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Chattanooga Mocs vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-78
32-37 39-41
Position#273
Record10-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#302
Record9-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chattanooga Mocs v Citadel
06 Mar 2026
CHAT85
CITA88
07 Feb 2026
CHAT71
CITA78
22 Feb 2025
CHAT76
CITA75
27 Jan 2024
CHAT90
CITA62
08 Feb 2023
CHAT82
CITA63
05 Mar 2022
CHAT71
CITA66
08 Jan 2022
CHAT85
CITA67
13 Feb 2021
CHAT70
CITA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chattanooga Mocs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H07/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A17/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H22/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
55-81
55
81
-26
H29/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-39
48-40
30-39
37-39
49-28
39-51
30-30
46-37
37-42
53-40
30-29
36-38
32-32
32-43
22-42
33-39
23-42
47-33
34-37
45-38
148.4Avg total
72.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.373.4148.8+1.942%
Season at home (11)78.565.9144.5+12.655%
Season away (13)72.679.8152.4-7.231%
Last 10 (10)72.675.8148.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)66.874.6141.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.775.3144.0-6.717%
vs Similar (15)73.479.5152.9-6.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.461.4147.8+25.088%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A24/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H30/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-42
51-53
31-54
32-47
33-40
38-31
33-19
29-43
47-34
35-34
28-40
39-27
27-49
28-35
34-25
46-31
32-30
28-30
32-39
32-39
149.2Avg total
72.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.475.0146.5-3.638%
Season at home (12)77.072.7149.7+4.358%
Season away (12)65.877.4143.2-11.617%
Last 10 (10)72.376.9149.2-4.650%
Last 5 (5)69.471.8141.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)66.179.7145.8-13.618%
vs Similar (11)68.969.5138.5-0.636%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -1.2-1.2
Chattanooga MocsCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H07/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H10/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A14/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A17/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
22-42
22
42
-20
H29/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A01/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H06/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
31.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.535.370.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.732.571.2+6.264%-
Last 30 away (16)32.637.770.3-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)31.036.067.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)28.236.464.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.539.570.0-9.017%-
vs Similar (15)34.736.771.4-2.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.827.867.5+12.075%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H22/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A24/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H30/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A06/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
33.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.636.068.5-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.334.568.8-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)31.137.268.3-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.237.270.4-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.667.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.939.669.5-9.718%-
vs Similar (11)33.531.464.8+2.155%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Chattanooga Mocs wins
2
Citadel wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HMercer79-75
01/02/26AFurman70-75
29/01/26HWofford55-81
24/01/26ASamford64-75
22/01/26HEast Tennessee St66-67
17/01/26AWestern Carolina90-82
14/01/26AWofford76-67
10/01/26HSamford88-79
07/01/26HFurman67-78
03/01/26AVMI71-79
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26ASamford64-78
31/01/26HNC Greensboro71-66 OT
30/01/26HVMI80-56
24/01/26AEast Tennessee St55-84
22/01/26HFurman77-75 OT
18/01/26AVMI82-68
16/01/26ANC Greensboro66-69 OT
10/01/26HWestern Carolina79-77 OT
08/01/26AMercer63-101
03/01/26HWofford86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLWLLW55%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %42%55%31%
Points / game75.378.572.6
Allowed / game73.465.979.8
Point differential+1.9+12.6-7.2
Avg total148.8144.5152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game71.477.065.8
Allowed / game75.072.777.4
Point differential-3.6+4.3-11.6
Avg total146.5149.7143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %17%25%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2518772%78.867.8+11.0
2 Furman2416867%77.370.4+6.9
3 Wofford2416867%78.875.7+3.1
4 Mercer2415962%85.475.8+9.7
5 Samford24121250%77.775.8+1.9
6 Chattanooga Mocs24101442%75.373.4+1.9
7 NC Greensboro2491538%77.881.0-3.2
8 Citadel2491538%71.475.0-3.6
9 Western Carolina2281436%78.180.6-2.5
10 VMI2561924%72.578.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chattanooga Mocs323971
Citadel374178
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