PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cherno More vs Botev 2012 Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game69.8
Cherno More
Bulgaria
vs
Botev 2012
Bulgaria
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game87.7
BulgariaNBLRound 13· DKS - Varna
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cherno More v Botev 2012
16 Jan 2027
CHER v BOTE
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
CHER92
BOTE66
11 Oct 2025
CHER82
BOTE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Botev 2012 win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
84avg 82
H04/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
74avg 82
A09/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 82
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
48avg 82
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
93avg 82
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
84avg 82
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 82
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 82
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 82
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
H31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
29-25
20-18
23-16
16-26
20-21
26-15
27-29
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
20-16
20-24
17-16
17-24
168.8Avg total
86.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.269.8157.0+17.575%
Season at home (2)80.570.5151.0+10.050%
Season away (2)94.069.0163.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.282.6168.8+3.640%
Last 5 (5)88.675.8164.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)84.487.6172.0-3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.879.5172.4+13.375%
This opponent (Botev 2012) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev 2012BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2012
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 72
H04/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
85avg 72
A08/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
97-101
97
101
-4
90avg 72
H16/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
82avg 72
H19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 72
A25/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 72
A30/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
67-86
67
86
-19
56avg 72
H02/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
9avg 72
H10/10
NBL
Shumen
#8
L
84-87
84
87
-3
53avg 72
A16/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
71avg 72
H24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
15-21
28-18
20-19
27-26
16-23
24-20
22-27
20-23
24-25
23-27
30-26
21-15
22-28
23-13
24-15
16-27
20-29
25-19
25-18
24-14
22-22
16-26
14-17
12-25
21-26
14-17
20-18
24-23
14-28
15-24
13-16
15-27
23-17
25-21
21-22
21-18
13-22
16-22
23-23
167.8Avg total
81.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.387.7162.0-13.30%
Season at home (2)69.588.0157.5-18.50%
Season away (1)84.087.0171.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)81.386.5167.8-5.220%
Last 5 (5)73.285.6158.8-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.592.2169.7-14.77%
vs Similar (3)79.371.0150.3+8.3100%
vs Weaker (12)84.976.8161.7+8.283%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Cherno MoreBotev 2012
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H04/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A09/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
NBL
85.1Avg total
41.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.383.8+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.839.384.1+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)42.341.283.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.585.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.480.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)40.244.284.4-4.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.639.184.8+6.575%-
This opponent (Botev 2012) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev 2012Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A08/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/04
NBL
Levski
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A25/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A30/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H02/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H10/10
NBL
Shumen
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/10
NBL
84.9Avg total
39.2Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.782.2-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.182.5-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.784.9-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.482.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.046.785.7-7.713%-
vs Similar (3)37.035.372.3+1.733%-
vs Weaker (12)43.337.180.4+6.275%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.9
55.6%
55.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.0
30.3%
30.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.415.4
65.8%
70.7%15.4
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botev 2012their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botev 2012: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
55.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.8
35.9%
30.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.012.8
61.0%
70.7%12.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
LWWWLLLLLW
Botev 2012
LLLLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#11
+5.5
Net rating
-12.2
98.9
Offensive rating
90.0
93.4
Defensive rating
102.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.3%
3-point %
35.9%
55.0%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 90.0Defence93.4 · 102.2Shooting51.2% · 51.5%3-point %30.3% · 35.9%Ball care12.7% · 15.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cherno More   ■ Botev 2012
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cherno More wins
0
Botev 2012 wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Cherno More v Botev 201292-66
23/12/25Botev 2012 v Cherno More76-96
11/10/25Cherno More v Botev 201282-66
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HSpartak Pleven74-80
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80
09/05/26ABalkan89-91
04/05/26HSpartak Pleven94-91
Botev 2012last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBotev Academic73-85
16/10/26AShumen84-87
10/10/26HBalkan66-91
02/05/26HLok. Plovdiv67-86
30/04/26ALok. Plovdiv76-79
25/04/26ABalkan86-93
19/04/26HLevski90-71
16/04/26HMinyor97-101
08/04/26ARilski Sportist89-96
04/04/26HSpartak Pleven85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game87.280.594.0
Allowed / game69.870.569.0
Point differential+17.5+10.0+25.0
Avg total157.0151.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botev 2012
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.369.584.0
Allowed / game87.788.087.0
Point differential-13.3-18.5-3.0
Avg total162.0157.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
2 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
3 Cherno More43175%87.269.8+17.5
4 Rilski Sportist43175%92.076.2+15.8
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Lok. Plovdiv43175%89.080.2+8.8
7 Spartak Pleven43175%85.276.8+8.5
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 Beroe41325%96.089.0+7.0
10 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
13 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
14 Polytechnica4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.