PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lok. Plovdiv vs Botev 2012 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 79-76
14-24 22-22 26-16 17-14
Position#4
Record19-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#6
Record16-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game82.9
BulgariaNBLNBL - Quarter-finals· Stadion Lokomotiv
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Botev 2012
27 Mar 2027
LOK. v BOTE
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
LOK.79
BOTE76
29 Mar 2026
LOK.90
BOTE98
17 Jan 2026
LOK.105
BOTE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botev 2012 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 85
A08/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 85
A14/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 85
A19/03
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 85
H22/03
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
86avg 85
H29/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
92-100
92
100
-8
83avg 85
A05/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
91-59
91
59
+32
86avg 85
H10/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
99-90
99
90
+9
97avg 85
A15/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 85
H20/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
109-94
109
94
+15
110avg 85
H25/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
27-18
13-22
19-20
17-16
25-20
19-27
29-19
33-11
18-28
26-25
17-19
29-18
23-24
16-15
28-26
20-29
30-17
19-29
21-23
32-23
22-26
25-24
13-27
26-15
23-12
7-20
35-12
30-32
20-27
23-20
26-11
27-22
14-15
15-23
21-7
23-25
32-26
31-16
23-27
174.9Avg total
91.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)91.284.0175.1+7.263%
Season at home (15)94.181.3175.3+12.873%
Season away (15)88.386.7174.9+1.653%
Last 10 (10)91.483.5174.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)93.682.0175.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.586.2169.7-2.733%
vs Similar (3)81.390.7172.0-9.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)94.882.4177.1+12.481%
This opponent (Botev 2012) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev 2012BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2012
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
92avg 74
H09/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
55avg 74
A13/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 74
A22/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
78-68
78
68
+10
69avg 74
H25/03
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
96avg 74
A29/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 74
H04/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
85avg 74
A08/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
97-101
97
101
-4
90avg 74
H16/04
NBL
Levski
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
82avg 74
H19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 74
A25/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-22
18-18
23-19
15-25
20-18
12-22
19-27
21-14
21-22
23-21
18-20
21-14
23-16
16-17
18-21
29-20
17-30
29-19
23-21
22-18
15-21
28-18
20-19
27-26
16-23
24-20
22-27
20-23
24-25
23-27
30-26
21-15
22-28
23-13
24-15
16-27
20-29
25-19
25-18
169.9Avg total
86.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.682.9164.4-1.353%
Season at home (15)82.379.4161.7+2.967%
Season away (15)80.986.3167.2-5.540%
Last 10 (10)86.083.9169.9+2.160%
Last 5 (5)89.487.4176.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.492.5170.9-14.117%
vs Similar (3)79.371.0150.3+8.3100%
vs Weaker (15)84.577.5162.1+7.073%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
Lok. PlovdivBotev 2012
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A19/03
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H22/03
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H29/03
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A05/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H10/04
NBL
Levski
#10
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A15/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H25/04
NBL
91.1Avg total
48.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.089.4+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.941.389.2+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.944.689.5+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)48.842.391.1+6.590%-
Last 5 (5)49.844.694.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.043.785.7-1.767%-
vs Similar (3)43.344.087.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)48.142.690.7+5.571%-
This opponent (Botev 2012) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Botev 2012Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A13/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A22/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/03
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A29/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H04/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A08/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/04
NBL
Levski
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A25/04
NBL
84.9Avg total
41.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.881.8+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.582.3+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.181.3-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.284.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.647.087.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.545.083.5-6.525%-
vs Similar (3)37.035.372.3+1.733%-
vs Weaker (15)43.938.582.4+5.567%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.923.0
59.1%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.5
37.1%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.713.9
70.6%
71.3%13.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botev 2012their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botev 2012: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.0
54.4%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.3
41.1%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.814.7
61.8%
71.3%14.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
WWWWLLWWWL
Botev 2012
LWLLWWWWLW
#4
League position
#6
+9.1
Net rating
+2.3
105.0
Offensive rating
101.5
95.9
Defensive rating
99.2
57.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
10.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
37.1%
3-point %
41.1%
60.9%
Assist %
60.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 101.5Defence95.9 · 99.2Shooting57.7% · 56.7%3-point %37.1% · 41.1%Ball care10.8% · 13.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Botev 2012
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lok. Plovdiv wins
2
Botev 2012 wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Lok. Plovdiv v Botev 201290-98
17/01/26Lok. Plovdiv v Botev 2012105-87
09/11/25Botev 2012 v Lok. Plovdiv79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HMinyor109-94
20/04/26HSpartak Pleven77-67
15/04/26ALevski99-90
10/04/26HAcademic Plovdiv91-59
05/04/26ARilski Sportist92-100
29/03/26HBotev 201290-98
22/03/26HBeroe96-83
19/03/26AShumen94-83
14/03/26ABalkan90-82
08/03/26ACherno More76-79
Botev 2012last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26ABalkan86-93
19/04/26HLevski90-71
16/04/26HMinyor97-101
08/04/26ARilski Sportist89-96
04/04/26HSpartak Pleven85-76
29/03/26ALok. Plovdiv98-90
25/03/26HAcademic Plovdiv78-68
22/03/26AShumen83-77
13/03/26ACherno More66-92
09/03/26HBeroe88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW63%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %63%73%53%
Points / game91.294.188.3
Allowed / game84.081.386.7
Point differential+7.2+12.8+1.6
Avg total175.1175.3174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Botev 2012
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game81.682.380.9
Allowed / game82.979.486.3
Point differential-1.3+2.9-5.5
Avg total164.4161.7167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist3126584%91.678.0+13.6
2 Balkan3125681%91.577.2+14.3
3 Cherno More3123874%91.580.6+10.8
4 Lok. Plovdiv30191163%91.284.0+7.2
5 Botev 201230161453%81.682.9-1.3
6 Spartak Pleven31161552%81.881.9-0.1
7 Minyor31151648%86.392.0-5.7
8 Beroe31112035%83.089.2-6.2
9 Academic Plovdiv3092130%81.287.2-6.0
10 Levski3052517%76.991.0-14.1
11 Shumen3032710%79.192.6-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lok. Plovdiv1422261779
Botev 20122422161476
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.