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Chemnitz vs Jena Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game89.6
GermanyBBLRound 23· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Chemnitz v Jena
04 Mar 2027
CHE v JEN
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
CHE76
JEN73
08 Dec 2019
CHE90
JEN78
10 Apr 2016
CHE58
JEN76
26 Sep 2015
CHE55
JEN85
29 Nov 2014
CHE76
JEN67
23 Nov 2013
CHE75
JEN80
26 Jan 2013
CHE85
JEN78
22 Dec 2011
CHE79
JEN58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jena win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 73
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 73
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 73
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 73
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 73
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 73
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
24-27
26-18
14-33
26-21
22-24
19-35
28-20
21-33
177.9Avg total
90.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.190.0177.1-2.925%
Season at home (3)90.386.0176.3+4.367%
Season away (5)85.292.4177.6-7.20%
Last 10 (10)90.187.8177.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)90.892.4183.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.583.5160.0-7.030%
vs Similar (10)84.287.1171.3-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.785.0174.7+4.770%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 70
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
56avg 70
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
81avg 70
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 70
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 70
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
68-115
68
115
-47
52avg 70
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 70
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 70
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
78-97
78
97
-19
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
8-24
25-23
9-22
13-18
14-22
21-18
14-19
25-31
24-23
24-15
12-29
18-11
18-21
26-28
17-11
21-19
19-19
22-16
20-22
11-28
22-26
16-32
19-29
29-22
24-28
8-14
21-29
30-26
13-21
23-22
12-19
18-32
28-21
22-22
19-16
11-33
28-17
16-30
23-17
165.5Avg total
76.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.989.6167.4-11.722%
Season at home (4)82.582.8165.2-0.250%
Season away (5)74.295.0169.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)76.688.9165.5-12.320%
Last 5 (5)78.696.8175.4-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.689.0167.6-10.424%
vs Similar (5)81.286.8168.0-5.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
ChemnitzJena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H11/11
Eurocup
89.7Avg total
45.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.083.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.189.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
vs Similar (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#13
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A14/11
BBL
85.3Avg total
39.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.186.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.686.1-3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)40.047.887.8-7.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.685.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.893.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.346.888.1-5.532%-
vs Similar (5)38.642.481.0-3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
73.4%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
73.4%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWWLW
Jena
LLLLLWWLLL
#16
League position
#18
+4.0
Net rating
-12.9
94.5
Offensive rating
85.5
90.5
Defensive rating
98.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.7%
3-point %
32.8%
60.4%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 85.5Defence90.5 · 98.4Shooting52.0% · 51.1%3-point %31.7% · 32.8%Ball care16.6% · 19.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Jena
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
7
Jena wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Jena v Chemnitz82-76
18/04/26Chemnitz v Jena76-73
08/11/25Jena v Chemnitz85-72
10/01/20Jena v Chemnitz68-97
08/12/19Chemnitz v Jena90-78
12/04/16Jena v Chemnitz69-53
10/04/16Chemnitz v Jena58-76
08/04/16Jena v Chemnitz70-67
06/03/16Jena v Chemnitz81-78
26/09/15Chemnitz v Jena55-85
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBasket Napoli90-112
07/11/26AVechta90-99
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUlm78-97
09/11/26HHamburg87-91
01/11/26ABamberg78-88
30/10/26HFrankfurt82-93
09/10/26ABonn68-115
04/10/26HChemnitz82-76
01/10/26HVechta79-71
27/09/26ATrier85-98
25/09/26ASyntainics MBC62-77
10/05/26AAlba Berlin65-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game87.190.385.2
Allowed / game90.086.092.4
Point differential-2.9+4.3-7.2
Avg total177.1176.3177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
Jena
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game77.982.574.2
Allowed / game89.682.895.0
Point differential-11.7-0.2-20.8
Avg total167.4165.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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