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Cherno More vs Rilski Sportist Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game75.3
BulgariaNBLRound 20· DKS - Varna
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cherno More v Rilski Sportist
13 Mar 2027
CHER v RSP
upcoming
25 May 2026
CHER94
RSP100
29 Dec 2025
CHER77
RSP73
31 May 2025
CHER72
RSP82
29 May 2025
CHER89
RSP85
13 Jan 2025
CHER82
RSP77
23 Mar 2024
CHER60
RSP107
05 Feb 2024
CHER75
RSP97
01 Apr 2023
CHER74
RSP108
04 Nov 2022
CHER77
RSP86
15 Apr 2022
CHER71
RSP93
11 Dec 2021
CHER75
RSP86
10 Apr 2021
CHER59
RSP108
23 Dec 2020
CHER64
RSP95
04 Jan 2020
CHER93
RSP96
09 Mar 2019
CHER82
RSP100
15 Dec 2018
CHER76
RSP94
18 Mar 2018
CHER67
RSP91
23 Dec 2017
CHER73
RSP80
24 May 2017
CHER62
RSP94
22 Dec 2016
CHER81
RSP74
29 Apr 2016
CHER72
RSP76
10 Oct 2015
CHER73
RSP69
26 May 2015
CHER92
RSP88
20 Feb 2015
CHER75
RSP73
21 Nov 2014
CHER105
RSP108
12 Apr 2014
CHER79
RSP86
26 Jan 2014
CHER93
RSP72
25 Nov 2012
CHER73
RSP86
03 May 2012
CHER89
RSP75
16 Mar 2012
CHER67
RSP81
04 Dec 2011
CHER75
RSP81
06 May 2011
CHER71
RSP77
21 Jan 2011
CHER94
RSP102
16 Oct 2010
CHER61
RSP89
10 Feb 2010
CHER91
RSP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A01/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H04/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A09/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#14
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
95-62
95
62
+33
A24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
19-16
18-25
16-21
22-32
29-25
20-18
23-16
16-26
20-21
26-15
27-29
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
169.4Avg total
86.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.766.3158.0+25.3100%
Season at home (1)87.061.0148.0+26.0100%
Season away (2)94.069.0163.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.283.2169.4+3.040%
Last 5 (5)93.681.4175.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)84.487.6172.0-3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.079.3173.3+14.680%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
A14/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#11
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#14
W
96-64
96
64
+32
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
62-94
62
94
-32
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
114-76
114
76
+38
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#41
L
86-103
86
103
-17
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
16-26
28-17
22-25
33-22
25-28
28-29
22-20
25-22
26-17
26-23
23-32
16-25
22-32
18-37
24-32
16-20
18-23
13-15
21-10
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
28-19
32-15
27-26
27-16
22-26
20-16
15-22
13-22
16-16
17-21
22-37
31-29
179.1Avg total
87.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.375.3168.7+18.067%
Season at home (1)114.076.0190.0+38.0100%
Season away (2)83.075.0158.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)87.891.3179.1-3.540%
Last 5 (5)85.684.6170.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.392.0166.3-17.70%
vs Similar (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (22)93.080.4173.4+12.677%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
Cherno MoreRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H04/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A09/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#14
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
85.1Avg total
41.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.384.0+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.239.284.4+5.969%-
Last 30 away (17)42.641.183.6+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.585.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)40.244.284.4-4.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.039.085.0+6.980%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#7
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A14/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#9
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#41
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.686.5+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.342.589.8+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)42.940.883.7+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.482.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.345.378.7-12.00%-
vs Similar (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker (22)46.540.687.1+5.968%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.9
55.6%
55.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.0
30.3%
30.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.415.4
65.8%
70.7%15.4
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.6
57.7%
55.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
30.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.118.5
73.7%
70.7%18.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WWWLLLLLWL
Rilski Sportist
LLWLWLLWWL
#1
League position
#6
+5.5
Net rating
+2.1
98.9
Offensive rating
101.1
93.4
Defensive rating
99.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.3%
3-point %
32.0%
55.0%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 101.1Defence93.4 · 99.0Shooting51.2% · 53.9%3-point %30.3% · 32.0%Ball care12.7% · 14.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cherno More   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cherno More wins
7
Rilski Sportist wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80
09/05/26ABalkan89-91
04/05/26HSpartak Pleven94-91
01/05/26ASpartak Pleven74-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASCM Craiova86-103
25/10/26ASpartak Pleven70-86
17/10/26HCSKA Sofia114-76
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64
07/10/26ASporting CP75-79 OT
14/09/26ABreogan80-126
25/05/26ACherno More100-94
23/05/26HCherno More108-99
20/05/26HLok. Plovdiv87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.787.094.0
Allowed / game66.361.069.0
Point differential+25.3+26.0+25.0
Avg total158.0148.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game93.3114.083.0
Allowed / game75.376.075.0
Point differential+18.0+38.0+8.0
Avg total168.7190.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cherno More330100%91.766.3+25.3
2 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
3 Lok. Plovdiv330100%92.377.7+14.7
4 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Rilski Sportist32167%93.375.3+18.0
7 Spartak Pleven32167%87.077.7+9.3
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
10 Beroe3030%95.099.3-4.3
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
13 Polytechnica3030%77.096.3-19.3
14 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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