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ChelSU Kostanay vs AiRom Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 83-68
16-21 26-13 32-19 9-15
Position#8
Record11-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#13
Record2-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game78.3
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · ChelSU Kostanay v AiRom
21 Jan 2026
CHEL83
AIRO68
19 Jan 2026
CHEL62
AIRO55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ChelSU Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AiRom winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
66avg 61
A13/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 61
H14/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 61
H15/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
99-57
99
57
+42
no box
H22/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
75-45
75
45
+30
67avg 61
A23/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
92avg 61
H24/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
80-59
80
59
+21
82avg 61
A25/11
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A18/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
62-55
62
55
+7
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
66avg 61
A20/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
20-15
15-20
18-24
17-29
16-29
23-29
16-15
26-15
21-17
18-18
18-28
25-15
27-15
31-14
16-13
23-13
19-14
14-7
19-11
22-15
26-29
19-17
28-11
24-12
19-13
11-19
26-15
16-17
12-19
22-17
27-20
18-12
15-20
16-16
13-7
19-15
16-15
18-20
18-19
148.5Avg total
78.4Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.376.4151.7-1.165%
Season at home (9)80.977.3158.2+3.678%
Season away (8)69.075.4144.4-6.450%
Last 10 (10)78.470.1148.5+8.380%
Last 5 (5)77.065.6142.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.383.9150.3-17.613%
vs Similar (6)71.372.0143.3-0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)70.654.6125.1+16.089%
This opponent (AiRom) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AiRomKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAiRom
Date
Competition
Arlans
#11
L
66-79
66
79
-13
55avg 49
H17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
63-103
63
103
-40
55avg 49
A10/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
64-108
64
108
-44
53avg 49
H11/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
58-75
58
75
-17
50avg 49
A06/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
60-92
60
92
-32
42avg 49
H07/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
47-69
47
69
-22
29avg 49
A08/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
25avg 49
H09/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
49-86
49
86
-37
no box
H18/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
55-62
55
62
-7
no box
A19/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
72-68 OT
72
68
+4
58avg 49
H20/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
14-16
22-18
18-16
8-28
13-23
11-25
31-27
13-28
16-25
14-27
21-28
9-22
16-19
20-20
13-14
24-25
16-29
9-18
11-20
16-19
12-19
10-14
9-17
14-13
10-19
14-12
7-13
6-23
4-24
21-22
18-17
12-18
20-15
16-16
7-13
19-18
13-22
13-17
20-8
137.8Avg total
57.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)60.878.3139.1-17.514%
Season at home (8)61.277.0138.2-15.825%
Season away (6)60.280.0140.2-19.80%
Last 10 (10)57.979.9137.8-22.010%
Last 5 (5)53.668.4122.0-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)59.880.8140.6-21.18%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)67.063.0130.0+4.050%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
ChelSU KostanayAiRom
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A13/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H14/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H15/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H22/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A25/11
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/01
Higher League
75.9Avg total
39.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.540.374.8-5.941%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.541.679.1-4.153%-
Last 30 away (14)31.339.070.3-7.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.175.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.470.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.748.579.3-17.813%-
vs Similar (6)35.035.770.7-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.128.569.6+12.688%-
This opponent (AiRom) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AiRomLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arlans
#11
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A10/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H11/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H07/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A08/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H09/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
10-47
10
47
-37
H18/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A19/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H20/01
Higher League
70.1Avg total
26.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)28.940.769.6-11.814%-
Last 30 at home (8)29.440.269.6-10.925%-
Last 30 away (6)28.341.369.7-13.00%-
Last 10 (10)26.743.470.1-16.70%-
Last 5 (5)25.238.063.2-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.643.270.8-15.70%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)37.025.562.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ChelSU Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ChelSU Kostanay: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.0
47.8%
49.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.04.0
13.8%
28.5%12.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
63.9%15.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AiRomtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AiRom: 56.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.414.0
30.8%
49.5%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.25.2
22.4%
28.5%15.6
🏀 Free throws19.012.8
67.4%
63.9%12.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/5 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ChelSU Kostanay
WWWWWWWWLL
AiRom
WLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#13
+2.5
Net rating
-21.0
88.5
Offensive rating
74.9
86.0
Defensive rating
95.8
37.3%
Effective FG%
31.8%
41.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
13.8%
3-point %
22.4%
84.6%
Assist %
59.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 74.9Defence86.0 · 95.8Shooting37.3% · 31.8%3-point %13.8% · 22.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ ChelSU Kostanay   ■ AiRom
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
ChelSU Kostanay wins
0
AiRom wins
DateGameScore
19/01/26ChelSU Kostanay v AiRom62-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26AArlans71-69
19/01/26HAiRom62-55
18/01/26AArlans77-73
25/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 280-59
24/11/25HAtyrau 295-72
23/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 275-45
22/11/25HAtyrau 299-57
15/11/25HTobol Kostanay 283-78
14/11/25HShymkent72-102
13/11/25ATuran70-91
AiRomlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HTobol Kostanay 272-68 OT
19/01/26AChelSU Kostanay55-62
18/01/26HTobol Kostanay 249-86
09/01/26HBC Almaty 245-57
08/01/26ACHAMP1ON47-69
07/01/26HBC Almaty 260-92
06/01/26ACHAMP1ON58-75
11/11/25HAktobe64-108
10/11/25AAktobe63-103
17/10/25HArlans66-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game75.380.969.0
Allowed / game76.477.375.4
Point differential-1.1+3.6-6.4
Avg total151.7158.2144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AiRom
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game60.861.260.2
Allowed / game78.377.080.0
Point differential-17.5-15.8-19.8
Avg total139.1138.2140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1615194%86.966.7+20.2
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21814478%78.269.7+8.4
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1611569%83.463.9+19.6
6 ChelSU Kostanay1711665%75.376.4-1.1
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Arlans145936%75.178.8-3.6
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 Karaganda1541127%76.582.5-5.9
12 Tobol Kostanay 21731418%70.682.5-11.8
13 AiRom1421214%60.878.3-17.5
14 Pavlodar1521313%53.588.9-35.4
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2181176%57.283.9-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ChelSU Kostanay162632983
AiRom2113191568
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