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Citadel vs Chattanooga Mocs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-81
30-42 38-39
Position#361
Record5-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#46
Record8-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Citadel v Chattanooga Mocs
02 Jan 2027
CITA v CHAT
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
CITA72
CHAT93
04 Jan 2025
CITA68
CHAT81
24 Feb 2024
CITA71
CHAT62
29 Dec 2022
CITA76
CHAT68
29 Jan 2022
CITA62
CHAT75
09 Jan 2021
CITA92
CHAT87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chattanooga Mocs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#341
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H11/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#432
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H15/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H17/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H20/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
100-85
100
85
+15
H27/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H04/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
58-86
58
86
-28
H13/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
53-105
53
105
-52
A19/12
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
56-86
56
86
-30
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-22
40-30
37-23
42-31
39-36
34-46
27-41
34-35
57-48
43-37
50-26
44-31
33-39
25-47
42-47
29-26
21-49
32-56
27-41
29-45
147.5Avg total
71.9Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.173.4145.5-1.342%
Season at home (8)78.168.5146.6+9.662%
Season away (4)60.083.2143.2-23.20%
Last 10 (10)71.975.6147.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)66.481.4147.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.981.6146.5-16.78%
vs Similar (11)68.973.2142.1-4.318%
vs Weaker (5)83.863.8147.6+20.080%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A17/11
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#435
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H27/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H04/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H15/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#601
W
99-52
99
52
+47
H19/12
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
42-37
32-30
40-22
31-37
54-41
39-37
45-39
33-38
29-42
41-29
34-38
40-26
45-37
48-27
51-25
38-41
27-33
37-42
48-43
153.1Avg total
80.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.472.5148.9+3.957%
Season at home (7)80.466.1146.6+14.386%
Season away (7)72.478.9151.3-6.429%
Last 10 (10)80.872.3153.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)83.671.0154.6+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.081.3145.3-17.30%
vs Similar (8)77.277.0154.2+0.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)76.769.8146.4+6.967%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +5.8+5.8
CitadelChattanooga Mocs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#341
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H11/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#432
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H15/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H20/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H04/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A19/12
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A02/01
NCAA
73.9Avg total
36.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.236.369.5-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.134.269.3+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)31.138.669.7-7.67%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.273.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.475.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.138.868.8-8.78%-
vs Similar (11)31.535.667.2-4.127%-
vs Weaker (5)44.433.878.2+10.680%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#94
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/11
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#435
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H04/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A13/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H15/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#601
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/12
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/01
NCAA
73.6Avg total
38.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.271.9+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.834.471.2+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)36.636.172.7+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)38.435.273.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.073.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.340.068.3-11.70%-
vs Similar (8)36.040.176.1-4.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.732.770.4+5.072%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Citadel wins
6
Chattanooga Mocs wins
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25ASamford56-86
19/12/24AVanderbilt53-105
17/12/24ACentral Arkansas71-73
13/12/24HCampbell58-86
04/12/24HToccoa Falls94-57
27/11/24HSt. Andrews100-85
20/11/24HCharleston61-76
17/11/24HN. Carolina A&T73-82
15/11/24HNorth Greenville79-54
11/11/24HStetson74-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25AMercer94-99 OT
21/12/24AIndiana65-74
19/12/24HWesleyan Univ.99-52
15/12/24HAlabama A&M Bulldogs85-63
13/12/24AEvansville75-67
04/12/24HLipscomb62-80
27/11/24HBryant University84-76
26/11/24HTennessee State85-78
22/11/24HJohnson Royals72-52
17/11/24ASoutheast Missouri State87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %42%62%0%
Points / game72.178.160.0
Allowed / game73.468.583.2
Point differential-1.3+9.6-23.2
Avg total145.5146.6143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%86%29%
Points / game76.480.472.4
Allowed / game72.566.178.9
Point differential+3.9+14.3-6.4
Avg total148.9146.6151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1413193%79.763.6+16.1
2 Samford1411379%88.876.3+12.5
3 NC Greensboro148657%73.963.4+10.6
4 East Tennessee St148657%75.667.5+8.1
5 Mercer148657%83.876.4+7.4
6 Chattanooga Mocs148657%76.472.5+3.9
7 VMI146843%79.172.1+7.0
8 Wofford146843%74.170.6+3.5
9 Citadel125742%72.173.4-1.3
10 Western Carolina124833%69.277.3-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel303868
Chattanooga Mocs423981
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