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Arlans vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 73-77
17-16 19-12 17-22 20-27
Position#11
Record4-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#8
Record8-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game78.7
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arlans v ChelSU Kostanay
20 Jan 2026
ARLA69
CHEL71
18 Jan 2026
ARLA73
CHEL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arlans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ChelSU Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
83-59
83
59
+24
75avg 64
A14/10
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
62avg 64
H15/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
70-56
70
56
+14
58avg 64
A16/10
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
82avg 64
A17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
84-94
84
94
-10
79avg 64
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
56-76
56
76
-20
45avg 64
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
97-113
97
113
-16
79avg 64
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 64
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
57-104
57
104
-47
41avg 64
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 64
H09/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
19-10
18-10
18-23
15-21
8-18
21-17
24-23
27-14
11-13
15-9
17-20
29-12
16-14
18-22
16-18
22-19
20-27
21-31
21-17
11-19
15-20
18-22
12-15
29-32
16-33
24-24
28-24
18-28
24-28
16-17
17-21
15-34
14-30
18-27
10-13
18-13
19-17
14-25
12-22
155.0Avg total
73.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.380.8155.1-6.536%
Season at home (5)69.479.4148.8-10.020%
Season away (6)78.382.0160.3-3.750%
Last 10 (10)73.281.8155.0-8.630%
Last 5 (5)69.692.8162.4-23.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.589.5164.0-15.017%
vs Similar ◀ (2)69.085.5154.5-16.50%
vs Weaker (3)77.360.3137.7+17.0100%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
94avg 61
H25/10
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
60avg 61
A11/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
73-108
73
108
-35
63avg 61
H12/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
66avg 61
A13/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 61
H14/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 61
H15/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
99-57
99
57
+42
no box
H22/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
75-45
75
45
+30
67avg 61
A23/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
92avg 61
H24/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
80-59
80
59
+21
82avg 61
A25/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
25-17
27-23
19-20
9-31
13-14
25-16
15-25
15-32
12-28
23-20
23-28
17-32
20-15
15-20
18-24
17-29
16-29
23-29
16-15
26-15
21-17
18-18
18-28
25-15
27-15
31-14
16-13
23-13
19-14
14-7
19-11
22-15
26-29
19-17
28-11
24-12
19-13
11-19
26-15
157.2Avg total
80.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.478.7155.1-2.357%
Season at home (8)83.280.1163.4+3.175%
Season away (6)67.376.8144.2-9.533%
Last 10 (10)80.077.2157.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)86.462.2148.6+24.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.984.2151.1-17.212%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.475.8146.2-5.440%
vs Weaker (9)71.956.3128.2+15.689%
This opponent (Arlans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
ArlansChelSU Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A14/10
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H15/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A16/10
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/01
Higher League
79.2Avg total
37.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)36.140.776.8-4.636%-
Last 30 at home (5)30.238.869.0-8.620%-
Last 30 away (6)41.042.383.3-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.879.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.850.886.6-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.347.278.5-15.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.543.082.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker (3)43.326.369.7+17.0100%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H25/10
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A11/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
27-60
27
60
-33
H12/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A13/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H14/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H15/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H22/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A25/11
Higher League
79.5Avg total
39.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.841.676.4-6.834%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.480.5-4.347%-
Last 30 away (14)31.340.772.0-9.421%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.979.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.431.678.0+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.648.979.6-18.312%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
vs Weaker (8)41.228.970.1+12.475%-
This opponent (Arlans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.5
49.4%
49.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.85.8
24.2%
28.5%17.2
🏀 Free throws24.514.8
60.2%
63.9%14.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ChelSU Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arlans wins
0
ChelSU Kostanay wins
No previous meetings.
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HCHAMP1ON63-77
08/01/26ABC Almaty 257-104
07/01/26HCHAMP1ON75-94
06/01/26ABC Almaty 297-113
09/11/25HAktobe56-76
08/11/25AAktobe84-94
17/10/25AAiRom79-66
16/10/25AKaspiy Aktau 270-56
15/10/25HAtyrau 268-79
14/10/25AKaspiy Aktau 283-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 280-59
24/11/25HAtyrau 295-72
23/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 275-45
22/11/25HAtyrau 299-57
15/11/25HTobol Kostanay 283-78
14/11/25HShymkent72-102
13/11/25ATuran70-91
12/11/25HShymkent73-108
11/11/25ATuran62-86
25/10/25HTobol Kostanay 291-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%20%50%
Points / game74.369.478.3
Allowed / game80.879.482.0
Point differential-6.5-10.0-3.7
Avg total155.1148.8160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game76.483.267.3
Allowed / game78.780.176.8
Point differential-2.3+3.1-9.5
Avg total155.1163.4144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1413193%85.168.8+16.4
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21814478%78.269.7+8.4
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1611569%83.463.9+19.6
6 ChelSU Kostanay148657%76.478.7-2.3
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Arlans114736%74.380.8-6.5
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 Karaganda1541127%76.582.5-5.9
12 Tobol Kostanay 21531220%71.182.5-11.3
13 Pavlodar1321115%53.787.3-33.6
14 AiRom121118%60.380.5-20.2
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2181176%57.283.9-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arlans1719172073
ChelSU Kostanay1612222777
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