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Chemnitz vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-87
25-21 25-24 12-22 21-20
Position#15
Record1-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game64.3
GermanyBBLRound 5· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bayern
10 Oct 2026
CHE83
BAY87
18 Jan 2026
CHE59
BAY87
02 Mar 2025
CHE72
BAY94
21 Jan 2024
CHE73
BAY86
12 Feb 2023
CHE58
BAY79
20 May 2022
CHE80
BAY87
15 Feb 2022
CHE77
BAY58
14 Nov 2021
CHE85
BAY80
14 Feb 2021
CHE85
BAY83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
62-89
62
89
-27
53avg 75
H27/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 75
A03/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
80avg 75
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
90-104
90
104
-14
83avg 75
A10/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
71avg 75
A18/09
BBL
Hamburg
#16
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
79avg 75
A25/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
85avg 75
H27/09
BBL
Tofas
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 75
A29/09
Eurocup
Jena
#17
L
76-82
76
82
-6
66avg 75
A04/10
BBL
Neptunas
#26
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 75
H07/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
20-16
10-25
12-21
27-20
25-19
16-26
16-17
24-18
22-13
14-19
11-21
14-22
21-30
18-28
37-24
20-21
23-20
19-18
20-30
22-22
21-20
17-15
23-26
19-24
20-23
22-20
20-14
15-22
15-24
23-14
16-22
19-21
19-19
16-22
22-20
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
170.7Avg total
82.6Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.589.5175.0-4.025%
Season at home (1)94.093.0187.0+1.0100%
Season away (3)82.788.3171.0-5.70%
Last 10 (10)82.688.1170.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)84.487.0171.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.581.8155.2-8.233%
vs Similar (11)81.183.4164.5-2.345%
vs Weaker (7)88.389.4177.7-1.157%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
91-83
91
83
+8
80avg 80
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-71
61
71
-10
47avg 80
A19/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 80
H21/06
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
108-72
108
72
+36
106avg 80
H20/09
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 80
A24/09
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#10
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 80
H26/09
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
76-100
76
100
-24
70avg 80
A29/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 80
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#11
W
113-60
113
60
+53
119avg 80
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
87-94
87
94
-7
74avg 80
H08/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
18-16
18-20
30-23
23-26
22-16
9-16
7-13
25-20
22-7
19-26
15-31
30-13
25-15
28-22
25-22
16-21
28-18
24-18
18-27
22-12
18-12
26-18
29-19
15-31
16-19
20-25
25-25
27-22
20-24
18-11
19-29
17-18
40-13
32-18
24-11
21-35
22-17
25-23
19-19
167.7Avg total
88.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)105.364.3169.7+41.0100%
Season at home (3)105.364.3169.7+41.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.279.5167.7+8.750%
Last 5 (5)91.080.2171.2+10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.090.0172.0-8.033%
vs Similar (4)83.888.2172.0-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.273.7163.9+16.587%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
ChemnitzBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A03/05
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H07/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A10/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/09
BBL
Hamburg
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/09
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
BBL
Tofas
#6
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A29/09
Eurocup
Jena
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/10
BBL
Neptunas
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
84.3Avg total
42.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.681.8+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.337.880.2+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)40.542.683.1-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.084.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.241.780.8-2.542%-
vs Similar (11)42.838.581.4+4.364%-
vs Weaker (7)42.441.984.3+0.643%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H21/06
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H20/09
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/09
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#10
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H26/09
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A29/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#11
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/10
Euroleague
83.1Avg total
45.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.138.083.1+7.280%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.037.283.2+8.889%-
Last 30 away (12)43.839.283.0+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.983.1+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.684.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.745.085.7-4.367%-
vs Similar (4)42.242.885.0-0.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.236.282.4+10.091%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.1
54.8%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.3
29.6%
33.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
73.4%15.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.7
56.1%
55.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.8
77.4%
73.4%16.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLLWLLLWWL
Bayern
LWLLWWWLLW
#15
League position
#1
-5.0
Net rating
+10.2
89.0
Offensive rating
100.7
94.0
Defensive rating
90.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.6%
3-point %
34.7%
56.8%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 100.7Defence94.0 · 90.5Shooting50.5% · 54.4%3-point %29.6% · 34.7%Ball care18.9% · 14.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
10
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Bayern v Chemnitz91-77
18/01/26Chemnitz v Bayern59-87
02/03/25Chemnitz v Bayern72-94
20/09/24Bayern v Chemnitz73-59
13/02/24Bayern v Chemnitz89-80
21/01/24Chemnitz v Bayern73-86
12/02/23Chemnitz v Bayern58-79
09/10/22Bayern v Chemnitz88-74
20/05/22Chemnitz v Bayern80-87 OT
15/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz93-76
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84
04/10/26AJena76-82
29/09/26ATofas69-82
27/09/26HPhoenix Hagen94-93 OT
25/09/26AHamburg90-94 OT
18/09/26AAlba Berlin82-89
10/05/26ABasketball Braunschweig90-104
07/05/26HFrankfurt86-82 OT
03/05/26AAlba Berlin84-82
27/04/26HBamberg62-89
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HVirtus Bologna87-94
04/10/26HOldenburg113-60
02/10/26HPartizan84-86
29/09/26AFenerbahce76-100
26/09/26HAlba Berlin95-61
24/09/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-84
20/09/26HBamberg108-72
21/06/26HAlba Berlin81-84
19/06/26AAlba Berlin61-71
17/06/26AAlba Berlin91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game85.594.082.7
Allowed / game89.593.088.3
Point differential-4.0+1.0-5.7
Avg total175.0187.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%100%33%
Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game105.3105.3-
Allowed / game64.364.3-
Point differential+41.0+41.0-
Avg total169.7169.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern330100%105.364.3+41.0
2 Basketball Braunschweig330100%97.392.0+5.3
3 Trier43175%101.290.2+11.0
4 Oldenburg43175%77.084.0-7.0
5 Wurzburg32167%80.373.3+7.0
6 Frankfurt32167%89.787.7+2.0
7 Bonn53260%88.880.2+8.6
8 Bamberg42250%93.590.2+3.2
9 Rostock42250%88.285.0+3.2
10 Syntainics MBC42250%79.876.8+3.0
11 Ludwigsburg42250%85.288.5-3.2
12 Ulm42250%79.583.5-4.0
13 Alba Berlin42250%81.889.5-7.8
14 Jena52340%75.287.4-12.2
15 Chemnitz41325%85.589.5-4.0
16 Hamburg41325%81.088.0-7.0
17 Phoenix Hagen4040%87.895.5-7.8
18 Vechta4040%76.593.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2525122183
Bayern2124222087
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