ChelSU Kostanay vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 72-102

17-29 16-29 23-29 16-15

Position#8

Record3-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game70.8

Allowed / game86.1

ChelSU Kostanay

Shymkent 🏆

Position#2

Record7-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game99.4

Allowed / game69.4

Higher League

Other2025-26

Meetings · ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ChelSU Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Shymkent winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChelSU Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Shymkent

45-96

-51

22avg 59

A09/04

Higher League

Turan

71-86

-15

56avg 59

H10/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

74-72

69avg 59

H21/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

51-82

-31

40avg 59

A22/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

79-78

78avg 59

H23/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

66-98

-32

58avg 59

A24/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

91-74

+17

94avg 59

H25/10

Higher League

Turan

62-86

-24

60avg 59

A11/11

Higher League

Shymkent

73-108

108

-35

63avg 59

H12/11

Higher League

Turan

70-91

-21

66avg 59

A13/11

Higher League

14-29

12-22

11-33

8-12

17-31

14-20

21-20

19-15

15-18

17-22

17-18

25-14

11-23

13-30

15-17

12-12

20-20

24-18

17-15

18-25

13-33

15-22

24-22

14-21

20-14

25-17

27-23

19-20

9-31

13-14

25-16

15-25

15-32

12-28

23-20

23-28

17-32

20-15

15-20

18-24

155.3Avg total

68.2Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	70.8	86.1	156.9	-15.4	38%
Season at home (4)	79.2	83.0	162.2	-3.8	75%
Season away (4)	62.2	89.2	151.5	-27.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.2	87.1	155.3	-18.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	91.4	163.8	-19.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	62.8	87.2	150.0	-24.4	0%
vs Similar (6)	74.0	72.5	146.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (8)	71.6	55.8	127.4	+15.9	88%

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Shymkent

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShymkent

Date

Competition

ChelSU Kostanay

96-45

+51

95avg 80

H09/04

Higher League

Karaganda

20-0

+20

no box

A10/04

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

104-70

104

+34

100avg 80

A22/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

96-64

+32

no box

H23/10

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

102-55

102

+47

107avg 80

A24/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

93-66

+27

81avg 80

H25/10

Higher League

Turan

68-80

-12

58avg 80

H26/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

112-68

112

+44

106avg 80

H11/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

108-73

108

+35

97avg 80

A12/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

112-79

112

+33

106avg 80

H13/11

Higher League

29-14

22-12

33-11

12-8

–

30-16

19-17

32-12

23-25

28-17

28-12

24-21

16-14

34-15

21-14

29-11

18-15

27-22

22-20

27-11

17-13

21-19

15-27

15-13

17-21

26-17

31-18

32-22

23-11

32-15

28-12

20-23

28-23

36-24

28-22

26-14

22-19

151.1Avg total

91.1Scored

60.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	99.4	69.4	168.8	+30.0	88%
Season at home (5)	96.2	71.4	167.6	+24.8	80%
Season away (3)	104.7	66.0	170.7	+38.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.1	60.0	151.1	+31.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	98.6	73.2	171.8	+25.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	71.5	76.5	148.0	-5.0	50%
vs Similar (5)	73.2	77.0	150.2	-3.8	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	91.3	61.4	152.8	+29.9	100%

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ChelSU KostanayShymkent

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	22.7	40.5	-4.9	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	23.0	39.8	-6.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	26.3	41.4	-11.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	28.4	43.2	-13.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.6	27.4	43.0	-11.8	6%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.7	14.1	35.9	+7.6	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	25.7	17.8	43.4	+7.9	79%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.3	18.0	43.3	+7.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	26.1	17.5	43.5	+8.6	77%	-
Last 10 (9)	29.2	17.7	46.9	+11.6	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	19.4	47.8	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.0	21.6	45.6	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	27.8	16.8	44.5	+11.1	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.4	19.2	34.6	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.8	37.3	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	13.0	21.7	34.7	-8.7	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	15.3	35.2	+4.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.6	15.0	37.6	+7.7	86%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	15.1	37.8	+7.5	94%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	14.8	37.4	+7.8	77%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.8	17.1	40.9	+6.7	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.8	44.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	14.5	34.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	20.4	36.6	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.8	13.7	38.5	+11.1	100%	-

ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shymkent

26-51

-25

A09/04

Higher League

Turan

31-51

-20

H10/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

32-40

-8

H21/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

24-53

-29

A22/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

44-38

H23/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

28-55

-27

A24/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

45-31

+14

H25/10

Higher League

Turan

22-45

-23

A11/11

Higher League

Shymkent

27-60

-33

H12/11

Higher League

Turan

37-47

-10

A13/11

Higher League

78.7Avg total

31.6Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.2	41.7	76.0	-7.5	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.4	41.2	77.6	-4.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.2	42.2	74.4	-10.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.6	47.1	78.7	-15.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	47.6	79.4	-15.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	28.6	49.1	77.7	-20.4	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.8	35.7	74.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.1	30.1	73.3	+13.0	71%	-

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ChelSU Kostanay

51-26

+25

H09/04

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

49-33

+16

A22/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

56-29

+27

H23/10

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

55-29

+26

A24/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

49-42

H25/10

Higher League

Turan

36-46

-10

H26/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

57-35

+22

H11/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

60-27

+33

A12/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

64-46

+18

H13/11

Higher League

87.8Avg total

53.0Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	48.3	32.7	81.0	+15.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.9	33.1	81.1	+14.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	48.7	32.2	80.9	+16.5	77%	-
Last 10 (9)	53.0	34.8	87.8	+18.2	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.2	39.2	92.4	+14.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	32.5	69.5	+4.5	75%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.2	42.0	82.2	-1.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	52.5	30.4	83.0	+22.1	100%	-

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.9	37.3	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	18.2	35.3	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	19.5	40.8	+1.9	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	26.4	15.3	41.8	+11.1	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	16.6	40.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	10.2	20.8	31.0	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	16.0	33.4	+1.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	17.4	32.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.1	17.0	34.1	+0.1	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	16.4	35.1	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	16.6	36.1	+3.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	20.8	43.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.6	19.0	34.6	-3.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.9	16.1	35.0	+2.9	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.8	36.8	71.6	-2.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	36.2	73.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.8	37.3	70.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	43.8	84.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.2	38.1	72.3	-3.9	44%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	35.9	33.6	69.4	+2.3	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	35.2	74.7	+4.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.5	33.3	71.8	+5.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.6	37.6	78.2	+3.0	62%	-
Last 10 (9)	46.0	31.9	77.9	+14.1	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	34.0	79.4	+11.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	41.5	74.5	-8.5	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.0	35.0	68.0	-2.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.4	34.0	76.4	+8.3	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

ChelSU Kostanay wins

Shymkent wins

Date	Game	Score
12/11/25	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	73-108
09/04/25	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	96-45
03/03/25	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	65-48
28/01/25	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	88-76
12/12/24	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	108-65
20/10/24	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	91-86
24/02/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	78-95
24/01/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	66-82
22/01/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	68-99
11/11/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	71-81

ChelSU Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/25	A	Turan	70-91
12/11/25	H	Shymkent	73-108
11/11/25	A	Turan	62-86
25/10/25	H	Tobol Kostanay 2	91-74
24/10/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	66-98
23/10/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	79-78
22/10/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	51-82
21/10/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	74-72
10/04/25	H	Turan	71-86
09/04/25	A	Shymkent	45-96

Shymkentlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/25	H	Tobol Kostanay 2	112-79
12/11/25	A	ChelSU Kostanay	108-73
11/11/25	H	Tobol Kostanay 2	112-68
26/10/25	H	Turan	68-80
25/10/25	H	BC Almaty 2	93-66
24/10/25	A	CHAMP1ON	102-55
23/10/25	H	BC Almaty 2	96-64
22/10/25	A	CHAMP1ON	104-70
10/04/25	A	Karaganda	20-0
09/04/25	H	ChelSU Kostanay	96-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ChelSU Kostanay

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	38%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	38%	75%	0%
Points / game	70.8	79.2	62.2
Allowed / game	86.1	83.0	89.2
Point differential	-15.4	-3.8	-27.0
Avg total	156.9	162.2	151.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Shymkent

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	88%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	88%	80%	100%
Points / game	99.4	96.2	104.7
Allowed / game	69.4	71.4	66.0
Point differential	+30.0	+24.8	+38.7
Avg total	168.8	167.6	170.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	88%	80%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bars Petropavlovsk	6	6	0	100%	93.7	61.2	+32.5
2	Aktobe	4	4	0	100%	95.2	66.8	+28.5
3	Turan	8	8	0	100%	84.8	59.6	+25.1
4	Shymkent	8	7	1	88%	99.4	69.4	+30.0
5	Atyrau 2	10	8	2	80%	78.2	67.0	+11.2
6	Arlans	7	4	3	57%	75.0	71.6	+3.4
7	Tigers-KazATU	5	2	3	40%	76.6	78.2	-1.6
8	BC Almaty 2	10	4	6	40%	71.3	73.7	-2.4
9	ChelSU Kostanay	8	3	5	38%	70.8	86.1	-15.4
10	CHAMP1ON	10	3	7	30%	68.1	75.9	-7.8
11	AiRom	7	1	6	14%	66.4	83.9	-17.4
12	Kaspiy Aktau 2	10	1	9	10%	56.0	84.0	-28.0
13	Karaganda	1	0	1	0%	56.0	81.0	-25.0
14	Tobol Kostanay 2	8	0	8	0%	67.2	95.5	-28.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
ChelSU Kostanay	17	16	23	16	72
Shymkent	29	29	29	15	102

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ChelSU Kostanay vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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