% probability; overtime is unlikely at 1%. The game will likely see North Carolina dominate early, but Wofford's 68-64 win in 2019 suggests it can challenge the lead.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
95.4%fair 1.05
Best odds1.03
Implied94.4%
Edge+1.0pp
Wofford winLost
4.6%fair 21.76
Best odds20.00
Implied5.6%
Edge-1.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A21/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
H19/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#239
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-32
33-33
26-42
32-40
33-28
44-36
39-38
38-36
44-44
45-38
27-30
40-33
34-39
27-37
31-39
48-41
39-28
36-47
39-30
41-42
148.5Avg total
74.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.574.0148.5+0.560%
Last 5 (5)73.074.6147.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.072.0138.0-6.050%
vs Similar (14)72.674.6147.2-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.470.9156.3+14.493%
This opponent (Wofford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WoffordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A12/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A14/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#54
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-27
37-40
41-36
36-30
34-47
46-50
30-47
59-52
44-32
38-44
36-43
31-33
33-37
39-32
39-39
44-44
32-36
40-39
31-34
28-56
157.7Avg total
76.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.090.0149.0-31.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)59.090.0149.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)76.980.8157.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)72.080.6152.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.586.3165.8-6.833%
vs Similar (15)77.576.2153.7+1.360%
vs Weaker (8)85.871.0156.8+14.888%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151.5Actual: Over 151.5
Over 151.5
67.2%
@ 1.50+4.7pp
Under 151.5
32.8%
@ 2.55-4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 156.5 · main lineActual: Over 156.5
Over 156.5
55.3%
@ 1.94+6.3pp
Under 156.5
44.7%
@ 1.90-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.94
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Over 161.5
Over 161.5
43.0%
@ 2.55+6.0pp
Under 161.5
57.0%
@ 1.47-6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

North Carolina total 85Actual: North Carolina over 85
Over 85
67.4%
Under 85
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
North Carolina total 89 · main lineActual: North Carolina over 89
Over 89
51.1%
@ 1.85+0.7pp
Under 89
48.9%
@ 1.88-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
North Carolina total 93Actual: North Carolina over 93
Over 93
34.7%
Under 93
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wofford total 63Actual: Wofford over 63
Over 63
74.7%
Under 63
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wofford total 67 · main lineActual: Wofford over 67
Over 67
59.8%
@ 1.85+9.5pp
Under 67
40.2%
@ 1.87-9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Wofford total 71Actual: Wofford under 71
Over 71
43.2%
Under 71
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread North Carolina -25.5Actual: North Carolina -25.5
NORT -25.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
WOFF +25.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.18
WOFF
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.55
Spread North Carolina -22.5 · main lineActual: North Carolina -22.5
NORT -22.5
40.4%
@ 1.93-8.6pp
WOFF +22.5
59.6%
@ 1.88+8.6pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.93
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
WOFF
Bet365
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.66
Spread North Carolina -19.5Actual: North Carolina -19.5
NORT -19.5
51.0%
@ 1.73-7.9pp
WOFF +19.5
49.0%
@ 2.30+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
NORT
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.53
WOFF
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.00

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
North CarolinaWofford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H13/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H19/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#239
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)38.235.773.9+2.560%50%
Last 30 at home (18)39.633.773.2+5.978%50%
Last 30 away (12)36.238.875.0-2.533%50%
Last 10 (10)35.835.070.8+0.850%30%
Last 5 (5)34.033.267.2+0.840%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.540.071.5-8.50%0%
vs Similar (14)34.436.670.9-2.236%36%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.134.277.3+8.993%71%
This opponent (Wofford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WoffordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A12/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#54
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/11
NCAA
74.2Avg total
36.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)37.436.173.5+1.343%47%
Last 30 at home (15)37.135.172.2+1.940%53%
Last 30 away (15)37.737.174.7+0.647%40%
Last 10 (10)36.437.874.2-1.430%60%
Last 5 (5)34.237.872.0-3.60%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.744.281.8-6.50%67%
vs Similar (15)36.136.472.5-0.347%47%
vs Weaker (8)40.229.870.0+10.575%38%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: North Carolina win
NORT win
no forecast
@ 1.09
WOFF win
no forecast
@ 8.50
1st half Spread North Carolina -13.5 · main lineActual: North Carolina -13.5
NORT -13.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
WOFF +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 73.5 · main lineActual: Over 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
North Carolina 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: North Carolina over 43
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Wofford 1st half total 31 · main lineActual: Wofford over 31
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Over/Under 75Actual: Over 75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread North Carolina -14.5Actual: North Carolina -14.5
NORT -14.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
WOFF +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread North Carolina -12.5Actual: North Carolina -12.5
NORT -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
WOFF +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.32
Under
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread North Carolina -15.5Actual: North Carolina -15.5
NORT -15.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
WOFF +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread North Carolina -11.5Actual: North Carolina -11.5
NORT -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
WOFF +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Spread North Carolina -16.5Actual: North Carolina -16.5
NORT -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
WOFF +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread North Carolina -10.5Actual: North Carolina -10.5
NORT -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
WOFF +10.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: North Carolina (regulation)
NORT
no forecast
@ 1.09
Draw
no forecast
@ 26.00
WOFF
no forecast
@ 8.25

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NORT win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
WOFF win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NORT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: WOFF leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Wofford over 63.572.2%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+10.5ppWon
Wofford over 62.575.5%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+10.0ppWon
Wofford over 61.578.5%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+9.5ppWon
North Carolina (regulation)94.6%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+6.8ppWon
Wofford over 59.583.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.1ppWon
Wofford over 51.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.8ppWon
Wofford over 53.594.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.7ppWon
Wofford over 57.588.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.5ppWon
North Carolina over 79.583.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+4.4ppWon
North Carolina over 75.591.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.3ppWon
Wofford over 55.591.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.3ppWon
North Carolina over 77.588.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.9ppWon
Over 15070.9%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+3.9ppWon
Wofford over 52.595.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.9ppWon
Over 149.571.5%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.35		---+3.7ppWon
Wofford over 60.581.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.6ppWon
Wofford over 54.593.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.5ppWon
North Carolina under 99.585.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+3.5ppLost
Wofford over 50.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.3ppWon
Over 131.595.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.2ppWon
Wofford over 58.586.2%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+3.2ppWon
North Carolina under 94.570.2%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+3.1ppLost
Over 14973.0%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+3.1ppWon
North Carolina over 76.590.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.7ppWon
Wofford over 56.590.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.6ppWon
Over 148.573.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+2.6ppWon
North Carolina over 80.581.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.5ppWon
North Carolina over 78.586.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+2.4ppWon
Over 136.591.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.2ppWon
Over 146.577.5%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+2.2ppWon
Over 141.585.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+1.3ppWon
North Carolina win95.4%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01		--+1.0ppWon
Under 181.592.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----0.2ppWon
Under 176.586.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----2.9ppLost
North Carolina -7.586.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----3.5ppWon
Under 171.578.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----5.7ppLost
North Carolina -12.574.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----7.3ppWon
Wofford under 76.576.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----8.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
1
Wofford wins
DateGameScore
15/12/19North Carolina v Wofford64-68
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HWestern Carolina80-72
19/03/26HVCU Rams78-82 OT
13/03/26HClemson79-80
07/03/26ADuke61-76
04/03/26HClemson67-63
01/03/26HVirginia Tech89-82
24/02/26HLouisville77-74
21/02/26ASyracuse77-64
18/02/26ANC State58-82
14/02/26HPittsburgh79-65
Woffordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ATennessee59-90
07/03/26HNC Greensboro72-75
28/02/26HCitadel90-93 OT
26/02/26AEast Tennessee St72-69
22/02/26HFurman67-76
18/02/26HVMI82-76
14/02/26ANC Greensboro89-99
12/02/26ASamford80-97
07/02/26HWestern Carolina77-66
04/02/26AVMI81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over 156.50%0%-
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Wofford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game59.0-59.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-31.0--31.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over 156.50%-0%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.551.0+47.5
2 Syracuse220100%88.053.5+34.5
3 Virginia Tech220100%92.060.5+31.5
4 Pittsburgh220100%87.559.0+28.5
5 Virginia220100%93.066.0+27.0
6 California220100%99.578.0+21.5
7 Boston College220100%73.552.5+21.0
8 Georgia Tech110100%75.055.0+20.0
9 NC State110100%83.064.0+19.0
10 SMU Mustangs220100%90.071.0+19.0
11 Notre Dame220100%78.564.0+14.5
12 Louisville110100%84.070.0+14.0
13 Clemson110100%85.072.0+13.0
14 Stanford110100%74.065.0+9.0
15 North Carolina110100%80.072.0+8.0
16 Wake Forest21150%67.068.0-1.0
17 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
18 Florida State1010%69.0112.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Greensboro110100%96.043.0+53.0
2 Furman220100%100.061.0+39.0
3 Samford110100%87.058.0+29.0
4 Mercer21150%78.574.5+4.0
5 VMI21150%92.589.0+3.5
6 Western Carolina1010%72.080.0-8.0
7 Chattanooga Mocs2020%81.590.5-9.0
8 East Tennessee St1010%65.075.0-10.0
9 Citadel1010%52.077.0-25.0
10 Wofford1010%59.090.0-31.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina5158109
Wofford343670
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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