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Chattanooga Mocs vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 85-88
49-49 36-39
Position#273
Record13-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.8
Chattanooga Mocs
USA
vs
Citadel 🏆
USA
Position#302
Record11-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chattanooga Mocs v Citadel
06 Mar 2026
CHAT85
CITA88
07 Feb 2026
CHAT71
CITA78
22 Feb 2025
CHAT76
CITA75
27 Jan 2024
CHAT90
CITA62
08 Feb 2023
CHAT82
CITA63
05 Mar 2022
CHAT71
CITA66
08 Jan 2022
CHAT85
CITA67
13 Feb 2021
CHAT70
CITA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chattanooga Mocs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
55-81
55
81
-26
H29/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H07/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A21/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H27/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-42
33-39
23-42
47-33
34-37
45-38
32-37
39-41
27-32
34-41
29-39
47-42
44-39
50-51
50-29
43-43
37-38
43-47
42-33
44-46
155.4Avg total
76.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.474.8151.3+1.642%
Season at home (15)78.569.9148.3+8.647%
Season away (16)74.579.5154.0-5.038%
Last 10 (10)76.578.9155.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)85.881.4167.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.976.9147.8-6.025%
vs Similar (14)73.480.7154.1-7.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.267.0152.2+18.275%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H30/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A06/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
49-87
49
87
-38
A11/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
54-70
54
70
-16
H14/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
72-93
72
93
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A25/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
46-31
32-30
28-30
32-39
32-39
37-32
41-39
25-52
24-35
25-18
29-52
34-31
41-47
29-50
43-43
31-33
20-39
39-39
44-44
144.8Avg total
68.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.576.2146.7-5.735%
Season at home (15)75.074.2149.2+0.847%
Season away (16)66.378.1144.4-11.825%
Last 10 (10)68.776.1144.8-7.440%
Last 5 (5)69.080.6149.6-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.381.0149.3-12.726%
vs Similar (10)68.568.9137.4-0.440%
vs Weaker (1)98.073.0171.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -5.1-5.1
Chattanooga MocsCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
22-42
22
42
-20
H29/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A01/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H06/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A21/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H28/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.435.570.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.534.672.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)33.636.269.8-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)34.036.870.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.676.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.838.570.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (14)34.937.171.9-2.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.029.869.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H30/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A11/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
31.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.236.569.7-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.835.369.1-1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)32.737.670.2-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)31.834.966.7-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.634.265.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.138.971.0-6.932%-
vs Similar (10)33.331.564.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chattanooga Mocs wins
3
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Citadel v Chattanooga Mocs72-93
07/02/26Chattanooga Mocs v Citadel71-78
22/02/25Chattanooga Mocs v Citadel76-75
04/01/25Citadel v Chattanooga Mocs68-81
24/02/24Citadel v Chattanooga Mocs71-62
27/01/24Chattanooga Mocs v Citadel90-62
09/02/23Chattanooga Mocs v Citadel82-63
30/12/22Citadel v Chattanooga Mocs76-68
05/03/22Chattanooga Mocs v Citadel71-66
29/01/22Citadel v Chattanooga Mocs62-75
Chattanooga Mocslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HVMI86-79
27/02/26HNC Greensboro80-85
21/02/26ACitadel93-72
20/02/26AMercer94-90
14/02/26HWestern Carolina76-81
12/02/26AEast Tennessee St61-73
07/02/26HCitadel71-78
06/02/26HMercer79-75
01/02/26AFurman70-75
29/01/26HWofford55-81
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AWofford93-90 OT
25/02/26AFurman51-72
21/02/26HChattanooga Mocs72-93
20/02/26HSamford75-78
14/02/26HMercer54-70
11/02/26AWestern Carolina49-87
07/02/26AChattanooga Mocs78-71
06/02/26ASamford64-78
31/01/26HNC Greensboro71-66 OT
30/01/26HVMI80-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW42%
HomeWLLLW47%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%47%38%
Points / game76.478.574.5
Allowed / game74.869.979.5
Point differential+1.6+8.6-5.0
Avg total151.3148.3154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%47%25%
Points / game70.575.066.3
Allowed / game76.274.278.1
Point differential-5.7+0.8-11.8
Avg total146.7149.2144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %16%20%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St31211068%78.268.9+9.3
2 Mercer31191261%83.075.5+7.5
3 Furman31191261%76.070.3+5.7
4 Wofford31191261%79.077.2+1.8
5 Samford31181358%78.874.9+3.9
6 Western Carolina29141548%78.977.8+1.1
7 Chattanooga Mocs31131842%76.474.8+1.6
8 NC Greensboro31131842%78.781.1-2.4
9 Citadel31112035%70.576.2-5.7
10 VMI3162519%72.079.9-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chattanooga Mocs493685
Citadel493988
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