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Wake Forest vs Charleston Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 85-70
Projected total 155.0
Final 82-64
38-22 44-42
Position#180
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game68.0
Wake Forest 🏆
USA
Vs
90%
■ WAKE 90%■ CHAR 10%
Pythia win probability
Charleston Southern
USA
Position#276
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Wake Forest v Charleston Southern
10 Nov 2026
WAKE82
CHAR64
24 Nov 2023
WAKE71
CHAR56
17 Nov 2021
WAKE95
CHAR59
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Wake Forest hosts Charleston Southern on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Demon Deacons the clear favourite, rating them 90% to win largely because of their 1-1 season record, 67.0 points per game and 68.0 points allowed per game, combined with a perfect 1-0 home record and 83.0 points scored at home. Charleston Southern also sits at 1-1, 78.5 points per game and 73.5 allowed, but their lone road loss and 71.0 points scored on the road weigh against them. Wake Forest's last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 83-62 home victory over Md.-East. Shore, while Charleston Southern's recent five include a 86-49 home win over Columbia International but two away defeats to South Florida and Winthrop. In the two meetings between the clubs, Wake Forest has won both, most recently 71-56 on 24 November 2023. Pythia projects a 85-70 score, 155 total points, with a 36% chance that Wake Forest covers the -19.0 line and a 49% chance of the over on the 155.5 total, while the overtime probability is 2%. The game ends with Wake Forest's 83-point home performance setting the tone.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
90.5%fair 1.10
Best odds1.03
Implied92.2%
Edge-1.7pp
Charleston Southern winLost
9.5%fair 10.53
Best odds13.00
Implied7.8%
Edge+1.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A04/03
NCAA
California
#79
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
95-89 OT
95
89
+6
A10/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#330
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#26
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-32
40-45
33-43
30-39
29-22
38-46
42-46
46-37
24-32
46-43
29-37
51-36
38-34
37-41
23-41
39-30
40-33
43-29
27-39
24-35
149.8Avg total
74.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.068.0135.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)51.074.0125.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)74.475.4149.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)74.273.8148.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.683.2154.8-11.68%
vs Similar (14)79.573.4152.9+6.179%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.867.5147.2+12.275%
This opponent (Charleston Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charleston SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#274
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H13/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H17/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
96-107 OT
96
107
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H27/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
92-75
92
75
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A06/03
NCAA
South Florida
#255
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A03/11
NCAA
Columbia International
#430
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
51-52
40-37
44-30
30-50
50-40
40-28
35-38
40-28
42-54
42-36
44-48
33-39
59-36
40-37
41-49
33-43
38-55
32-24
54-25
166.7Avg total
84.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.573.5152.0+5.050%
Season at home (1)86.049.0135.0+37.0100%
Season away (1)71.098.0169.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)84.582.2166.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)83.278.4161.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.385.5160.8-10.217%
vs Similar (12)80.884.8165.6-4.125%
vs Weaker (9)85.673.7159.2+11.978%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
60.7%
Under 150.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 155.5 · main lineActual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
48.5%
@ 1.92-0.4pp
Under 155.5
51.5%
@ 1.83+0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.77
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
36.5%
Under 160.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Wake Forest total 82Push
Over 82
62.7%
Under 82
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wake Forest total 86 · main lineActual: Wake Forest under 86
Over 86
46.1%
@ 1.85-3.9pp
Under 86
53.9%
@ 1.85+3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Wake Forest total 90Actual: Wake Forest under 90
Over 90
30.2%
Under 90
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleston Southern total 65.5Actual: Charleston Southern under 65.5
Over 65.5
66.8%
Under 65.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleston Southern total 69.5 · main lineActual: Charleston Southern under 69.5
Over 69.5
51.4%
@ 1.94+2.6pp
Under 69.5
48.6%
@ 1.84-2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.77
Charleston Southern total 73.5Actual: Charleston Southern under 73.5
Over 73.5
35.8%
Under 73.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Wake Forest -22Actual: Charleston Southern +22
WAKE -22
26.2%
CHAR +22
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
WAKE
No market prices yet.
CHAR
No market prices yet.
Spread Wake Forest -19 · main lineActual: Charleston Southern +19
WAKE -19
35.7%
@ 1.87-13.9pp
CHAR +19
64.3%
@ 1.84+13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
WAKE
Marathon Be
1.87
CHAR
Marathon Be
1.84
Spread Wake Forest -16Actual: Wake Forest -16
WAKE -16
46.4%
@ 1.80-5.0pp
CHAR +16
53.6%
@ 1.91+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
WAKE
Marathon Be
1.80
CHAR
Marathon Be
1.91

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +3.1+3.1
Wake ForestCharleston Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H19/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H07/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A12/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#330
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#26
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A05/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
33.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74
Last 30 (30)35.237.672.8-2.433%37%
Last 30 at home (16)38.439.177.6-0.738%56%
Last 30 away (14)31.435.967.3-4.429%14%
Last 10 (10)33.035.968.9-2.940%30%
Last 5 (5)31.436.868.2-5.440%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.041.874.8-8.88%58%
vs Similar (14)36.335.471.6+0.936%21%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.833.070.8+4.8100%25%
This opponent (Charleston Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charleston SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#274
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A14/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/03
NCAA
South Florida
#255
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Columbia International
#430
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H06/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
37.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74
Last 30 (30)38.235.873.9+2.460%47%
Last 30 at home (15)43.532.876.3+10.787%60%
Last 30 away (15)32.838.771.5-5.933%33%
Last 10 (10)37.036.173.1+0.970%60%
Last 5 (5)36.035.871.8+0.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.040.276.2-4.233%67%
vs Similar (12)35.236.471.6-1.258%33%
vs Weaker (9)39.734.674.2+5.167%44%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Wake Forest -9.5 · main lineActual: Wake Forest -9.5
WAKE -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
CHAR +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 74 · main lineActual: Under 74
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Wake Forest 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Wake Forest under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Wake Forest (regulation)
WAKE
no forecast
@ 1.10
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
CHAR
no forecast
@ 6.85

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 1 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Wake Forest (regulation)89.1%1.05
1xBet
1.08
Marathon Bet
1.02		---+2.1ppWon
Wake Forest win90.5%1.02
1xBet
1.03
WilliamHill
1.02
Marathon Bet
1.01		---1.7ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wake Forest wins
0
Charleston Southern wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23Wake Forest v Charleston Southern71-56
18/11/21Wake Forest v Charleston Southern95-59
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AVanderbilt51-74
03/11/26HMd.-East. Shore83-62
12/03/26AClemson62-71
10/03/26AVirginia Tech95-89 OT
07/03/26HCalifornia80-73
04/03/26AVirginia70-75
28/02/26HSyracuse88-83
25/02/26ABoston College67-68
21/02/26AVirginia Tech63-82
19/02/26HClemson85-77
Charleston Southernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HColumbia International86-49
03/11/26ASouth Florida71-98
06/03/26AWinthrop81-86
28/02/26AUNC Asheville92-75
27/02/26HWinthrop86-84
21/02/26HLongwood96-107 OT
17/02/26HGardner Webb75-66
14/02/26ARadford80-90
13/02/26HPresbyterian84-67
07/02/26AUSC Upstate94-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game67.083.051.0
Allowed / game68.062.074.0
Point differential-1.0+21.0-23.0
Avg total135.0145.0125.0
Over 155.50%0%0%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Charleston Southern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.586.071.0
Allowed / game73.549.098.0
Point differential+5.0+37.0-27.0
Avg total152.0135.0169.0
Over 155.550%0%100%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.551.0+47.5
2 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
3 Virginia Tech220100%92.060.5+31.5
4 Virginia330100%92.368.0+24.3
5 North Carolina220100%94.571.0+23.5
6 Boston College220100%73.552.5+21.0
7 Pittsburgh330100%85.764.7+21.0
8 California330100%95.074.7+20.3
9 SMU Mustangs220100%90.071.0+19.0
10 Notre Dame330100%83.766.0+17.7
11 NC State220100%80.063.5+16.5
12 Georgia Tech220100%85.069.0+16.0
13 Stanford330100%82.067.0+15.0
14 Clemson330100%86.374.0+12.3
15 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
16 Miami (FL)32167%79.761.7+18.0
17 Wake Forest21150%67.068.0-1.0
18 Florida State31233%77.387.0-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point330100%72.759.0+13.7
2 Longwood32167%92.074.7+17.3
3 Charleston Southern21150%78.573.5+5.0
4 UNC Asheville31233%84.385.7-1.3
5 Winthrop2020%94.098.0-4.0
6 USC Upstate3030%65.375.3-10.0
7 Presbyterian2020%77.589.0-11.5
8 Radford3030%59.776.7-17.0
9 Gardner Webb2020%48.092.0-44.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest384482
Charleston Southern224264
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