Chemnitz will host Basketball Braunschweig on 15 November 2026 in the BBL, and the Pythia model names Chemnitz the favourite, assigning it a 76% chance of victory largely because the team has scored 87.1 points per game while allowing 90.0, a better offensive output than Braunschweig's 86.0 points per game against 96.5 points allowed, and Chemnitz holds a 2-6 record compared to Braunschweig's 3-5. Chemnitz has won 2 of its 3 home games, averaging 90.3 points and conceding 86.0, and has won 2 of its last 5 overall, though its recent results include losses to Basket Napoli, Vechta and Buducnost. Braunschweig has struggled on the road, winning only 1 of 4 away games, averaging 79.8 points and allowing 95.0, and has lost all five of its most recent games, including defeats to Bonn, Bayern and Wurzburg. In their last 10 meetings Braunschweig has edged Chemnitz 6-4, most recently winning 104-90 on 10 May 2026. Pythia projects a 92-84 score for Chemnitz, a total of 175.9, with a 51% chance the home team will cover the -8.5 spread and a 46% probability of the over on the 177.5 line, while the chance of overtime is 4%. The game will end with Chemnitz winning 92-84.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chemnitz win
75.9%fair 1.32
Best odds1.26
Implied78.6%
Edge-2.7pp
Basketball Braunschweig win
24.1%fair 4.15
Best odds4.45
Implied21.4%
Edge+2.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 176 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 178.5.
Over/Under 173.5
Over 173.5
55.0%
@ 1.57-5.1pp
Under 173.5
45.0%
@ 2.32+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.53
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Under
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.29
Marathon Be
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 178.5 · main line
Over 178.5
43.2%
@ 1.95-7.3pp
Under 178.5
56.8%
@ 1.92+7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
Marathon Be
1.93
Betano
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.83
Over/Under 183.5
Over 183.5
32.1%
@ 2.55-4.9pp
Under 183.5
67.9%
@ 1.49+4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.45
Under
Marathon Be
1.49
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
📊 3. Team Totals
Chemnitz total 90.5
Over 90.5
57.1%
@ 1.59-2.8pp
Under 90.5
42.9%
@ 2.31+2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.31
Betano
2.30
Chemnitz total 94.5 · main line
Over 94.5
42.2%
@ 1.98-4.6pp
Under 94.5
57.8%
@ 1.85+4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.98
Marathon Be
1.98
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.74
Marathon Be
1.74
Betano
1.72
Chemnitz total 98.5
Over 98.5
28.3%
@ 2.75-4.6pp
Under 98.5
71.7%
@ 1.35+4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.75
Under
Betano
1.35
Basketball Braunschweig total 80.5
Over 80.5
60.4%
@ 1.42-3.4pp
Under 80.5
39.6%
@ 2.50+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.50
Basketball Braunschweig total 84.5 · main line
Over 84.5
45.7%
@ 1.87-4.3pp
Under 84.5
54.3%
@ 1.87+4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Basketball Braunschweig total 88.5
Over 88.5
31.8%
@ 2.50-4.4pp
Under 88.5
68.2%
@ 1.42+4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.42
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Chemnitz's side (positive = Chemnitz win). Pythia's expected margin is +8.8; Chemnitz win by 1+ in 70% of simulations.
Spread Chemnitz -12.5
CHE -12.5
38.5%
@ 2.55-0.5pp
BRA +12.5
61.5%
@ 1.52+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
CHE
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.31
Marathon Be
2.31
BRA
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Be
1.50
Spread Chemnitz -9.5 · main line
CHE -9.5
48.1%
@ 2.00-1.2pp
BRA +9.5
51.9%
@ 1.87+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
CHE
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
BRA
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Spread Chemnitz -6.5
CHE -6.5
58.0%
@ 1.64-0.7pp
BRA +6.5
42.0%
@ 2.29+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
CHE
Bet365
1.64
1xBet
1.61
Marathon Be
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
BRA
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathon Be
2.20
Bet365
2.15
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
ChemnitzBasketball Braunschweig
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
31-15
31
15
+16
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
19-17
19
17
+2
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
17-27
17
27
-10
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
25-19
25
19
+6
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
18-23
18
23
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
22-23
22
23
-1
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H11/11
Eurocup
44.0Avg total
22.3Scored
21.7Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)
20.7
20.8
41.5
-0.1
37%
33%
Last 30 at home (14)
21.8
19.8
41.6
+2.0
50%
36%
Last 30 away (16)
19.7
21.7
41.4
-2.0
25%
31%
Last 10 (10)
22.3
21.7
44.0
+0.6
40%
50%
Last 5 (5)
22.2
23.2
45.4
-1.0
20%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)
20.6
21.1
41.7
-0.5
40%
50%
vs Similar (10)
20.0
21.4
41.4
-1.4
30%
30%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)
21.4
19.9
41.3
+1.5
40%
20%
This opponent (Basketball Braunschweig) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winner
CHE win
68.2%
@ 1.45+3.1pp
BRA win
31.8%
@ 2.70-3.1pp
2nd half Spread Chemnitz -4 · main line
CHE -4
51.1%
@ 1.86+0.8pp
BRA +4
48.9%
@ 1.88-0.8pp
2nd half Over/Under 87.5 · main line
Over
50.1%
@ 1.89+0.6pp
Under
49.9%
@ 1.91-0.6pp
Chemnitz 2nd half total 45.5 · main line
Over
52.4%
@ 1.85+1.8pp
Under
47.6%
@ 1.91-1.8pp
Basketball Braunschweig 2nd half total 41.5 · main line
Over
50.4%
@ 1.87+0.4pp
Under
49.6%
@ 1.93-0.4pp
2nd half Over/Under 86
Over
55.8%
@ 1.85+5.3pp
Under
44.2%
@ 1.89-5.3pp
2nd half Over/Under 89
Over
44.2%
@ 1.96-3.6pp
Under
55.8%
@ 1.79+3.6pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
CHE
65.5%
@ 1.50+4.1pp
Draw
3.9%
@ 18.75-1.1pp
BRA
30.6%
@ 2.75-3.1pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basketball Braunschweig: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.6
22.5
59.8%
55.6%
45.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.7
8.5
33.1%
33.7%
25.5
🏀Free throws
26.5
19.9
75.1%
73.4%
19.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Chemnitz: 83.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
41.0
22.6
55.1%
55.6%
45.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
24.6
7.8
31.7%
33.7%
23.4
🏀Free throws
20.1
14.7
73.1%
73.4%
14.7
Their opponents take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Basketball Braunschweig: 96.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
38.4
23.4
60.9%
55.6%
46.8
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
32.7
11.7
35.8%
33.7%
35.1
🏀Free throws
19.8
14.6
73.7%
73.4%
14.6
Their opponents take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basketball Braunschweig: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
38.8
21.3
54.9%
55.6%
42.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.9
8.5
32.6%
33.7%
25.4
🏀Free throws
22.8
16.5
72.5%
73.4%
16.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Chemnitz: 81.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.3
20.7
55.5%
55.6%
41.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.7
8.9
33.4%
33.7%
26.7
🏀Free throws
19.1
13.6
71.4%
73.4%
13.6
Their opponents take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Basketball Braunschweig: 92.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.3
22.8
57.9%
55.6%
45.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
30.4
10.8
35.7%
33.7%
32.5
🏀Free throws
19.9
14.2
71.5%
73.4%
14.2
Their opponents take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWWLW
Basketball Braunschweig
LLLLLWWWWL
#16
League position
#14
+4.0
Net rating
-6.5
94.5
Offensive rating
96.8
90.5
Defensive rating
103.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.42
31.7%
3-point %
33.1%
60.4%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%
Profile
■ Chemnitz■ Basketball Braunschweig
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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🔒
A Pro feature
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unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.
PythiaBasketballBETA
Chemnitz
Bayern
Trier
Syntainics MBC
Bonn
Frankfurt
Rostock
Ludwigsburg
Alba Berlin
Wurzburg
Bamberg
Ulm
Oldenburg
Vechta
Hamburg
Phoenix Hagen
Jena
