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Balkan vs Cherno More Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 80-78
27-14 19-27 14-19 20-18
Position#1
Record27-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game77.7
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#3
Record24-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game81.4
BulgariaNBLNBL - Semi-finals· Arena Botevgrad
Other2025-26
Meetings · Balkan v Cherno More
20 Mar 2027
BAL v CHER
upcoming
11 May 2026
BAL80
CHER78
09 May 2026
BAL91
CHER89
06 Apr 2026
BAL80
CHER79
16 Nov 2025
BAL85
CHER82
10 May 2025
BAL94
CHER86
08 May 2025
BAL72
CHER82
06 Mar 2025
BAL77
CHER73
22 Dec 2024
BAL95
CHER78
13 Apr 2024
BAL80
CHER68
15 Mar 2024
BAL88
CHER69
21 Oct 2023
BAL86
CHER80
03 Dec 2022
BAL98
CHER87
06 Nov 2021
BAL88
CHER69
19 Jan 2021
BAL113
CHER41
07 Feb 2020
BAL101
CHER53
19 Oct 2019
BAL101
CHER66
16 Nov 2018
BAL102
CHER62
30 Dec 2017
BAL104
CHER83
25 Mar 2017
BAL94
CHER71
12 Nov 2016
BAL85
CHER73
02 Apr 2016
BAL85
CHER62
18 Feb 2016
BAL105
CHER80
16 Jan 2016
BAL106
CHER73
04 Apr 2015
BAL81
CHER69
19 Feb 2015
BAL75
CHER81
16 Nov 2014
BAL96
CHER78
23 May 2014
BAL0
CHER20
09 Nov 2013
BAL84
CHER89
29 Apr 2013
BAL82
CHER70
20 Mar 2013
BAL76
CHER72
03 Nov 2012
BAL82
CHER73
13 Apr 2012
BAL75
CHER61
29 Dec 2011
BAL71
CHER78
19 Mar 2011
BAL75
CHER72
28 Nov 2010
BAL87
CHER67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cherno More winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H22/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A25/03
NBL
Levski
#10
W
99-67
99
67
+32
A30/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H06/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A16/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A20/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
105-66
105
66
+39
H29/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
103-83
103
83
+20
A01/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H09/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-20
19-19
25-16
29-34
28-23
21-14
15-28
26-19
23-20
21-8
29-20
22-24
22-11
9-24
27-20
15-19
19-20
22-14
28-12
27-27
24-23
22-19
23-20
27-16
29-20
19-25
18-25
24-20
22-21
26-13
33-12
20-18
26-23
34-22
23-20
26-16
21-20
15-26
29-27
172.4Avg total
92.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)91.877.7169.6+14.182%
Season at home (17)91.475.9167.4+15.588%
Season away (16)92.379.6171.9+12.775%
Last 10 (10)92.380.1172.4+12.290%
Last 5 (5)97.682.6180.2+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)77.776.3154.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)94.778.2173.0+16.585%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A24/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H28/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A06/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
103-89
103
89
+14
H10/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
117-76
117
76
+41
H16/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
104-87
104
87
+17
A25/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H29/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A01/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H04/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A09/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
27-21
28-21
20-25
15-14
22-18
18-29
25-21
24-22
11-22
24-9
20-27
18-19
30-16
24-32
31-22
32-21
29-20
37-11
19-24
17-26
13-18
39-10
35-33
32-17
13-20
25-15
18-13
21-24
19-16
18-25
16-21
22-32
29-25
20-18
23-16
16-26
20-21
26-15
27-29
176.7Avg total
93.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)91.081.4172.4+9.671%
Season at home (17)93.578.8172.4+14.788%
Season away (17)88.484.0172.4+4.453%
Last 10 (10)93.183.6176.7+9.560%
Last 5 (5)89.884.0173.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.880.5166.2+5.225%
vs Similar (4)84.080.2164.2+3.875%
vs Weaker (22)94.181.9176.0+12.377%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
BalkanCherno More
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A25/03
NBL
Levski
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A30/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H06/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A16/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A20/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H09/05
NBL
88.2Avg total
46.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.439.284.6+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.736.781.3+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)46.141.787.8+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.788.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)49.240.890.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.042.076.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.638.985.5+7.774%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A24/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H28/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H10/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H16/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A25/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H04/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A09/05
NBL
85.8Avg total
43.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.485.6+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.441.088.4+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)42.939.882.7+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.085.8+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.085.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.842.081.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (4)42.239.882.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker (22)46.740.286.9+6.568%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.4
56.7%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.1
34.5%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.520.0
75.5%
71.3%20.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.1
59.4%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.6
32.0%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.915.8
69.0%
71.3%15.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WWWWWWWWLW
Cherno More
LWLWWWWLLW
#1
League position
#3
+13.3
Net rating
+10.0
101.9
Offensive rating
102.1
88.6
Defensive rating
92.1
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
32.0%
70.2%
Assist %
65.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 102.1Defence88.6 · 92.1Shooting54.7% · 53.9%3-point %34.5% · 32.0%Ball care14.3% · 12.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Balkan   ■ Cherno More
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Balkan wins
5
Cherno More wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Balkan v Cherno More91-89
06/04/26Balkan v Cherno More80-79
26/01/26Cherno More v Balkan93-66
16/11/25Balkan v Cherno More85-82
15/05/25Cherno More v Balkan80-78
13/05/25Cherno More v Balkan86-78
10/05/25Balkan v Cherno More94-86
08/05/25Balkan v Cherno More72-82
16/03/25Cherno More v Balkan89-81
06/03/25Balkan v Cherno More77-73
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HCherno More91-89
01/05/26AMinyor103-83
29/04/26HMinyor105-66
25/04/26HBotev 201293-86
20/04/26ABeroe96-89
16/04/26AShumen84-65
06/04/26HCherno More80-79
30/03/26ALevski99-67
25/03/26AMinyor93-99
22/03/26HRilski Sportist79-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26ABalkan89-91
04/05/26HSpartak Pleven94-91
01/05/26ASpartak Pleven74-86
29/04/26HSpartak Pleven88-65
25/04/26AShumen104-87
16/04/26HBeroe117-76
10/04/26HMinyor103-89
06/04/26ABalkan79-80
28/03/26HSpartak Pleven80-82
24/03/26ALevski103-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %82%88%75%
Points / game91.891.492.3
Allowed / game77.775.979.6
Point differential+14.1+15.5+12.7
Avg total169.6167.4171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%47%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cherno More
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %71%88%53%
Points / game91.093.588.4
Allowed / game81.478.884.0
Point differential+9.6+14.7+4.4
Avg total172.4172.4172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%59%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)75% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist3328585%91.478.1+13.3
2 Balkan3327682%91.877.7+14.1
3 Cherno More34241071%91.081.4+9.6
4 Lok. Plovdiv33211264%90.383.3+7.0
5 Spartak Pleven33171652%82.282.0+0.2
6 Botev 201232161650%80.982.8-1.9
7 Minyor32151747%86.292.3-6.1
8 Beroe32112134%82.989.2-6.3
9 Academic Plovdiv3092130%81.287.2-6.0
10 Levski3052517%76.991.0-14.1
11 Shumen3032710%79.192.6-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan2719142080
Cherno More1427191878
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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